Portimonense vs Gil Vicente – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
21/01/2024 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL - ROUND 18
  • Referee: Malheiro H. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalSport TV

Highlights

Chances of winning


Portimonense
38.5%
Draw
28.9%
Gil Vicente
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.6% 29% 35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7% 29.9% 34.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portimonense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • Gil Vicente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gil Vicente than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • Portimonense - Gil Vicente Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.46
    (2.66)
    3.29
    (3.27)
    2.91
    (2.68)
    5.4%
    (5.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Portimonense - Gil Vicente?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Portimonense will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Gil Vicente will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Portimonense: 17%68.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 13 and 15).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Portimonense won 2.
    • Portimonense is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Gil Vicente is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Gil Vicente could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • Last 17 head-to-head matches Portimonense won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 17-21.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Portimonense won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-7.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Portimonense - Gil Vicente were as follows:
    12.08.2023 Gil Vicente - Portimonense 5:0
    23.04.2023 Portimonense - Gil Vicente 1:0
    14.12.2022 Portimonense - Gil Vicente 0:3
    04.11.2022 Gil Vicente - Portimonense 1:2
    Latest results of Portimonense
    12.01.2024 Portimonense - Farense 1:0
    07.01.2024 Rio Ave - Portimonense 2:0
    17.12.2023 Moreirense - Portimonense 5:2
    09.12.2023 Portimonense - Famalicão 1:1
    Latest results of Gil Vicente
    10.01.2024 Gil Vicente - Amarante 3:1
    06.01.2024 Farense - Gil Vicente 1:0
    30.12.2023 Gil Vicente - Boavista 1:0
    16.12.2023 Arouca - Gil Vicente 3:0
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Porto29244159:144576
    2Sporting CP28225173:175671
    3Benfica29209061:184369
    4Braga28157655:272852
    5Famalicao29138836:251147
    6Gil Vicente291210744:301446
    7Estoril291071251:50137
    8Vitoria Guimaraes291061335:43-836
    9Moreirense291061332:41-936
    10Alverca29981232:47-1535
    11Rio Ave29891231:48-1733
    12Arouca29951537:58-2132
    13Santa Clara29771526:37-1128
    14Estrela296101333:48-1528
    15Nacional29671631:41-1025
    16Casa Pia285101328:52-2425
    17Tondela28491521:46-2521
    18AFS29191919:62-4312

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