Result
2:1
10/04/2023 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 41
- Referee: Oldham S. (Eng)
Chances of winning
Northampton Town 47.7% | Draw 30% | Gillingham 22.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Northampton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Gillingham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (-1%)
Northampton Town - Gillingham Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.97 ↓ (2.01) |
3.14 ↑ (2.9) |
4.2 ↓ (4.39) |
6.5% (7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Northampton Town - Gillingham?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Northampton will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Northampton: 50.5% – 99.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Northampton has the most likely position - 2 (21.69%), project points - 79, currently - 70, not chance of relegated, a good chance of prom. playoffs (52%), a good chance of promoted (54%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Gillingham has the most likely position - 19 (25%), project points - 53, currently - 47, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.
- This event has small quality 10, importance 50, small match rating 30. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Northampton won 3.
- Northampton is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Gillingham is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- In this match Northampton is a favorite.
- Last 10 head-to-head matches Northampton won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-12.
- Including matches at home between the teams Northampton won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.
How many head-to-head matches has Northampton Town won against Gillingham?
Northampton Town has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gillingham won against Northampton Town?
Gillingham has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Northampton Town - Gillingham were as follows:
12.11.2022
Gillingham
-
Northampton Town
0:2
Latest results of Northampton Town
Latest results of Gillingham
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 43 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 68:43 | 25 | 83 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 43 | 22 | 13 | 8 | 79:43 | 36 | 79 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 42 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 62:31 | 31 | 77 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 43 | 23 | 7 | 13 | 71:49 | 22 | 76 |
| 5 | Swindon | 43 | 22 | 8 | 13 | 67:51 | 16 | 74 |
| 6 | Salford | 43 | 23 | 5 | 15 | 57:50 | 7 | 74 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 42 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 64:53 | 11 | 69 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 41 | 19 | 11 | 11 | 62:45 | 17 | 68 |
| 9 | Barnet | 43 | 18 | 13 | 12 | 60:49 | 11 | 67 |
| 10 | Crewe | 43 | 19 | 9 | 15 | 63:53 | 10 | 66 |
| 11 | Oldham | 42 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 52:36 | 16 | 65 |
| 12 | Walsall | 43 | 17 | 11 | 15 | 52:50 | 2 | 62 |
| 13 | Colchester | 42 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 56:45 | 11 | 60 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 53:54 | -1 | 58 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 43 | 17 | 4 | 22 | 49:63 | -14 | 55 |
| 16 | Accrington | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 41:48 | -7 | 51 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 48:60 | -12 | 50 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 43 | 13 | 8 | 22 | 40:66 | -26 | 47 |
| 19 | Cheltenham | 41 | 12 | 10 | 19 | 48:67 | -19 | 46 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 49:72 | -23 | 37 |
| 21 | Crawley | 43 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 41:65 | -24 | 37 |
| 22 | Newport | 43 | 10 | 7 | 26 | 43:73 | -30 | 37 |
| 23 | Barrow | 42 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 40:68 | -28 | 33 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 43 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 35:66 | -31 | 33 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League