Gillingham vs Colchester United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
29/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 23
  • Referee: Russell M. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.981.57
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1615
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
63% (160/254)73% (244/332)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.981.57
xG on target (xGOT)
1.891.76
Total shots
1615
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
96
Shots inside the Box
1111
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
2928
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1323
Passes
63% (160/254)73% (244/332)
Long passes
50% (40/80)47% (28/60)
Passes in final third
53% (57/108)66% (89/135)
Crosses
11% (3/27)23% (5/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.610.68
Throw-ins
1621
Fouls
2313
Tackles
67% (8/12)40% (2/5)
Duels won
6164
Clearances
3246
Interceptions
82
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
1.761.89
Goals prevented
0.760.89

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 58', Vokes S. , Andrews J. ,
  • 68', Anderson H. , Edwards O. ,
  • 68', Palmer-Houlden S. , Nevitt E. ,
  • 74', 1 - 0, McKenzie R. , Rowe A. (A),
  • 77', Lisbie K. 🟨,
  • 81', Payne J. , Tovide S. ,
  • 82', Mbick M. , Goodwin W. ,
  • 86', Little A. 🟨,
  • 87', 1 - 1, Read A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 88', Lisbie K. , Vincent-Young K. ,
  • 90', Masterson C. , Coleman E. ,
  • 90', Dack B. , Williams J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gillingham
34.8%
Draw
29.4%
Colchester United
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37% 28.3% 34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9% 27.4% 35.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Colchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Colchester United aligns with the current prediction.
  • Gillingham - Colchester United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.67
    (2.47)
    3.15
    (3.23)
    2.6
    (2.63)
    7.5%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Gillingham - Colchester United?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Gillingham will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Colchester will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1%88.1%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Gillingham: Khumbeni N. (Inactive) Morris G. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Colchester: Baldwin J. (Inactive) Flanagan T. (Knee Injury) Perry B. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Gillingham: McCleary G. (Inactive) Williams E. (Shoulder Injury) Wyllie M. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Colchester: Akande A. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:25. (average 1.2:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gillingham won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gillingham - Colchester United were as follows:
    06.12.2025 Colchester United - Gillingham 0:0
    07.10.2025 Colchester United - Gillingham 2:1
    01.04.2025 Gillingham - Colchester United 1:1
    26.12.2024 Colchester United - Gillingham 2:0
    01.01.2024 Colchester United - Gillingham 0:1
    Latest results of Gillingham
    Latest results of Colchester United
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley432314668:432583
    2MK Dons432213879:433679
    3Cambridge Utd422114762:313177
    4Notts Co432371371:492276
    5Swindon432281367:511674
    6Salford432351557:50774
    7Chesterfield421815964:531169
    8Grimsby4119111162:451768
    9Barnet4318131260:491167
    10Crewe431991563:531066
    11Oldham4217141152:361665
    12Walsall4317111552:50262
    13Colchester4216121456:451160
    14Fleetwood4315131553:54-158
    15Bristol Rovers431742249:63-1455
    16Accrington421491941:48-751
    17Gillingham4212141648:60-1250
    18Shrewsbury431382240:66-2647
    19Cheltenham4112101948:67-1946
    20Tranmere429102349:72-2337
    21Crawley438132241:65-2437
    22Newport431072643:73-3037
    23Barrow42892540:68-2833
    24Harrogate43892635:66-3133

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League