Result
1:0
02/05/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 46
- Referee: Rock D. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.22 | 1.57 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (197/305) | 71% (220/308) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.22 | 1.57 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (197/305) | 71% (220/308) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (30/81) | 33% (22/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 49% (41/84) | 63% (76/121) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (1/7) | 28% (5/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.17 | 1.05 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 57% (4/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.21 | 0.41 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.21 | -0.59 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 31', Perry T. 🟨,
- 36', Gale S. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
- 37', Hale R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 57', Gray W. 🟨,
- 65', Dack B. ↓, McCleary G. ↑,
- 71', Lloyd G. ↓, Ihionvien B. ↑,
- 71', Gray W. ↓, England I. ↑,
- 71', Lee I. ↓, Hoole L. ↑,
- 72', Marquis J. ↓, McDermott T. ↑,
- 74', Vokes S. ↓, Palmer-Houlden S. ↑,
- 87', Morgan I. ↓, Aiston H. ↑,
- 90+2', 1 - 0, McCleary G. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Gillingham
47.7% | Draw
28% | Shrewsbury Town
24.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Shrewsbury Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Gillingham - Shrewsbury Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.97 ↑
(1.92) |
3.32 ↓
(3.35) |
3.82 ↓
(3.83) |
7.2%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Gillingham - Shrewsbury Town?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Gillingham will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Shrewsbury will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 18 and 19)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 0.
- Gillingham is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Shrewsbury's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Gillingham could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Gillingham: Antwi C.
(Injury)
Ogie S.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Shrewsbury: Hoole L.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Gillingham: Beckles O.
(Inactive)
Coleman E.
(Inactive)
Smith J.
(Leg Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 2 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:25. (average 1.2:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gillingham won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 0.9:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Gillingham won against Shrewsbury Town?
Gillingham has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shrewsbury Town won against Gillingham?
Shrewsbury Town has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gillingham - Shrewsbury Town were as follows:
29.11.2025
Shrewsbury Town
-
Gillingham
3:3
Latest results of Gillingham
Latest results of Shrewsbury Town
English League Two Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley ✔ | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 25 | 87 |
| 2 | MK Dons ✔ | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 41 | 86 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 82 |
| 4 | Salford | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 10 | 81 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 22 | 80 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 15 | 79 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 24 | 78 |
| 8 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 17 | 76 |
| 9 | Swindon | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 11 | 75 |
| 10 | Oldham | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 16 | 68 |
| 11 | Crewe | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 6 | 67 |
| 12 | Colchester | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 13 | 66 |
| 13 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 0 | 65 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | -9 | 62 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | -1 | 61 |
| 16 | Accrington | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | -11 | 53 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | -19 | 53 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | -26 | 52 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | -27 | 49 |
| 20 | Newport | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | -29 | 43 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | -25 | 41 |
| 22 | Crawley | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | -24 | 40 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | -29 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | -33 | 36 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Bromley is Qualified for League One
MK Dons is Qualified for League One
