Result
3:1
19/01/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 18
- Referee: Verissimo F. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sport TV Africa, ZAP |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Moja TV, Sportklub 1, SportKlub |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free |
 Georgia | Silk Sport 3 |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Hungary | Sport 2 |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Montenegro | SportKlub |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO, SportKlub 1, SportKlub 2 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1, Sport TV+ |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Saudi-arabia | Shahid VIP |
 Serbia | SportKlub 1 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 1 |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4 |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | Disney+, Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 1.05 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 24 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 20 | 31 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (210/299) | 83% (341/410) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 57% (37/65) | 74% (117/159) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (3/9) | 18% (6/33) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (12/20) | 75% (9/12) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 36 | 8 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, Pablo ⚽, Fujimoto K. (A),
- 24', Vieira F. 🟨,
- 25', Ze Carlos 🟨,
- 27', Caseres F. 🟨,
- 39', Correia F. 🟨,
- 43', Nico 🟨,
- 44', Pinheiro B. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Galeno ↓, Borges G. ↑,
- 48', 1 - 1, Borges G. ⚽,
- 53', 2 - 1, Josue Sa ⚽, Ruben (A),
- 55', Joao Mario 🟨,
- 56', Fujimoto K. ↓, Garcia S. ↑,
- 57', Toure T. ↓, Mboula J. ↑,
- 60', Danny Namaso 🟨,
- 64', Danny Namaso ↓, Gul D. ↑,
- 69', Joao Mario ↓, Djalo T. ↑,
- 69', Vieira F. ↓, Mora R. ↑,
- 78', Pablo ↓, Caue ↑,
- 84', Nico 🟨,
- 87', Eustaquio S. 🟨,
- 90+4', 3 - 1, Correia F. (Pen),
- 90+5', Correia F. ↓, Aguirre J. ↑,
- 90+5', Ze Carlos ↓, Elimbi M. G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Gil Vicente
15% | Draw
22.7% | Porto
62.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gil Vicente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Porto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Porto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gil Vicente than the current prediction. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Porto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Gil Vicente - Porto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.34 ↓
(7.52) |
4.14 ↓
(4.71) |
1.51 ↑
(1.39) |
6%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Gil Vicente - Porto?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Gil Vicente will win (votes: 5 - 25%). Porto will win (votes: 10 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Porto: 28.1% – 71.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Gil Vicente won 1.
- Gil Vicente is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Recent matches Porto is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- In this match Porto is certain favorite.
- There will not play in Porto: Marcano I.
(Knee Injury)
Moura F.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Gil Vicente: Sithole S.
(Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Gil Vicente won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 16 matches and goals 12:41 (average 0.6:2.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Gil Vicente won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 7:23 (average 0.7:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Gil Vicente won against Porto?
Gil Vicente has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Porto won against Gil Vicente?
Porto has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gil Vicente - Porto were as follows:
10.08.2024
Porto
-
Gil Vicente
3:0
25.02.2024
Gil Vicente
-
Porto
1:1
23.09.2023
Porto
-
Gil Vicente
2:1
26.02.2023
Porto
-
Gil Vicente
1:2
21.12.2022
Porto
-
Gil Vicente
2:0
Latest results of Gil Vicente
