Gillingham vs Swindon Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Gillingham - Swindon Town
Result
1:1
26/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 45
  • Referee: Hair N. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.940.42
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
98
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
23
Passes
53% (143/269)69% (265/382)
Yellow Cards
53
Red Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
0.940.42
xG on target (xGOT)
0.720.37
Total shots
98
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
22
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
54
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
23
Touches in opposition box
1614
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1513
Passes
53% (143/269)69% (265/382)
Long passes
17% (13/78)32% (25/77)
Passes in final third
40% (37/93)54% (61/112)
Crosses
25% (4/16)0% (0/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.600.28
Throw-ins
2623
Fouls
1315
Tackles
67% (8/12)58% (14/24)
Duels won
5562
Clearances
1332
Interceptions
610
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.370.72
Goals prevented
-0.63-0.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 13', Gale S. 🟨,
  • 45', Tshimanga K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 50', Nevitt E. , Gbode J. ,
  • 61', 1 - 0, Gbode J. ,
  • 64', Dack B. , Corness D. ,
  • 67', Williams J. 🟨,
  • 68', 1 - 1, Wright W. ,
  • 70', Gbode J. 🟨,
  • 77', Nichols T. , Westley J. ,
  • 77', Tshimanga K. , Butterworth D. ,
  • 78', Kirkman B. , Ameen B. ,
  • 78', Glatzel P. 🟨,
  • 80', Cotterill J. , Ofoborh N. ,
  • 83', McKenzie R. , Coleman E. ,
  • 83', Rowe A. , Morgan J. ,
  • 90+4', Gbode J. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Freckleton M. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Williams J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Gillingham
33.6%
Draw
28.5%
Swindon Town
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.2% 25.6% 30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2% 26.8% 28.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gillingham's form might have worsened.
  • Swindon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Swindon Town's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+12.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gillingham, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Swindon Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Gillingham - Swindon Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.8
    (2.12)
    3.28
    (3.65)
    2.5
    (3.1)
    6.2%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Gillingham - Swindon Town?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Gillingham will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). Swindon will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Swindon: 28.1%78.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Swindon (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Swindon (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 17 and 13).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Gillingham won 1.
    • Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in Gillingham: Andrews J. (Knee Injury) Williams E. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Swindon: Drinan A. (Knee Injury) Hall G. (Inactive) McGregor J. (Inactive) Minturn H. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Gillingham: Coleman E. (Calf Injury) Ehmer M. (Inactive) Hawkins O. (Injury) Little A. (Injury) Smith A. (Injury)
    • Last 16 head-to-head matches Gillingham won 7 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 26:16 (average 1.6:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Gillingham won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:5 (average 1.1:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gillingham - Swindon Town were as follows:
    26.10.2024 Swindon Town - Gillingham 1:1
    13.02.2024 Gillingham - Swindon Town 2:2
    24.10.2023 Swindon Town - Gillingham 0:1
    28.01.2023 Swindon Town - Gillingham 3:3
    03.09.2022 Gillingham - Swindon Town 0:0
    Latest results of Gillingham
    Latest results of Swindon Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1071215:8722
    2Swindon1070321:13821
    3Gillingham1063115:7821
    4Salford1061317:13419
    5Grimsby1053221:13818
    6Chesterfield1053218:13518
    7Bristol Rovers1052312:11117
    8Crewe1051414:11316
    9MK Dons1043316:10615
    10Cambridge Utd1043311:9215
    11Fleetwood1043315:14115
    12Notts Co1042417:12514
    13Oldham103529:6314
    14Bromley1035214:12214
    15Barnet1042412:12014
    16Harrogate1042411:12-114
    17Barrow104069:12-312
    18Tranmere924313:12110
    19Accrington92347:11-49
    20Colchester1015410:14-48
    21Crawley102268:17-98
    22Newport1012710:20-105
    23Shrewsbury101277:20-135
    24Cheltenham101184:24-204

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League