Gillingham vs Colchester United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

29/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Priestfield Stadium (Gillingham).

League Two - Round 23
Referee: Russell M. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.98	1.57
Ball Possession
44%	56%
Total shots
16	15
Shots on target
4	5
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
6	5
Passes
63% (160/254)	73% (244/332)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98	1.57
xG on target (xGOT)
1.89	1.76
Total shots
16	15
Shots on target
4	5
Shots off target
3	4
Blocked Shots
9	6
Shots inside the Box
11	11
Shots outside the Box
5	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
6	5
Touches in opposition box
29	28
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	3
Free Kicks
13	23
Passes
63% (160/254)	73% (244/332)
Long passes
50% (40/80)	47% (28/60)
Passes in final third
53% (57/108)	66% (89/135)
Crosses
11% (3/27)	23% (5/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.61	0.68
Throw-ins
16	21
Fouls
23	13
Tackles
67% (8/12)	40% (2/5)
Duels won
61	64
Clearances
32	46
Interceptions
8	2
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	3
xGOT faced
1.76	1.89
Goals prevented
0.76	0.89

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', Vokes S. ↓, Andrews J. ↑,
68', Anderson H. ↓, Edwards O. ↑,
68', Palmer-Houlden S. ↓, Nevitt E. ↑,
74', 1 - 0, McKenzie R. ⚽, Rowe A. (A),
77', Lisbie K. 🟨,
81', Payne J. ↓, Tovide S. ↑,
82', Mbick M. ↓, Goodwin W. ↑,
86', Little A. 🟨,
87', 1 - 1, Read A. (Penalty Awarded),
88', Lisbie K. ↓, Vincent-Young K. ↑,
90', Masterson C. ↓, Coleman E. ↑,
90', Dack B. ↓, Williams J. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Gillingham
34.8%

Draw
29.4%

Colchester United
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

28.3%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

27.4%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Colchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Colchester United aligns with the current prediction.

Gillingham - Colchester United Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.47)	3.15 ↓ (3.23)	2.6 ↓ (2.63)	7.5% (9.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Gillingham - Colchester United?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Gillingham will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Colchester will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 5 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 1.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Gillingham: Khumbeni N. (Inactive) Morris G. (Injury)
There will not play in Colchester: Baldwin J. (Inactive) Flanagan T. (Knee Injury) Perry B. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Gillingham: McCleary G. (Inactive) Williams E. (Shoulder Injury) Wyllie M. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Colchester: Akande A. (Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:25. (average 1.2:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Gillingham won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Gillingham won against Colchester United?

Gillingham has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Colchester United won against Gillingham?

Colchester United has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Gillingham - Colchester United were as follows:

06.12.2025 Colchester United - Gillingham 0:0

07.10.2025 Colchester United - Gillingham 2:1

01.04.2025 Gillingham - Colchester United 1:1

26.12.2024 Colchester United - Gillingham 2:0

01.01.2024 Colchester United - Gillingham 0:1

Latest results of Gillingham

26.12.2025 Gillingham - Cambridge United 1:1 ✺

20.12.2025 Fleetwood Town - Gillingham 2:1 ✺

13.12.2025 Gillingham - Barrow 2:2 ✺

06.12.2025 Colchester United - Gillingham 0:0 ✺

29.11.2025 Shrewsbury Town - Gillingham 3:3 ✺

Latest results of Colchester United

26.12.2025 Crawley Town - Colchester United 1:1 ✺

20.12.2025 Colchester United - Newport County 4:1 ✺

13.12.2025 Salford City - Colchester United 4:3 ✺

09.12.2025 Colchester United - West Ham United U21 0:1 ✺

06.12.2025 Colchester United - Gillingham 0:0 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	39	22	13	4	62:36	26	79
2	MK Dons	39	21	11	7	76:40	36	74
3	Cambridge Utd	38	20	12	6	56:28	28	72
4	Notts Co	38	21	7	10	65:39	26	70
5	Swindon	39	21	6	12	63:45	18	69
6	Salford	39	21	4	14	54:48	6	67
7	Grimsby	38	17	11	10	56:40	16	62
8	Chesterfield	39	16	14	9	61:52	9	62
9	Crewe	39	17	9	13	58:47	11	60
10	Walsall	39	17	9	13	48:41	7	60
11	Oldham	37	15	13	9	44:31	13	58
12	Barnet	39	15	12	12	49:43	6	57
13	Fleetwood	39	14	12	13	48:46	2	54
14	Colchester	38	14	11	13	50:41	9	53
15	Accrington	38	13	9	16	38:42	-4	48
16	Gillingham	38	11	12	15	44:56	-12	45
17	Bristol Rovers	39	13	4	22	40:60	-20	43
18	Cheltenham	38	11	9	18	43:65	-22	42
19	Shrewsbury	39	11	8	20	37:63	-26	41
20	Tranmere	39	9	9	21	48:69	-21	36
21	Crawley	39	6	13	20	36:60	-24	31
22	Newport	39	8	7	24	39:67	-28	31
23	Harrogate	39	7	9	23	29:58	-29	30
24	Barrow	38	7	8	23	36:63	-27	29

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League