Gillingham vs Swindon Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
26/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 45
  • Referee: Hair N. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.940.42
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
98
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
23
Passes
53% (143/269)69% (265/382)
Yellow Cards
53
Red Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
0.940.42
xG on target (xGOT)
0.720.37
Total shots
98
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
22
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
54
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
23
Touches in opposition box
1614
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1513
Passes
53% (143/269)69% (265/382)
Long passes
17% (13/78)32% (25/77)
Passes in final third
40% (37/93)54% (61/112)
Crosses
25% (4/16)0% (0/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.600.28
Throw-ins
2623
Fouls
1315
Tackles
67% (8/12)58% (14/24)
Duels won
5562
Clearances
1332
Interceptions
610
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.370.72
Goals prevented
-0.63-0.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 13', Gale S. 🟨,
  • 45', Tshimanga K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 50', Nevitt E. , Gbode J. ,
  • 61', 1 - 0, Gbode J. ,
  • 64', Dack B. , Corness D. ,
  • 67', Williams J. 🟨,
  • 68', 1 - 1, Wright W. ,
  • 70', Gbode J. 🟨,
  • 77', Nichols T. , Westley J. ,
  • 77', Tshimanga K. , Butterworth D. ,
  • 78', Kirkman B. , Ameen B. ,
  • 78', Glatzel P. 🟨,
  • 80', Cotterill J. , Ofoborh N. ,
  • 83', McKenzie R. , Coleman E. ,
  • 83', Rowe A. , Morgan J. ,
  • 90+4', Gbode J. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Freckleton M. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Williams J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Gillingham
33.6%
Draw
28.5%
Swindon Town
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.2% 25.6% 30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2% 26.8% 28.9%

Gillingham - Swindon Town Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.8
(2.12)
3.28
(3.65)
2.5
(3.1)
6.2%
(6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Gillingham - Swindon Town?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Gillingham will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). Swindon will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Swindon: 28.1%78.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Swindon (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Swindon (1.78) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 17 and 13).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Gillingham won 1.
    • Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in Gillingham: Andrews J. (Knee Injury) Williams E. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Swindon: Drinan A. (Knee Injury) Hall G. (Inactive) McGregor J. (Inactive) Minturn H. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Gillingham: Coleman E. (Calf Injury) Ehmer M. (Inactive) Hawkins O. (Injury) Little A. (Injury) Smith A. (Injury)
    • Last 16 head-to-head matches Gillingham won 7 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 26:16 (average 1.6:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Gillingham won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:5 (average 1.1:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gillingham - Swindon Town were as follows:
    26.10.2024 Swindon Town - Gillingham 1:1
    13.02.2024 Gillingham - Swindon Town 2:2
    24.10.2023 Swindon Town - Gillingham 0:1
    28.01.2023 Swindon Town - Gillingham 3:3
    03.09.2022 Gillingham - Swindon Town 0:0
    Latest results of Gillingham
    Latest results of Swindon Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall18112528:181035
    2Swindon18104431:24734
    3MK Dons1895435:201532
    4Notts Co1894530:201031
    5Bromley1886428:22630
    6Gillingham1978426:20629
    7Cambridge Utd1885520:16429
    8Salford1892724:25-129
    9Colchester1977528:21728
    10Chesterfield1877432:29328
    11Crewe1883727:24327
    12Grimsby1875632:25726
    13Fleetwood1875627:26126
    14Barnet1867522:19325
    15Tranmere1858530:27323
    16Oldham1858516:13323
    17Accrington1856721:22-121
    18Barrow1855818:23-520
    19Crawley1845922:30-817
    20Shrewsbury1845918:31-1317
    21Bristol Rovers18521115:31-1617
    22Cheltenham18521114:32-1817
    23Harrogate18441017:28-1116
    24Newport18331218:33-1512

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League