Gillingham vs Swindon Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

26/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Priestfield Stadium (Gillingham).

League Two - Round 45
Referee: Hair N. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.94	0.42
Ball Possession
42%	58%
Total shots
9	8
Shots on target
3	3
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
2	3
Passes
53% (143/269)	69% (265/382)
Yellow Cards
5	3
Red Cards
2	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94	0.42
xG on target (xGOT)
0.72	0.37
Total shots
9	8
Shots on target
3	3
Shots off target
2	2
Blocked Shots
4	3
Shots inside the Box
5	4
Shots outside the Box
4	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
2	3
Touches in opposition box
16	14
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
15	13
Passes
53% (143/269)	69% (265/382)
Long passes
17% (13/78)	32% (25/77)
Passes in final third
40% (37/93)	54% (61/112)
Crosses
25% (4/16)	0% (0/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.60	0.28
Throw-ins
26	23
Fouls
13	15
Tackles
67% (8/12)	58% (14/24)
Duels won
55	62
Clearances
13	32
Interceptions
6	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
0.37	0.72
Goals prevented
-0.63	-0.28

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Gale S. 🟨,
45', Tshimanga K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', Nevitt E. ↓, Gbode J. ↑,
61', 1 - 0, Gbode J. ⚽,
64', Dack B. ↓, Corness D. ↑,
67', Williams J. 🟨,
68', 1 - 1, Wright W. ⚽,
70', Gbode J. 🟨,
77', Nichols T. ↓, Westley J. ↑,
77', Tshimanga K. ↓, Butterworth D. ↑,
78', Kirkman B. ↓, Ameen B. ↑,
78', Glatzel P. 🟨,
80', Cotterill J. ↓, Ofoborh N. ↑,
83', McKenzie R. ↓, Coleman E. ↑,
83', Rowe A. ↓, Morgan J. ↑,
90+4', Gbode J. 🟨,
90+4', Freckleton M. 🟨,
90+4', Williams J. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Gillingham
33.6%

Draw
28.5%

Swindon Town
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

25.6%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

26.8%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gillingham's form might have worsened.

Swindon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Swindon Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gillingham, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Swindon Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Gillingham - Swindon Town Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.12)	3.28 ↓ (3.65)	2.5 ↓ (3.1)	6.2% (6.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Gillingham - Swindon Town?

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Gillingham will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). Swindon will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swindon: 28.1% – 78.5%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Swindon (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH 0 - Swindon (votes: 3 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 17 and 13).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Gillingham won 1.
Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
There will not play in Gillingham: Andrews J. (Knee Injury) Williams E. (Injury)
There will not play in Swindon: Drinan A. (Knee Injury) Hall G. (Inactive) McGregor J. (Inactive) Minturn H. (Groin Injury)
There are questionable in Gillingham: Coleman E. (Calf Injury) Ehmer M. (Inactive) Hawkins O. (Injury) Little A. (Injury) Smith A. (Injury)
Last 16 head-to-head matches Gillingham won 7 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 26:16 (average 1.6:1).
Including matches at home between the teams Gillingham won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:5 (average 1.1:0.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Gillingham won against Swindon Town?

Gillingham has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against Gillingham?

Swindon Town has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Gillingham - Swindon Town were as follows:

26.10.2024 Swindon Town - Gillingham 1:1

13.02.2024 Gillingham - Swindon Town 2:2

24.10.2023 Swindon Town - Gillingham 0:1

28.01.2023 Swindon Town - Gillingham 3:3

03.09.2022 Gillingham - Swindon Town 0:0

Latest results of Gillingham

21.04.2025 Gillingham - AFC Wimbledon 1:0 ✺

18.04.2025 Cheltenham Town - Gillingham 1:1 ✺

12.04.2025 Gillingham - Milton Keynes Dons 1:0 ✺

08.04.2025 Chesterfield - Gillingham 1:1 ✺

05.04.2025 Salford City - Gillingham 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Swindon Town

21.04.2025 Swindon Town - Bromley 0:1 ✺

18.04.2025 Grimsby Town - Swindon Town 0:4 ✺

12.04.2025 Swindon Town - Bradford City 5:4 ✺

05.04.2025 Fleetwood Town - Swindon Town 0:4 ✺

01.04.2025 Swindon Town - AFC Wimbledon 2:1 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Colchester	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Bristol Rovers	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Cheltenham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Crewe	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Gillingham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Oldham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Swindon	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Tranmere	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Walsall	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Accrington	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Barnet	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Chesterfield	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Grimsby	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	MK Dons	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Notts Co	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Shrewsbury	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Cambridge Utd	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Crawley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Barrow	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Bromley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
21	Newport	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
22	Harrogate	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
23	Fleetwood	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
24	Salford	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ League Two
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League