Result
5:0
14/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 37
- Referee: Barlow M. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.53 | 0.21 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (219/346) | 56% (151/270) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.53 | 0.21 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.99 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 15 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 42 | 3 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (219/346) | 56% (151/270) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 25% (19/76) | 31% (27/87) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (94/161) | 32% (30/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (6/23) | 14% (1/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 0.21 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 33 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 58 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 2.99 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -1.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 2', 1 - 0, Ball D. ⚽, Appere L. (A),
- 28', Cirino L. 🟨,
- 36', 2 - 0, Appere L. ⚽, Mpanzu P. (A),
- 42', Smith A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Khumbeni N. ↓, Vokes S. ↑,
- 50', 3 - 0, Cirino L. (Own goal),
- 54', 4 - 0, Kaikai S. ⚽, Ball D. (A),
- 61', Williams J. ↓, Little A. ↑,
- 61', Palmer-Houlden S. ↓, Dack B. ↑,
- 61', Cirino L. ↓, Beckles O. ↑,
- 66', Brophy J. ↓, Purrington B. ↑,
- 66', Appere L. ↓, Lavery S. ↑,
- 66', Kaikai S. ↓, Smith K. ↑,
- 73', Gibbons J. ↓, Raggett S. ↑,
- 76', Rowe A. ↓, McCleary G. ↑,
- 80', Ball D. ↓, Kouassi K. ↑,
- 84', Dack B. 🟨,
- 90+1', 5 - 0, Lavery S. ⚽, Knight B. (A),
Chances of winning
Cambridge United
60.2% | Draw
24% | Gillingham
15.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cambridge United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cambridge United's performance.Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gillingham might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cambridge United that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Cambridge United - Gillingham Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.56 ↓
(1.81) |
3.89 ↑
(3.32) |
6.09 ↑
(4.32) |
6.4%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cambridge United - Gillingham?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Cambridge (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Cambridge United will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cambridge United will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Cambridge (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 16).
- Cambridge is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Gillingham has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Cambridge may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Cambridge is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Cambridge: Hoddle G.
(Inactive)
Kouassi K.
(Hamstring Injury)
Mayor A.
(Inactive)
Morrison M.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Gillingham: Andrews J.
(Yellow Cards)
Antwi C.
(Injury)
Masterson C.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Cambridge: Bradshaw Z.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Gillingham: Beckles O.
(Inactive)
Dack B.
(Inactive)
Little A.
(Inactive)
McCleary G.
(Inactive)
Smith J.
(Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cambridge won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cambridge won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Cambridge United won against Gillingham?
Cambridge United has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gillingham won against Cambridge United?
Gillingham has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cambridge United - Gillingham were as follows:
26.12.2025
Gillingham
-
Cambridge United
1:1
Latest results of Cambridge United
Latest results of Gillingham
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 43 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 68:43 | 25 | 83 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 43 | 22 | 13 | 8 | 79:43 | 36 | 79 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 42 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 62:31 | 31 | 77 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 43 | 23 | 7 | 13 | 71:49 | 22 | 76 |
| 5 | Swindon | 43 | 22 | 8 | 13 | 67:51 | 16 | 74 |
| 6 | Salford | 43 | 23 | 5 | 15 | 57:50 | 7 | 74 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 42 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 64:53 | 11 | 69 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 41 | 19 | 11 | 11 | 62:45 | 17 | 68 |
| 9 | Barnet | 43 | 18 | 13 | 12 | 60:49 | 11 | 67 |
| 10 | Crewe | 43 | 19 | 9 | 15 | 63:53 | 10 | 66 |
| 11 | Oldham | 42 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 52:36 | 16 | 65 |
| 12 | Walsall | 43 | 17 | 11 | 15 | 52:50 | 2 | 62 |
| 13 | Colchester | 42 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 56:45 | 11 | 60 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 53:54 | -1 | 58 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 43 | 17 | 4 | 22 | 49:63 | -14 | 55 |
| 16 | Accrington | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 41:48 | -7 | 51 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 48:60 | -12 | 50 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 43 | 13 | 8 | 22 | 40:66 | -26 | 47 |
| 19 | Cheltenham | 41 | 12 | 10 | 19 | 48:67 | -19 | 46 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 49:72 | -23 | 37 |
| 21 | Crawley | 43 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 41:65 | -24 | 37 |
| 22 | Newport | 43 | 10 | 7 | 26 | 43:73 | -30 | 37 |
| 23 | Barrow | 42 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 40:68 | -28 | 33 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 43 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 35:66 | -31 | 33 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
