Gillingham vs Milton Keynes Dons – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

10/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Priestfield Stadium (Gillingham).

League Two - Round 26

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.16	2.61
Ball possession
54%	46%
Total shots
13	12
Shots on target
5	7
Big chances
1	3
Corner kicks
3	5
Passes
57% (189/332)	51% (144/285)
Yellow cards
3	1
Expected goals (xG)
1.16	2.61
xG on target (xGOT)
1.51	3.50
Total shots
13	12
Shots on target
5	7
Shots off target
5	5
Blocked shots
3	0
Shots inside the box
8	8
Shots outside the box
5	4
Hit the woodwork
0	2
Headed goals
1	1
Big chances
1	3
Corner kicks
3	5
Touches in opposition box
13	18
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	3
Free kicks
12	8
Passes
57% (189/332)	51% (144/285)
Long passes
36% (33/92)	25% (24/95)
Passes in final third
43% (48/111)	47% (54/114)
Crosses
18% (3/17)	15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.52	0.52
Throw ins
31	35
Fouls
8	12
Tackles
71% (15/21)	75% (9/12)
Duels won
69	56
Clearances
35	38
Interceptions
9	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	3
xGOT faced
3.50	1.51
Goals prevented
-1.50	0.51

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 3)
15', 0 - 1, Gilbey A. ⚽, Collins A. (A),
23', Crowley D. 🟨,
26', 0 - 2, Jones G. ⚽, Wiles B. (A),
33', 0 - 3, Ekpiteta M. ⚽, Kelly L. (A),
44', Hale R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Crowley D. ↓, Hogan S. ↑,
51', 0 - 4, Wiles B. ⚽,
55', Hale R. ↓, Vokes S. ↑,
55', Hutton R. ↓, Akomeah T. ↑,
60', Rowe A. 🟨,
62', Collins A. ↓, Lemonheigh-Evans C. ↑,
69', Clark M. ↓, Khumbeni N. ↑,
69', Williams E. ↓, Cirino L. ↑,
76', Coleman E. ↓, Luxton M. ↑,
77', 1 - 4, Palmer-Houlden S. ⚽,
79', Offord L. ↓, Tomlinson J. ↑,
87', 1 - 5, Kelly L. ⚽, Lemonheigh-Evans C. (A),
90', Wiles B. ↓, Leko J. ↑,
90', Jones G. ↓, Nemane A. ↑,
90+5', Cirino L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Gillingham
26.9%

Draw
28.5%

Milton Keynes Dons
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

29.1%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

28.1%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Gillingham - Milton Keynes Dons Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.44 ↑ (2.95)	3.27 ↑ (3.15)	2.11 ↓ (2.3)	7.2% (9.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Gillingham - Milton Keynes Dons?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Gillingham (votes: 1 - 50%). MK Dons (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Milton Keynes Dons will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Postponed due to FA Cup.
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 16 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 3.
Gillingham has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, MK Dons has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
MK Dons may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Gillingham: Khumbeni N. (Inactive) McCleary G. (Inactive) Williams E. (Shoulder Injury) Wyllie M. (Inactive)
There will not play in MK Dons: Collar W. (Inactive) Ekpiteta M. (Inactive) Gilbey A. (Inactive) Maguire L. (Inactive) Mendez-Laing N. (Inactive) Tomlinson J. (Inactive) Wilson K. (Knee Injury)
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:29. (average 1.6:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Gillingham won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:14. (average 2.1:1.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Gillingham won against Milton Keynes Dons?

Gillingham has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Gillingham?

Milton Keynes Dons has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Gillingham - Milton Keynes Dons were as follows:

04.10.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Gillingham 3:2

12.04.2025 Gillingham - Milton Keynes Dons 1:0

14.12.2024 Milton Keynes Dons - Gillingham 0:1

27.01.2024 Milton Keynes Dons - Gillingham 2:1

07.10.2023 Gillingham - Milton Keynes Dons 2:1

Latest results of Gillingham

07.03.2026 Gillingham - Fleetwood Town 1:1 ✺

28.02.2026 Barrow - Gillingham 0:1 ✺

21.02.2026 Gillingham - Oldham Athletic 0:3 ✺

17.02.2026 Chesterfield - Gillingham 1:0 ✺

14.02.2026 Crewe Alexandra - Gillingham 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons

07.03.2026 Milton Keynes Dons - Harrogate Town 4:1 ✺

28.02.2026 Cambridge United - Milton Keynes Dons 1:1 ✺

23.02.2026 Walsall - Milton Keynes Dons 0:2 ✺

17.02.2026 Milton Keynes Dons - Crawley Town 0:0 ✺

14.02.2026 Milton Keynes Dons - Newport County 1:0 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	39	22	13	4	62:36	26	79
2	MK Dons	39	21	11	7	76:40	36	74
3	Cambridge Utd	38	20	12	6	56:28	28	72
4	Notts Co	38	21	7	10	65:39	26	70
5	Swindon	39	21	6	12	63:45	18	69
6	Salford	39	21	4	14	54:48	6	67
7	Grimsby	38	17	11	10	56:40	16	62
8	Chesterfield	39	16	14	9	61:52	9	62
9	Crewe	39	17	9	13	58:47	11	60
10	Walsall	39	17	9	13	48:41	7	60
11	Oldham	37	15	13	9	44:31	13	58
12	Barnet	39	15	12	12	49:43	6	57
13	Fleetwood	39	14	12	13	48:46	2	54
14	Colchester	38	14	11	13	50:41	9	53
15	Accrington	38	13	9	16	38:42	-4	48
16	Gillingham	38	11	12	15	44:56	-12	45
17	Bristol Rovers	39	13	4	22	40:60	-20	43
18	Cheltenham	38	11	9	18	43:65	-22	42
19	Shrewsbury	39	11	8	20	37:63	-26	41
20	Tranmere	39	9	9	21	48:69	-21	36
21	Crawley	39	6	13	20	36:60	-24	31
22	Newport	39	8	7	24	39:67	-28	31
23	Harrogate	39	7	9	23	29:58	-29	30
24	Barrow	38	7	8	23	36:63	-27	29

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League