Result
4:1
16/08/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 5
- Referee: Sylwestrzak D. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.81 | 0.62 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (196/259) | 82% (311/381) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.81 | 0.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.77 | 0.99 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 21 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 41 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (196/259) | 82% (311/381) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (23/52) | 41% (17/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (49/78) | 63% (47/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (8/26) | 33% (6/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.85 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 50% (5/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.99 | 3.77 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.01 | -0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 9', 1 - 0, Jedrych A. ⚽, Wasielewski M. (A),
- 16', Jakubczyk K. 🟨,
- 32', 2 - 0, Zrelak A. ⚽, Czerwinski A. (A),
- 38', Sidibe A. ↓, Vitalucci H. ↑,
- 38', Percan ↓, Espiau Hernandez E. D. ↑,
- 42', 2 - 1, Espiau Hernandez E. D. ⚽, Abramowicz D. (A),
- 45+3', Galan B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Czerwinski A. ↓, Klemenz L. ↑,
- 49', 3 - 1, Klemenz L. ⚽,
- 60', 4 - 1, Klemenz L. ⚽, Nowak B. (A),
- 62', Navarro M. 🟨,
- 67', Zrelak A. ↓, Rosolek M. ↑,
- 74', Jakubczyk K. ↓, Nguiamba A. ↑,
- 74', Blad A. ↓, Wedrychowski M. ↑,
- 74', Wasielewski M. ↓, Gruszkowski K. ↑,
- 74', Kocyla D. ↓, Oliveira J. ↑,
- 76', Espiau Hernandez E. D. 🟨,
- 83', Kerk S. ↓, Predenkiewicz M. ↑,
- 90', Lukasiak K. ↓, Rejczyk F. ↑,
- 90+1', Abramowicz D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
GKS Katowice
55.3% | Draw
25.9% | Arka Gdynia
18.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
GKS Katowice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in GKS Katowice's performance.Arka Gdynia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arka Gdynia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for GKS Katowice than the current prediction. (-11.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with GKS Katowice that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (+12.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arka Gdynia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
GKS Katowice - Arka Gdynia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.09 ↓
(2.2) |
4.65 ↑
(3.6) |
6.63 ↑
(2.88) |
-15.5%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for GKS Katowice - Arka Gdynia?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. GKS Katowice will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Arka will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%).
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, GKS Katowice won 1.
- GKS Katowice has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Arka has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in GKS Katowice: Rogala G.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Arka: Gojny D.
(Inactive)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, GKS Katowice won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:20. (average 0.9:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, GKS Katowice won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.9:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has GKS Katowice won against Arka Gdynia?
GKS Katowice has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arka Gdynia won against GKS Katowice?
Arka Gdynia has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between GKS Katowice - Arka Gdynia were as follows:
26.05.2024
Arka Gdynia
-
GKS Katowice
0:1
02.12.2023
GKS Katowice
-
Arka Gdynia
1:1
01.04.2023
Arka Gdynia
-
GKS Katowice
2:2
28.08.2022
GKS Katowice
-
Arka Gdynia
0:1
Latest results of GKS Katowice
Latest results of Arka Gdynia
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jagiellonia | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 23:13 | 10 | 24 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19:10 | 9 | 23 |
| 3 | Cracovia | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20:12 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | Wisla Plock | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 21 |
| 5 | Korona Kielce | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 19 |
| 6 | Lech Poznan | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20:18 | 2 | 19 |
| 7 | Zaglebie | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 25:18 | 7 | 17 |
| 8 | Widzew Lodz | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 20:20 | 0 | 16 |
| 9 | Legia | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 15 |
| 10 | Radomiak Radom | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 22:22 | 0 | 15 |
| 11 | Rakow | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 14 |
| 12 | Pogon Szczecin | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 18:22 | -4 | 14 |
| 13 | Motor Lublin | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16:21 | -5 | 14 |
| 14 | Arka Gdynia | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 7:19 | -12 | 12 |
| 15 | GKS Katowice | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 11 |
| 16 | Lechia Gdansk | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 21:27 | -6 | 10 |
| 17 | Termalica B-B | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 17:25 | -8 | 10 |
| 18 | Piast Gliwice | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
