Estudiantes La Plata vs Sarmiento de Junín – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
20/02/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 6
  • Referee: Merlos A. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.690.70
Ball possession
42%58%
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
73
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
44
Passes
72% (196/274)80% (309/384)
Yellow cards
44
Expected goals (xG)
0.690.70
xG on target (xGOT)
0.650.11
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
55
Blocked shots
04
Shots inside the box
76
Shots outside the box
56
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
1523
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free kicks
814
Passes
72% (196/274)80% (309/384)
Long passes
42% (23/55)65% (31/48)
Passes in final third
63% (50/79)63% (59/94)
Crosses
29% (6/21)33% (8/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.461.12
Throw ins
2026
Fouls
148
Tackles
64% (14/22)91% (10/11)
Duels won
5155
Clearances
1815
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
36
xGOT faced
0.110.65
Goals prevented
0.11-0.35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 4', Gonzalez Pirez L. 🟨,
  • 24', Villalba C. 🟨,
  • 32', Sosa J. , Palacios T. ,
  • 37', Suarez L. , Arismendi Y. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 50', 1 - 0, Castro A. ,
  • 55', Palacios T. 🟨,
  • 56', Zabala C. 🟨,
  • 68', Meza E. , Mancuso E. ,
  • 68', Burgos J. , Amondarain M. ,
  • 69', Villalba C. , Martinez M. ,
  • 69', Diego Churin , Renteria J. ,
  • 75', Castro A. , Aguirre B. ,
  • 76', Perez Fabricio , Cetre E. ,
  • 80', Burrai J. 🟨,
  • 82', Zabala C. , Gomez J. ,
  • 82', Salle S. , Marquez B. ,
  • 86', Piovi L. 🟨,
  • 88', Muslera F. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Arismendi Y. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Estudiantes La Plata
58.8%
Draw
28.2%
Sarmiento de Junín
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63% 26% 10.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Estudiantes La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • Sarmiento de Junín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • Estudiantes La Plata - Sarmiento de Junín Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (1.48)
    3.33
    (3.58)
    7.33
    (8.5)
    5.7%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Estudiantes La Plata - Sarmiento de Junín?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Estudiantes will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Sarmiento will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Estudiantes: 50.6%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1 - Sarmiento (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Estudiantes (1.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Estudiantes (votes: 1 - 50%). Sarmiento (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes won 2.
    • Estudiantes is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Sarmiento's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Estudiantes is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Estudiantes: Arzamendia S. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Sarmiento: Godoy J. (Knee Injury) Gonzalez G. (Knee Injury) Magnin P. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Estudiantes: Gabriel Neves (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sarmiento: Diaz G. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.4:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Estudiantes won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Estudiantes La Plata - Sarmiento de Junín were as follows:
    13.06.2024 Sarmiento de Junín - Estudiantes La Plata 2:0
    09.03.2024 Sarmiento de Junín - Estudiantes La Plata 3:1
    23.10.2023 Estudiantes La Plata - Sarmiento de Junín 2:1
    25.02.2023 Estudiantes La Plata - Sarmiento de Junín 1:1
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P. ✔ 1584317:71028
    2Boca Juniors ✔ 1576220:81227
    3Velez Sarsfield ✔ 1576217:11627
    4Talleres Cordoba ✔ 1574416:12425
    5Lanus ✔ 1565418:15323
    6San Lorenzo1557313:12122
    7Independiente1556422:19321
    8Union de Santa Fe1555523:19420
    9Defensa y Justicia1547417:19-219
    10Instituto1553715:17-218
    11Platense1537510:13-316
    12Gimnasia Mendoza1544712:21-916
    13Central Cordoba1544710:19-916
    14Newells Old Boys1535714:26-1214
    15Dep. Riestra151775:12-710


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 15103228:141433
    2River Plate ✔ 1592422:111129
    3Argentinos Jrs ✔ 1585217:11629
    4Rosario Central ✔ 1583419:15427
    5Belgrano1565413:13023
    6Gimnasia L.P1572617:19-223
    7Huracan1556417:13421
    8Barracas Central1556414:13121
    9Racing Club1555517:15220
    10Tigre1547417:14319
    11Sarmiento Junin1561813:16-319
    12Banfield1543815:18-315
    13Atl. Tucuman1525814:20-611
    14Aldosivi150785:18-137
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1512125:22-175

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Estudiantes L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Boca Juniors is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Talleres Cordoba is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Lanus is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Argentinos Jrs is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Rosario Central is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)