Result
1:1
26/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 45
- Referee: Hair N. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.42 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 53% (143/269) | 69% (265/382) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.42 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.37 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 53% (143/269) | 69% (265/382) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 17% (13/78) | 32% (25/77) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 40% (37/93) | 54% (61/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 0% (0/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.28 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 58% (14/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.72 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.63 | -0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 13', Gale S. 🟨,
- 45', Tshimanga K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 50', Nevitt E. ↓, Gbode J. ↑,
- 61', 1 - 0, Gbode J. ⚽,
- 64', Dack B. ↓, Corness D. ↑,
- 67', Williams J. 🟨,
- 68', 1 - 1, Wright W. ⚽,
- 70', Gbode J. 🟨,
- 77', Nichols T. ↓, Westley J. ↑,
- 77', Tshimanga K. ↓, Butterworth D. ↑,
- 78', Kirkman B. ↓, Ameen B. ↑,
- 78', Glatzel P. 🟨,
- 80', Cotterill J. ↓, Ofoborh N. ↑,
- 83', McKenzie R. ↓, Coleman E. ↑,
- 83', Rowe A. ↓, Morgan J. ↑,
- 90+4', Gbode J. 🟨,
- 90+4', Freckleton M. 🟨,
- 90+4', Williams J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Gillingham
33.6% | Draw
28.5% | Swindon Town
37.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gillingham's form might have worsened.Swindon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Swindon Town's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+12.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gillingham, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (-8.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Swindon Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Gillingham - Swindon Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.8 ↑
(2.12) |
3.28 ↓
(3.65) |
2.5 ↓
(3.1) |
6.2%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Gillingham - Swindon Town?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Gillingham will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). Swindon will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swindon: 28.1% – 78.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Swindon (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Swindon (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 17 and 13).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Gillingham won 1.
- Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- There will not play in Gillingham: Andrews J.
(Knee Injury)
Williams E.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Swindon: Drinan A.
(Knee Injury)
Hall G.
(Inactive)
McGregor J.
(Inactive)
Minturn H.
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in Gillingham: Coleman E.
(Calf Injury)
Ehmer M.
(Inactive)
Hawkins O.
(Injury)
Little A.
(Injury)
Smith A.
(Injury)
- Last 16 head-to-head matches Gillingham won 7 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 26:16 (average 1.6:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Gillingham won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:5 (average 1.1:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Gillingham won against Swindon Town?
Gillingham has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against Gillingham?
Swindon Town has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gillingham - Swindon Town were as follows:
26.10.2024
Swindon Town
-
Gillingham
1:1
13.02.2024
Gillingham
-
Swindon Town
2:2
24.10.2023
Swindon Town
-
Gillingham
0:1
28.01.2023
Swindon Town
-
Gillingham
3:3
03.09.2022
Gillingham
-
Swindon Town
0:0
Latest results of Gillingham
Latest results of Swindon Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Crewe | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | 8 | 12 |
| 2 | Grimsby | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 10 |
| 3 | Chesterfield | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Salford | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
| 5 | MK Dons | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8:1 | 7 | 8 |
| 6 | Gillingham | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 8 |
| 7 | Bromley | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 8 |
| 8 | Harrogate | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
| 9 | Cambridge Utd | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 7 |
| 10 | Fleetwood | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Walsall | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 12 | Swindon | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 13 | Tranmere | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 5 |
| 14 | Colchester | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 5 |
| 15 | Notts Co | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 4 |
| 16 | Newport | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
| 17 | Oldham | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 18 | Barnet | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
| 19 | Barrow | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 20 | Accrington | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
| 21 | Bristol Rovers | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
| 22 | Crawley | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 1 |
| 23 | Shrewsbury | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:10 | -9 | 1 |
| 24 | Cheltenham | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:10 | -9 | 0 |
Promotion ~ League Two
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
