Result
3:2
04/10/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 11
- Referee: Drysdale D. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.59 | 2.74 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (167/284) | 63% (203/320) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.59 | 2.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 1.64 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (167/284) | 63% (203/320) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 23% (20/86) | 32% (30/93) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 40% (39/97) | 44% (50/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 28% (8/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.08 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 65 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 45 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.64 | 1.89 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.36 | -0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, Gale S. (Own goal),
- 34', Smith A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 57', 2 - 0, Mendez-Laing N. ⚽, Kelly L. (A),
- 60', Hutton R. 🟨,
- 63', Andrews J. 🟨,
- 63', Maguire L. 🟨,
- 65', Nevitt E. ↓, Palmer-Houlden S. ↑,
- 65', Andrews J. ↓, Vokes S. ↑,
- 69', 3 - 0, Paterson C. ⚽, Collar W. (A),
- 76', 3 - 1, Palmer-Houlden S. ⚽,
- 76', Ogie S. ↓, Clark M. ↑,
- 76', Rowe A. ↓, Cirino L. ↑,
- 83', Kelly L. ↓, Crowley D. ↑,
- 83', Collar W. ↓, Thompson-Sommers K. ↑,
- 87', Mendez-Laing N. ↓, Leko J. ↑,
- 87', Maguire L. ↓, Thompson N. ↑,
- 90+3', Leko J. 🟨,
- 90+4', 3 - 2, Williams J. ⚽, Gale S. (A),
Chances of winning
Milton Keynes Dons
49.8% | Draw
27.5% | Gillingham
22.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Milton Keynes Dons - Gillingham Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.93 ↑
(1.83) |
3.56 ↓
(3.58) |
4.37 ↑
(4.06) |
2.8%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Milton Keynes Dons - Gillingham?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Gillingham (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Gillingham will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 1.
- MK Dons is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Gillingham is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- MK Dons is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 26:26. (average 1.5:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, MK Dons won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.5:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Gillingham?
Milton Keynes Dons has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gillingham won against Milton Keynes Dons?
Gillingham has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Milton Keynes Dons - Gillingham were as follows:
12.04.2025
Gillingham
-
Milton Keynes Dons
1:0
14.12.2024
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Gillingham
0:1
27.01.2024
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Gillingham
2:1
07.10.2023
Gillingham
-
Milton Keynes Dons
2:1
Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
Latest results of Gillingham
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Walsall | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 28:18 | 10 | 35 |
| 2 | Swindon | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 31:24 | 7 | 34 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 35:20 | 15 | 32 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 30:20 | 10 | 31 |
| 5 | Bromley | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 28:22 | 6 | 30 |
| 6 | Gillingham | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 26:20 | 6 | 29 |
| 7 | Cambridge Utd | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20:16 | 4 | 29 |
| 8 | Salford | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 24:25 | -1 | 29 |
| 9 | Colchester | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 28:21 | 7 | 28 |
| 10 | Chesterfield | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 32:29 | 3 | 28 |
| 11 | Crewe | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 27:24 | 3 | 27 |
| 12 | Grimsby | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 32:25 | 7 | 26 |
| 13 | Fleetwood | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 27:26 | 1 | 26 |
| 14 | Barnet | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22:19 | 3 | 25 |
| 15 | Tranmere | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 30:27 | 3 | 23 |
| 16 | Oldham | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 16:13 | 3 | 23 |
| 17 | Accrington | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
| 18 | Barrow | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 18:23 | -5 | 20 |
| 19 | Crawley | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 22:30 | -8 | 17 |
| 20 | Shrewsbury | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 18:31 | -13 | 17 |
| 21 | Bristol Rovers | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 15:31 | -16 | 17 |
| 22 | Cheltenham | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 14:32 | -18 | 17 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 17:28 | -11 | 16 |
| 24 | Newport | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 18:33 | -15 | 12 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
