Gillingham vs Colchester United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
29/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 23
  • Referee: Russell M. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.981.57
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1615
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
63% (160/254)73% (244/332)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.981.57
xG on target (xGOT)
1.891.76
Total shots
1615
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
96
Shots inside the Box
1111
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
2928
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1323
Passes
63% (160/254)73% (244/332)
Long passes
50% (40/80)47% (28/60)
Passes in final third
53% (57/108)66% (89/135)
Crosses
11% (3/27)23% (5/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.610.68
Throw-ins
1621
Fouls
2313
Tackles
67% (8/12)40% (2/5)
Duels won
6164
Clearances
3246
Interceptions
82
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
1.761.89
Goals prevented
0.760.89

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 58', Vokes S. , Andrews J. ,
  • 68', Anderson H. , Edwards O. ,
  • 68', Palmer-Houlden S. , Nevitt E. ,
  • 74', 1 - 0, McKenzie R. , Rowe A. (A),
  • 77', Lisbie K. 🟨,
  • 81', Payne J. , Tovide S. ,
  • 82', Mbick M. , Goodwin W. ,
  • 86', Little A. 🟨,
  • 87', 1 - 1, Read A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 88', Lisbie K. , Vincent-Young K. ,
  • 90', Masterson C. , Coleman E. ,
  • 90', Dack B. , Williams J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gillingham
34.8%
Draw
29.4%
Colchester United
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37% 28.3% 34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9% 27.4% 35.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Colchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Colchester United aligns with the current prediction.
  • Gillingham - Colchester United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.67
    (2.47)
    3.15
    (3.23)
    2.6
    (2.63)
    7.5%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Gillingham - Colchester United?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Gillingham will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Colchester will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1%88.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Gillingham: Khumbeni N. (Inactive) Morris G. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Colchester: Baldwin J. (Inactive) Flanagan T. (Knee Injury) Perry B. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Gillingham: McCleary G. (Inactive) Williams E. (Shoulder Injury) Wyllie M. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Colchester: Akande A. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:25. (average 1.2:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gillingham won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gillingham - Colchester United were as follows:
    06.12.2025 Colchester United - Gillingham 0:0
    07.10.2025 Colchester United - Gillingham 2:1
    01.04.2025 Gillingham - Colchester United 1:1
    26.12.2024 Colchester United - Gillingham 2:0
    01.01.2024 Colchester United - Gillingham 0:1
    Latest results of Gillingham
    Latest results of Colchester United
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley341911458:352368
    2Cambridge Utd341810649:272264
    3MK Dons341711663:342962
    4Swindon351951157:411662
    5Notts Co34187952:331961
    6Crewe351681152:411156
    7Salford331741246:43355
    8Chesterfield341314752:44853
    9Barnet3514111044:37753
    10Walsall331581042:36653
    11Grimsby331410946:37952
    12Colchester3313101048:351349
    13Accrington341371437:36146
    14Oldham321112936:30645
    15Fleetwood331291243:42145
    16Gillingham3311111141:41044
    17Shrewsbury351081734:54-2038
    18Cheltenham331061734:55-2136
    19Tranmere34981746:59-1335
    20Bristol Rovers34942133:57-2431
    21Crawley356101933:56-2328
    22Barrow33762033:51-1827
    23Harrogate35692025:52-2727
    24Newport34672132:60-2825

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League