Argentino Monte Maíz vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
28/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Federal - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
811
Shots on target
75
Corner Kicks
75
Yellow Cards
01
Total shots
811
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
16
Corner Kicks
75

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 22', Coronas E. , Amaya I. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 49', Medina R. 🟨,
  • 53', 1 - 0, Baier G. ,
  • 54', Iturrieta J. , Ciavarelli I. ,
  • 54', Dauria M. , Guglielmo A. ,
  • 58', 2 - 0, Lentini R. ,
  • 71', Lentini R. , Tejada J. ,
  • 71', Oballes P. , Larrea L. ,
  • 71', Correa M. , Perrig U. ,
  • 77', 2 - 1, Sosa G. ,
  • 88', 3 - 1, Barbero M. ,
  • 89', Vera M. , Sarmiento G. ,

Chances of winning


Argentino Monte Maíz
67%
Draw
23.6%
Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy
9.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.8% 25.2% 16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4% 24.5% 15.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Argentino Monte Maíz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Argentino Monte Maíz's performance.
  • Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentino Monte Maíz than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Argentino Monte Maíz that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Argentino Monte Maíz - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.43
    (1.54)
    4.07
    (3.6)
    10.25
    (5.66)
    4.2%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: )).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, Argentino MM is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Argentino MM won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Argentino Monte Maíz - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy were as follows:
    21.09.2025 Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Argentino Monte Maíz 0:1
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Atl. RafaelaBye
    3Villa Mitre (10)Guillermo Brown (15)2 : 1, 0 : 3
    4ByeSportivo Belgrano (1)
    5Cipolletti (12)Kimberley (13)0 : 0, 0 : 1
    6Olimpo Bahia Blanca (1)Juventud U.U. (24)2 : 0, 0 : 0
    7Independiente Chivilcoy (11)Douglas Haig (14)1 : 0, 2 : 4
    8Argentino MM (2)Bye
    9Juventud Antoniana (9)Boca Unidos (16)3 : 0, 0 : 2
    10Chivilcoy (2)El Linqueno (23)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    119 de Julio Rafaela (7)Germinal (18)5 : 0, 1 : 1
    12Deportivo Rincon (4)Sportivo Las Parejas (21)5 : 0, 0 : 2
    13Costa Brava (8)Bartolome Mitre (17)0 : 0, 1 : 1
    14San Martin Formosa (3)Sol de Mayo (22)1 : 0, 1 : 2
    15Biblioteca Atenas (6)Sarmiento Resistencia (19)4 : 0, 1 : 0
    16Sarmiento de La Banda (5)San Martin Mendoza (20)1 : 1, 0 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Atl. RafaelaBye
    2Guillermo Brown (14)Sportivo Belgrano (1)0 : 1, 2 : 0
    3Kimberley (12)Olimpo Bahia Blanca (3)1 : 3, 1 : 1
    4Douglas Haig (13)Argentino MM (2)1 : 1, 2 : 0
    5Juventud Antoniana (11)Chivilcoy (4)1 : 2, 0 : 0
    69 de Julio Rafaela (9)Deportivo Rincon (6)0 : 0, 2 : 1
    7Costa Brava (10)San Martin Formosa (5)1 : 2, 1 : 1
    8Biblioteca Atenas (8)Sarmiento de La Banda (7)1 : 0, 1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Atl. Rafaela (1)Guillermo Brown (8)1 : 0, 2 : 1
    2Olimpo Bahia Blanca (2)Douglas Haig (7)0 : 1, 0 : 5
    3Chivilcoy (3)9 de Julio Rafaela (6)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    4San Martin Formosa (4)Biblioteca Atenas (5)3 : 1, 1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Atl. Rafaela (1)Douglas Haig (7)2 : 1, 2 : 1
    29 de Julio Rafaela (6)San Martin Formosa (4)1 : 4, 2 : 1

    Final
    1Atl. Rafaela (1)San Martin Formosa (4)1 : 0, 1 : 0