Milton Keynes Dons vs Gillingham – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Milton Keynes Dons - Gillingham
Result
3:2
04/10/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 11
  • Referee: Drysdale D. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.592.74
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
1314
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
59% (167/284)63% (203/320)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
2.592.74
xG on target (xGOT)
1.891.64
Total shots
1314
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
58
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
810
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
1822
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1120
Passes
59% (167/284)63% (203/320)
Long passes
23% (20/86)32% (30/93)
Passes in final third
40% (39/97)44% (50/113)
Crosses
50% (5/10)28% (8/29)
Expected assists (xA)
1.131.08
Throw-ins
1330
Fouls
2011
Tackles
31% (4/13)83% (10/12)
Duels won
6560
Clearances
4522
Interceptions
89
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.641.89
Goals prevented
-0.36-0.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Gale S. (Own goal),
  • 34', Smith A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 57', 2 - 0, Mendez-Laing N. , Kelly L. (A),
  • 60', Hutton R. 🟨,
  • 63', Andrews J. 🟨,
  • 63', Maguire L. 🟨,
  • 65', Nevitt E. , Palmer-Houlden S. ,
  • 65', Andrews J. , Vokes S. ,
  • 69', 3 - 0, Paterson C. , Collar W. (A),
  • 76', 3 - 1, Palmer-Houlden S. ,
  • 76', Ogie S. , Clark M. ,
  • 76', Rowe A. , Cirino L. ,
  • 83', Kelly L. , Crowley D. ,
  • 83', Collar W. , Thompson-Sommers K. ,
  • 87', Mendez-Laing N. , Leko J. ,
  • 87', Maguire L. , Thompson N. ,
  • 90+3', Leko J. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 3 - 2, Williams J. , Gale S. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Milton Keynes Dons
49.8%
Draw
27.5%
Gillingham
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.9% 26.1% 23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6% 25.4% 23.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Milton Keynes Dons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • Milton Keynes Dons - Gillingham Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.93
    (1.83)
    3.56
    (3.58)
    4.37
    (4.06)
    2.8%
    (7.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Milton Keynes Dons - Gillingham?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Gillingham (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Gillingham will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 1.
    • MK Dons is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Gillingham is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • MK Dons is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 26:26. (average 1.5:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, MK Dons won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.5:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Milton Keynes Dons - Gillingham were as follows:
    12.04.2025 Gillingham - Milton Keynes Dons 1:0
    14.12.2024 Milton Keynes Dons - Gillingham 0:1
    27.01.2024 Milton Keynes Dons - Gillingham 2:1
    07.10.2023 Gillingham - Milton Keynes Dons 2:1
    Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
    Latest results of Gillingham
    13.09.2025 Gillingham - Notts County 1:0
    06.09.2025 Bromley - Gillingham 2:2
    02.09.2025 Gillingham - Fulham U21 4:1
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1382319:12726
    2Swindon1381424:19525
    3MK Dons1373326:131324
    4Grimsby1373325:151024
    5Gillingham1364318:12622
    6Chesterfield1364323:20322
    7Salford1371518:17122
    8Notts Co1363423:15821
    9Cambridge Utd1363416:13321
    10Barnet1362516:13320
    11Crewe1361617:16119
    12Fleetwood1354419:19019
    13Bromley1346319:17218
    14Colchester1345421:18317
    15Barrow1352611:13-217
    16Bristol Rovers1352614:21-717
    17Oldham1336410:10015
    18Tranmere1235420:18214
    19Harrogate1342715:20-514
    20Accrington1233611:14-312
    21Shrewsbury1333710:20-1012
    22Cheltenham133289:25-1611
    23Crawley1323810:22-129
    24Newport1322911:23-128

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League