Result
3:0
26/01/2026 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 19
- Referee: Nobre A. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | ZAP |
 Albania | Tring Sport 2 |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7 |
 Denmark | Bold+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 1 |
 Hungary | Sport 1 |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Kuwait | KTV Sport |
 Lithuania | Sport 1 |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 3 |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | VG+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 2 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.29 | 0.55 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (366/444) | 77% (253/327) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.29 | 0.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 0.65 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (366/444) | 77% (253/327) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (14/37) | 34% (16/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (57/96) | 67% (52/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 33% (2/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.31 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.65 | 1.92 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.65 | -1.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 35', Murilo de Souza 🟨,
- 36', Ze Carlos 🟨,
- 36', Bednarek J. 🟨,
- 37', 1 - 0, Samu (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 52', Peixoto C. 🟨,
- 61', Veiga G. ↓, Mora R. ↑,
- 61', Sainz B. ↓, William Gomes ↑,
- 68', Ze Carlos ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
- 68', Varela G. ↓, Bamba M. ↑,
- 69', Fernandez M. 🟥,
- 75', 2 - 0, Fernandes M. ⚽, Pepê (A),
- 76', Pepê ↓, Pietuszewski O. ↑,
- 77', Samu ↓, Gul D. ↑,
- 77', Toure T. ↓, Hevertton S. ↑,
- 77', Esteves L. ↓, Fernandes J. ↑,
- 82', Froholdt V. ↓, Eustaquio S. ↑,
- 86', 3 - 0, William Gomes ⚽, Rosario P. (A),
- 87', Murilo de Souza ↓, Bermejo ↑,
- 90+4', Kiwior J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Porto
69% | Draw
20.1% | Gil Vicente
10.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Gil Vicente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gil Vicente than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Porto - Gil Vicente Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.37 ↓
(1.39) |
4.73 ↑
(4.67) |
8.64 ↑
(7.88) |
5.6%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Porto - Gil Vicente?
Users Predictions:
29 users predict this event. Porto will win (votes: 26 - 89.7%). Gil Vicente will win (votes: 1 - 3.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 6.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Porto: 78.6% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -1 - Porto (1.61) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -1.5 - Porto (2.13) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Porto will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 14 high ROI users predict this event. Porto (votes: 12 - 85.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Porto won 3.
- Porto has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Gil Vicente has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Gil Vicente may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Porto is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Porto: Perez N.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Perez T.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
de Jong L.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Gil Vicente: Caseres F.
(Yellow Cards)
Moreira A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Gil Vicente: Mutombo J.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Porto will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Porto won 15 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 40:14. (average 2:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Porto won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 16:5. (average 1.8:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Porto won against Gil Vicente?
Porto has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gil Vicente won against Porto?
Gil Vicente has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Porto - Gil Vicente were as follows:
18.08.2025
Gil Vicente
-
Porto
0:2
19.01.2025
Gil Vicente
-
Porto
3:1
10.08.2024
Porto
-
Gil Vicente
3:0
25.02.2024
Gil Vicente
-
Porto
1:1
23.09.2023
Porto
-
Gil Vicente
2:1
Latest results of Gil Vicente
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 23 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 44:7 | 37 | 62 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 23 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 59:12 | 47 | 58 |
| 3 | Benfica | 23 | 16 | 7 | 0 | 49:13 | 36 | 55 |
| 4 | Braga | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 48:22 | 26 | 42 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 34:21 | 13 | 40 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 29:21 | 8 | 35 |
| 7 | Estoril | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 46:39 | 7 | 33 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 29:33 | -4 | 33 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 27:34 | -7 | 31 |
| 10 | Alverca | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 23:38 | -15 | 26 |
| 11 | Arouca | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 31:49 | -18 | 26 |
| 12 | Estrela | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 26:41 | -15 | 23 |
| 13 | Casa Pia | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 25:43 | -18 | 22 |
| 14 | Nacional | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 27:34 | -7 | 21 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 23:44 | -21 | 20 |
| 16 | Santa Clara | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 18:29 | -11 | 18 |
| 17 | Tondela | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 17:36 | -19 | 18 |
| 18 | AFS | 23 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 18:57 | -39 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
