Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs Estudiantes La Plata – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
17/03/2026 at 20:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 11
  • Referee: Arasa N. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN, ESPN Premium
boliviaBoliviaESPN
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.770.71
Ball possession
42%58%
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
26
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
53
Passes
76% (236/309)82% (362/442)
Yellow cards
25
Expected goals (xG)
0.770.71
xG on target (xGOT)
0.951.20
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
73
Blocked shots
31
Shots inside the box
56
Shots outside the box
74
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
1824
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free kicks
1710
Passes
76% (236/309)82% (362/442)
Long passes
46% (22/48)46% (29/63)
Passes in final third
60% (45/75)60% (75/125)
Crosses
19% (4/21)37% (7/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.911.04
Throw ins
2013
Fouls
1017
Tackles
63% (10/16)58% (19/33)
Duels won
5462
Clearances
4431
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
41
xGOT faced
1.200.95
Goals prevented
-0.80-0.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 41', Modica A. 🟨,
  • 41', Palacios T. 🟨,
  • 44', Benedetti G. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 1 - 0, Modica A. , Saavedra F. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Perez Fabricio , Cetre E. ,
  • 59', Paredes L. , Cortez I. ,
  • 59', Rodriguez S. , Armoa B. ,
  • 60', 1 - 1, Palacios T. , Piovi L. (A),
  • 64', Modica A. , Ferreyra B. ,
  • 66', 1 - 2, Palacios T. , Carrillo G. (A),
  • 74', Meza E. , Mancuso E. ,
  • 75', Cetre E. 🟨,
  • 77', Gonzalez Pirez L. 🟨,
  • 80', Linares N. , Simoni V. ,
  • 80', Munoz E. , Carrera L. ,
  • 84', Carrillo G. , Nunez S. ,
  • 84', Palacios T. , Gaich A. ,
  • 84', Mancuso E. 🟨,
  • 89', Castro A. , Gabriel Neves ,
  • 90+4', Antonini F. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
22.8%
Draw
33%
Estudiantes La Plata
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.2% 33.4% 42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4% 32.3% 43.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Estudiantes La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Estudiantes La Plata Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.15
    (3.8)
    2.87
    (2.76)
    2.15
    (2.18)
    5.5%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Estudiantes La Plata?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Gimnasia Mendoza will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Estudiantes will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Estudiantes: 11.9%76.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Estudiantes (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Gimnasia Mendoza is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Estudiantes has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Estudiantes is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Gimnasia Mendoza: Andrada B. (Muscle Injury) O'Connor T. (Knee Injury) Romano N. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Estudiantes: Alario L. (Foot Injury) Arzamendia S. (Knee Injury) Sosa J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There are questionable in Gimnasia Mendoza: Gonzales (Injury)
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield1164112:6622
    2Estudiantes L.P1163214:5921
    3Defensa y Justicia1147015:8719
    4Lanus1153317:14318
    5Talleres Cordoba1153312:10218
    6Boca Juniors1145213:7617
    7Union de Santa Fe1144316:12416
    8Independiente1135317:15214
    9San Lorenzo1135311:12-114
    10Platense113536:7-114
    11Central Cordoba113355:12-712
    12Instituto1132611:15-411
    13Gimnasia Mendoza112366:13-79
    14Dep. Riestra110743:7-47
    15Newells Old Boys111377:22-156


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia1172218:12623
    2River Plate1162314:9520
    3Argentinos Jrs1155110:5520
    4Belgrano1154212:9319
    5Racing Club1153315:10518
    6Rosario Central1153312:9318
    7Tigre1145216:10617
    8Barracas Central1144310:9116
    9Huracan113539:9014
    10Gimnasia L.P1142513:15-214
    11Banfield1141612:13-113
    12Sarmiento Junin114168:11-313
    13Atl. Tucuman1123612:16-49
    14Aldosivi110563:13-105
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto111193:17-144

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