Gillingham vs Milton Keynes Dons: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

12/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Priestfield Stadium (Gillingham).

: League Two - Round 42
Referee: Massey-Ellis R. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.20	0.25
Ball Possession
44%	56%
Total shots
8	4
Shots on target
4	0
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
2	0
Passes
62% (178/286)	69% (259/374)
Yellow Cards
1	5
Expected Goals (xG)
0.20	0.25
xG on target (xGOT)
0.17	0.00
Total shots
8	4
Shots on target
4	0
Shots off target
3	2
Blocked Shots
1	2
Shots inside the Box
5	2
Shots outside the Box
3	2
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
2	0
Touches in opposition box
13	12
Offsides
0	3
Free Kicks
18	13
Passes
62% (178/286)	69% (259/374)
Long passes
29% (21/73)	35% (25/72)
Passes in final third
52% (63/121)	48% (47/98)
Crosses
23% (6/26)	14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.87	0.22
Fouls
13	18
Tackles
55% (12/22)	76% (13/17)
Duels won
65	61
Clearances Total
34	39
Interceptions
14	4
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	3
xGOT faced
0.00	0.17
Goals prevented
0.00	-0.15

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Offord L. 🟨,
45+2', Williams E. ↓, Gbode J. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Rowe A. ↓, Dack B. ↑,
64', Sanders J. 🟨,
65', Gbode J. 🟨,
67', Hendry C. ↓, White J. ↑,
77', Lemonheigh-Evans C. 🟨,
81', Gilbey A. 🟨,
83', Hutton R. ↓, Hawkins O. ↑,
83', Gbode J. ↓, Clarke J. ↑,
84', Thompson-Sommers K. 🟨,
86', Gilbey A. ↓, Orsi-Dadomo D. ↑,
86', Thompson-Sommers K. ↓, Kelly L. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 0, Dack B. ⚽, Masterson C. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Gillingham
44.3%

Draw
28%

Milton Keynes Dons
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

27.7%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

28%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gillingham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Milton Keynes Dons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gillingham that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Milton Keynes Dons could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gillingham - Milton Keynes Dons Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.38)	3.35 ↓ (3.4)	3.4 ↑ (2.88)	6.1% (6.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Gillingham - Milton Keynes Dons?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Gillingham (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 17 and 19).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Gillingham won 2.
Recent matches Gillingham is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
MK Dons is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Gillingham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Gillingham will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Gillingham: Andrews J. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in MK Dons: Hendry C. (Injury) Patterson T. (Inactive) Sherring S. (Inactive) Thompson N. (Knee Injury) White J. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Gillingham: Coleman E. (Calf Injury) Dack B. (Inactive) Ehmer M. (Inactive) Rowe A. (Injury)
Last 16 head-to-head matches Gillingham won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 25:26 (average 1.6:1.6).
Including matches at home between the teams Gillingham won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18:14 (average 2.3:1.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Gillingham won against Milton Keynes Dons?

Gillingham has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Gillingham?

Milton Keynes Dons has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Gillingham - Milton Keynes Dons were as follows:

14.12.2024 Milton Keynes Dons - Gillingham 0:1

27.01.2024 Milton Keynes Dons - Gillingham 2:1

07.10.2023 Gillingham - Milton Keynes Dons 2:1

Latest results of Gillingham

08.04.2025 Chesterfield - Gillingham 1:1 ✺

05.04.2025 Salford City - Gillingham 2:2 ✺

01.04.2025 Gillingham - Colchester United 1:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Harrogate Town - Gillingham 1:1 ✺

22.03.2025 Gillingham - Walsall 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons

05.04.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Barrow 0:3 ✺

02.04.2025 Notts County - Milton Keynes Dons 3:0 ✺

29.03.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Fleetwood Town 2:4 ✺

25.03.2025 Carlisle United - Milton Keynes Dons 2:2 ✺

22.03.2025 Cheltenham Town - Milton Keynes Dons 0:1 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Colchester	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Bristol Rovers	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Cheltenham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Crewe	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Gillingham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Oldham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Swindon	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Tranmere	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Walsall	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Accrington	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Barnet	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Chesterfield	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Grimsby	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	MK Dons	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Notts Co	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Shrewsbury	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Cambridge Utd	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Crawley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Barrow	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Bromley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
21	Newport	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
22	Harrogate	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
23	Fleetwood	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
24	Salford	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ League Two
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League

Which TV channels are streaming of Gillingham - Milton Keynes Dons?

It is being streamed on various channels, including: