Result
2:1
10/04/2023 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 41
- Referee: Oldham S. (Eng)
Chances of winning
Northampton Town 47.7% | Draw 30% | Gillingham 22.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Northampton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Gillingham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (-1%)
Northampton Town - Gillingham Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.97 ↓ (2.01) |
3.14 ↑ (2.9) |
4.2 ↓ (4.39) |
6.5% (7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Northampton Town - Gillingham?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Northampton will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Northampton: 50.5% – 99.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Northampton has the most likely position - 2 (21.69%), project points - 79, currently - 70, not chance of relegated, a good chance of prom. playoffs (52%), a good chance of promoted (54%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Gillingham has the most likely position - 19 (25%), project points - 53, currently - 47, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.
- This event has small quality 10, importance 50, small match rating 30. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Northampton won 3.
- Northampton is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Gillingham is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- In this match Northampton is a favorite.
- Last 10 head-to-head matches Northampton won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-12.
- Including matches at home between the teams Northampton won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.
How many head-to-head matches has Northampton Town won against Gillingham?
Northampton Town has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gillingham won against Northampton Town?
Gillingham has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Northampton Town - Gillingham were as follows:
12.11.2022
Gillingham
-
Northampton Town
0:2
Latest results of Northampton Town
Latest results of Gillingham
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Grimsby | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
2 | Crewe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
3 | Fleetwood | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Walsall | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
5 | Chesterfield | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
6 | Cambridge Utd | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
7 | Harrogate | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
8 | Colchester | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
9 | Gillingham | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
10 | Tranmere | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
11 | Accrington | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
12 | Notts Co | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
13 | Newport | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
14 | Oldham | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
15 | MK Dons | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
16 | Shrewsbury | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
17 | Bromley | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
18 | Swindon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
20 | Cheltenham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
21 | Barrow | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
22 | Salford | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
23 | Barnet | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
24 | Crawley | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ League Two
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League