Result
2:0
01/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 24
- Referee: Durkin J. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.37 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (188/282) | 66% (184/280) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 0.92 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (188/282) | 66% (184/280) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (42/79) | 41% (32/78) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (78/132) | 56% (68/122) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (6/19) | 28% (5/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.26 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 4 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 38% (5/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 73 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 49 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.92 | -0.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 25', Mabete F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 48', Mabete F. ↓, Tabor J. ↑,
- 59', 1 - 0, Tafazolli R. ⚽, Munroe F. (A),
- 60', Andrews J. 🟨,
- 68', Coleman E. ↓, McKenzie R. ↑,
- 68', Rowe A. ↓, Dack B. ↑,
- 69', Williams J. ↓, Smith J. ↑,
- 79', Nevitt E. ↓, Palmer-Houlden S. ↑,
- 82', Oldaker D. ↓, Ball J. ↑,
- 83', Clark M. 🟨,
- 83', Nichols T. 🟨,
- 84', Andrews J. ↓, Vokes S. ↑,
- 86', Tabor J. 🟨,
- 87', Little A. 🟨,
- 89', Ripley C. 🟨,
- 90+1', 2 - 0, Drinan A. ⚽, Palmer O. (A),
Chances of winning
Swindon Town
45.3% | Draw
27.5% | Gillingham
27.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Swindon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Swindon Town - Gillingham Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.06 ↑
(2.04) |
3.38 ↓
(3.43) |
3.41 ↑
(3.25) |
7.4%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Swindon Town - Gillingham?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Swindon (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Swindon Town will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 0.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Swindon is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Swindon: Butterworth D.
(Inactive)
Clarke O.
(Suspended)
Minturn H.
(Groin Injury)
Smith H.
(Knee Injury)
Wilson-Brown T.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Gillingham: McCleary G.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Swindon: Bodin B.
(Inactive)
Delaney R.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Gillingham: Khumbeni N.
(Inactive)
Williams E.
(Shoulder Injury)
Wyllie M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 1 match, drew 9 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 17:27. (average 1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Swindon won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 1.4:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against Gillingham?
Swindon Town has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gillingham won against Swindon Town?
Gillingham has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Swindon Town - Gillingham were as follows:
26.04.2025
Gillingham
-
Swindon Town
1:1
26.10.2024
Swindon Town
-
Gillingham
1:1
13.02.2024
Gillingham
-
Swindon Town
2:2
24.10.2023
Swindon Town
-
Gillingham
0:1
28.01.2023
Swindon Town
-
Gillingham
3:3
Latest results of Swindon Town
Latest results of Gillingham
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 58:35 | 23 | 68 |
| 2 | Cambridge Utd | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 64 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 63:34 | 29 | 62 |
| 4 | Swindon | 35 | 19 | 5 | 11 | 57:41 | 16 | 62 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:33 | 19 | 61 |
| 6 | Crewe | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 52:41 | 11 | 56 |
| 7 | Salford | 33 | 17 | 4 | 12 | 46:43 | 3 | 55 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 52:44 | 8 | 53 |
| 9 | Barnet | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 44:37 | 7 | 53 |
| 10 | Walsall | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 42:36 | 6 | 53 |
| 11 | Grimsby | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 46:37 | 9 | 52 |
| 12 | Colchester | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 48:35 | 13 | 49 |
| 13 | Accrington | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 37:36 | 1 | 46 |
| 14 | Oldham | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 36:30 | 6 | 45 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 43:42 | 1 | 45 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 41:41 | 0 | 44 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 34:54 | -20 | 38 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 34:55 | -21 | 36 |
| 19 | Tranmere | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 46:59 | -13 | 35 |
| 20 | Bristol Rovers | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 33:57 | -24 | 31 |
| 21 | Crawley | 35 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33:56 | -23 | 28 |
| 22 | Barrow | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 33:51 | -18 | 27 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 25:52 | -27 | 27 |
| 24 | Newport | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 32:60 | -28 | 25 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
