Milton Keynes Dons vs Gillingham – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/10/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadium MK (Milton Keynes).

League Two - Round 11
Referee: Drysdale D. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.59	2.74
Ball Possession
46%	54%
Total shots
13	14
Shots on target
4	4
Big Chances
3	4
Corner Kicks
3	4
Passes
59% (167/284)	63% (203/320)
Yellow Cards
2	3
Expected Goals (xG)
2.59	2.74
xG on target (xGOT)
1.89	1.64
Total shots
13	14
Shots on target
4	4
Shots off target
5	8
Blocked Shots
4	2
Shots inside the Box
8	10
Shots outside the Box
5	4
Hit the Woodwork
1	1
Big Chances
3	4
Corner Kicks
3	4
Touches in opposition box
18	22
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
11	20
Passes
59% (167/284)	63% (203/320)
Long passes
23% (20/86)	32% (30/93)
Passes in final third
40% (39/97)	44% (50/113)
Crosses
50% (5/10)	28% (8/29)
Expected assists (xA)
1.13	1.08
Throw-ins
13	30
Fouls
20	11
Tackles
31% (4/13)	83% (10/12)
Duels won
65	60
Clearances
45	22
Interceptions
8	9
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
1.64	1.89
Goals prevented
-0.36	-0.11

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Gale S. (Own goal),
34', Smith A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
57', 2 - 0, Mendez-Laing N. ⚽, Kelly L. (A),
60', Hutton R. 🟨,
63', Andrews J. 🟨,
63', Maguire L. 🟨,
65', Nevitt E. ↓, Palmer-Houlden S. ↑,
65', Andrews J. ↓, Vokes S. ↑,
69', 3 - 0, Paterson C. ⚽, Collar W. (A),
76', 3 - 1, Palmer-Houlden S. ⚽,
76', Ogie S. ↓, Clark M. ↑,
76', Rowe A. ↓, Cirino L. ↑,
83', Kelly L. ↓, Crowley D. ↑,
83', Collar W. ↓, Thompson-Sommers K. ↑,
87', Mendez-Laing N. ↓, Leko J. ↑,
87', Maguire L. ↓, Thompson N. ↑,
90+3', Leko J. 🟨,
90+4', 3 - 2, Williams J. ⚽, Gale S. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Milton Keynes Dons
49.8%

Draw
27.5%

Gillingham
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

26.1%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6%

25.4%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milton Keynes Dons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Milton Keynes Dons - Gillingham Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.83)	3.56 ↓ (3.58)	4.37 ↑ (4.06)	2.8% (7.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Milton Keynes Dons - Gillingham?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Gillingham (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Gillingham will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 1.
MK Dons is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Gillingham is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
MK Dons is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 26:26. (average 1.5:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, MK Dons won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.5:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Gillingham?

Milton Keynes Dons has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Gillingham won against Milton Keynes Dons?

Gillingham has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Milton Keynes Dons - Gillingham were as follows:

12.04.2025 Gillingham - Milton Keynes Dons 1:0

14.12.2024 Milton Keynes Dons - Gillingham 0:1

27.01.2024 Milton Keynes Dons - Gillingham 2:1

07.10.2023 Gillingham - Milton Keynes Dons 2:1

Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons

27.09.2025 Shrewsbury Town - Milton Keynes Dons 1:2 ✺

20.09.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Accrington Stanley 1:2 ✺

16.09.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - West Ham United U21 1:5 ✺

13.09.2025 Chesterfield - Milton Keynes Dons 1:1 ✺

06.09.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Grimsby Town 2:3 ✺

Latest results of Gillingham

27.09.2025 Gillingham - Harrogate Town 0:1 ✺

20.09.2025 Newport County - Gillingham 1:3 ✺

13.09.2025 Gillingham - Notts County 1:0 ✺

06.09.2025 Bromley - Gillingham 2:2 ✺

02.09.2025 Gillingham - Fulham U21 4:1 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Walsall	13	8	2	3	19:12	7	26
2	Swindon	13	8	1	4	24:19	5	25
3	MK Dons	13	7	3	3	26:13	13	24
4	Grimsby	13	7	3	3	25:15	10	24
5	Gillingham	13	6	4	3	18:12	6	22
6	Chesterfield	13	6	4	3	23:20	3	22
7	Salford	13	7	1	5	18:17	1	22
8	Notts Co	13	6	3	4	23:15	8	21
9	Cambridge Utd	13	6	3	4	16:13	3	21
10	Barnet	13	6	2	5	16:13	3	20
11	Crewe	13	6	1	6	17:16	1	19
12	Fleetwood	13	5	4	4	19:19	0	19
13	Bromley	13	4	6	3	19:17	2	18
14	Colchester	13	4	5	4	21:18	3	17
15	Barrow	13	5	2	6	11:13	-2	17
16	Bristol Rovers	13	5	2	6	14:21	-7	17
17	Oldham	13	3	6	4	10:10	0	15
18	Tranmere	12	3	5	4	20:18	2	14
19	Harrogate	13	4	2	7	15:20	-5	14
20	Accrington	12	3	3	6	11:14	-3	12
21	Shrewsbury	13	3	3	7	10:20	-10	12
22	Cheltenham	13	3	2	8	9:25	-16	11
23	Crawley	13	2	3	8	10:22	-12	9
24	Newport	13	2	2	9	11:23	-12	8

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League