Result
0:2
21/01/2024 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL - ROUND 18
- Referee: Malheiro H. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Portugal | Sport TV |
Chances of winning
Portimonense 38.5% | Draw 28.9% | Gil Vicente 32.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portimonense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Gil Vicente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gil Vicente than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Portimonense - Gil Vicente Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.46 ↓ (2.66) |
3.29 ↑ (3.27) |
2.91 ↑ (2.68) |
5.4% (5.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Portimonense - Gil Vicente?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Portimonense will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Gil Vicente will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Portimonense: 17% – 68.8%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 13 and 15).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Portimonense won 2.
- Portimonense is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Gil Vicente is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Gil Vicente could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- Last 17 head-to-head matches Portimonense won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 17-21.
- Including matches at home between the teams Portimonense won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-7.
How many head-to-head matches has Portimonense won against Gil Vicente?
Portimonense has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gil Vicente won against Portimonense?
Gil Vicente has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Portimonense - Gil Vicente were as follows:
12.08.2023
Gil Vicente
-
Portimonense
5:0
23.04.2023
Portimonense
-
Gil Vicente
1:0
14.12.2022
Portimonense
-
Gil Vicente
0:3
04.11.2022
Gil Vicente
-
Portimonense
1:2
Latest results of Portimonense
Latest results of Gil Vicente
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | FC Porto | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 19:1 | 18 | 21 |
2 | Sporting CP | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 19:4 | 15 | 18 |
3 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 13:4 | 9 | 17 |
4 | Gil Vicente | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10:4 | 6 | 16 |
5 | Moreirense | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 15 |
6 | Famalicao | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 12 |
7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 11 |
8 | Alverca | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 10 |
9 | Nacional | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
10 | Braga | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 9 |
11 | Santa Clara | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 8 |
12 | Casa Pia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 8 |
13 | Arouca | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:18 | -9 | 8 |
14 | Estrela | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
15 | Estoril | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 |
16 | Rio Ave | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 8:13 | -5 | 5 |
17 | Tondela | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4:11 | -7 | 5 |
18 | AFS | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:20 | -15 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2