Estudiantes La Plata vs Gimnasia La Plata – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional Estudiantes La Plata - Gimnasia La Plata
Result
2:0
19/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 13
  • Referee: Tello F. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT Sports
chinaChinaK-Ball
italyItalyComo TV, Sportitalia
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 1
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.760.15
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
166
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
84
Passes
79% (328/415)70% (211/303)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
2.760.15
xG on target (xGOT)
2.260.08
Total shots
166
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
103
Blocked Shots
01
Shots inside the Box
103
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
84
Touches in opposition box
339
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1613
Passes
79% (328/415)70% (211/303)
Long passes
39% (21/54)35% (19/54)
Passes in final third
61% (70/114)51% (49/96)
Crosses
23% (5/22)13% (2/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.790.23
Throw-ins
1916
Fouls
1316
Tackles
65% (11/17)53% (16/30)
Duels won
6167
Clearances
2744
Interceptions
138
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
0.082.26
Goals prevented
0.080.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 36', Silva Torrejon P. , Melluso M. ,
  • 45+1', 1 - 0, Cetre E. , Ascacibar S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 52', 2 - 0, Carrillo G. ,
  • 66', Pintado J. , Yangali J. ,
  • 66', Merlini B. , Briasco N. ,
  • 70', Palacios T. , Farias F. ,
  • 70', Cetre E. , Perez Fabricio ,
  • 75', Gomez R. , Meza E. ,
  • 76', Castro L. , German Conti ,
  • 76', Giampaoli R. , Panaro M. ,
  • 85', Medina C. , Sosa J. ,
  • 85', Amondarain M. , Piovi L. ,
  • 90+2', Meza E. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Martinez E. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Estudiantes La Plata
61.5%
Draw
25.7%
Gimnasia La Plata
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52% 31% 16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6% 30.1% 16.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Estudiantes La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Estudiantes La Plata's performance.
  • Gimnasia La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Estudiantes La Plata that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • Estudiantes La Plata - Gimnasia La Plata Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.79)
    3.69
    (3)
    7.14
    (5.5)
    5%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Estudiantes La Plata - Gimnasia La Plata?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Estudiantes (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Estudiantes La Plata will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes won 1.
    • Estudiantes has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Gimnasia La Plata is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Gimnasia La Plata may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Estudiantes is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Estudiantes: Alario L. (Muscle Injury) Benedetti G. (Knee Injury) Burgos J. (Pelvis Injury) Gonzalez Pirez L. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Gimnasia La Plata: Castro L. (Muscle Injury) Di Biasi F. (Knee Injury) Garayalde N. (Inactive) Giampaoli R. (Injury) Mammini I. (Knee Injury) Seoane M. (Inactive) Sosa A. (Inactive) Villalba J. (International duty) Villarreal S. (Inactive) Zalazar M. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Gimnasia La Plata: Panaro M. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes won 7 matches, drew 12 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:12. (average 1.2:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Estudiantes won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:3. (average 1.2:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Estudiantes La Plata - Gimnasia La Plata were as follows:
    13.04.2025 Gimnasia La Plata - Estudiantes La Plata 1:1
    28.07.2024 Estudiantes La Plata - Gimnasia La Plata 4:1
    25.02.2024 Gimnasia La Plata - Estudiantes La Plata 0:0
    01.10.2023 Estudiantes La Plata - Gimnasia La Plata 0:0
    19.03.2023 Gimnasia La Plata - Estudiantes La Plata 2:1
    Latest results of Estudiantes La Plata
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P1363415:13221
    2Defensa y Justicia1254313:10319
    3Argentinos Jrs1353515:10518
    4Central Cordoba1246215:10518
    5Belgrano1346313:10318
    6Racing Club1353514:13118
    7Boca Juniors1245319:10917
    8Union de Santa Fe1245316:13317
    9Barracas Central1145213:11217
    10Tigre1245311:9217
    11Banfield1352612:18-617
    12Huracan124446:10-416
    13Ind. Rivadavia1326511:14-312
    14Newells Old Boys1325611:21-1011
    15Aldosivi132385:15-109


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lanus1382315:9626
    2Velez Sarsfield1374219:91025
    3Dep. Riestra1273217:9824
    4Rosario Central1266014:6824
    5River Plate1363420:12821
    6San Martin S.J1345410:11-117
    7San Lorenzo124449:9016
    8Atl. Tucuman1243513:13015
    9Sarmiento Junin124359:13-415
    10Instituto123637:11-415
    11Talleres Cordoba133557:12-514
    12Gimnasia L.P134188:16-813
    13Platense1225511:17-611
    14Godoy Cruz131759:16-710
    15Independiente120666:13-76

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