Raków Częstochowa vs GKS Katowice – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:4 penalties
09/04/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Polish Cup - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Arys K. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport

Match Stats

Ball possession
55%45%
Total shots
2012
Shots on target
1210
Corner kicks
39
Total shots
2012
Shots on target
1210
Shots off target
82
Corner kicks
39
Offsides
21
Free kicks
2216
Throw ins
1615
Fouls
1221

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 21', 0 - 1, Jirka E. , Nowak B. (A),
  • 41', 0 - 2, Jedrych A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', Lopez I. , Diaby-Fadiga L. ,
  • 47', 1 - 2, Brunes J. , Silva J. C. (A),
  • 49', 2 - 2, Racovitan B. , Ameyaw M. (A),
  • 56', Klemenz L. , Kuusk M. ,
  • 63', Wdowiak M. , Markovic E. ,
  • 63', Rasak D. , Lukasiak K. ,
  • 63', Shkurin I. , Zrelak A. ,
  • 67', Brunes J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 67', 3 - 2, Diaby-Fadiga L. ,
  • 76', Makuch P. , Brusberg I. ,
  • 80', Wasielewski M. , Galan B. ,
  • 86', Ameyaw M. , Tudor F. ,
  • 86', Dawidowicz P. , Arsenic Z. ,
  • 87', Brunes J. , Rocha L. ,
  • 90+4', 3 - 3, Zrelak A. , Markovic E. (A),
  • Extra Time (1 - 1)
  • 112', 4 - 3, Rocha L. , Struski K. (A),
  • 116', 4 - 4, Markovic E. ,
  • Penalties (4 - 2)
  • 1, Rocha L. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 1, Jedrych A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Diaby-Fadiga L. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Nowak B. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Struski K. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Jirka E. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Racovitan B. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Milewski S. (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Raków Częstochowa
48.6%
Draw
27.3%
GKS Katowice
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.3% 24.6% 22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1% 25.9% 21%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Raków Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • GKS Katowice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Raków Częstochowa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for GKS Katowice than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • Raków Częstochowa - GKS Katowice Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (1.66)
    3.4
    (3.59)
    3.86
    (4)
    7.7%
    (13.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Raków Częstochowa - GKS Katowice?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Raków (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Raków Częstochowa will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 68.36%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Raków won 4.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • GKS Katowice may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Raków could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Raków won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Raków won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Raków Częstochowa - GKS Katowice were as follows:
    07.12.2025 Raków Częstochowa - GKS Katowice 1:0
    19.07.2025 GKS Katowice - Raków Częstochowa 0:1
    08.02.2025 Raków Częstochowa - GKS Katowice 1:2
    03.08.2024 GKS Katowice - Raków Częstochowa 0:1
    Latest results of Raków Częstochowa
    Latest results of GKS Katowice
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/64-finals
    1ZawiszaBye
    2ByeTychy
    3WikielecBye
    4PodbeskidzieR. Rzeszow2 : 1
    5Siarka TarnobrzegBye
    6Hutnik KrakowZaglebie Sosnowiec3 : 0
    7Bytom OdrzanskiBye
    8ByeWisla
    9AndrychowBye
    10ChojniczankaBielsko-Biala2 : 1
    11Legnica IIBye
    12Swit SzczecinLKS Lodz II2 : 1
    13OzimekBye
    14ByePruszkow
    15S. RzeszowBye
    16ByeKorona Kielce
    17LKS LomzaBye
    18ByeOdra Opole
    19Korona Kielce IIBye
    20ByePiast Gliwice
    21Gryf SlupskBye
    22ByePolonia Warszawa
    24ByeLech Poznan
    25Stal MielecBye
    26ByePuszcza
    27Grodzisk M.Wisla Pulawy3 : 0
    28ByeLechia Gdansk
    29Arka GdyniaBye
    30ByeMotor Lublin
    31Legia IIBye
    32ByeGornik Zabrze
    33Avia SwidnikBye
    34ByeRuch Chorzow
    35SwinoujscieBye
    36KKS KaliszGKS Jastrzebie0 : 2
    37Goczalkowice Zdroj IIBye
    38S. WolaSkra3 : 1
    39Warta PoznanOlimpia Elblag1 : 0
    40Polonia BytomZaglebie II7 : 1
    41SrodaBye
    42Wieczysta KrakowOl. Grudziadz0 : 1
    43T. MazowieckiBye
    44ByeSlask Wroclaw
    45RakowBye
    47LecznaBye
    48ByeCracovia
    49LKS LodzBye
    50ByeChrobry Glogow
    51GKS KatowiceBye
    52ByeWisla Plock
    53LegnicaBye
    54ByePogon Siedlce
    56ByeJagiellonia
    57LegiaBye
    59Kotwica KolobrzegBye
    60ByePogon Szczecin
    61Termalica B-B.Bye
    62ByeWidzew Lodz
    63Radomiak RadomBye
    64ByeZaglebie

    1/32-finals
    1ZawiszaTychy2 : 0
    2WikielecPodbeskidzie2 : 1
    3Siarka TarnobrzegHutnik Krakow0 : 1
    4Bytom OdrzanskiWisla0 : 1
    5AndrychowChojniczanka0 : 3
    6Legnica IISwit Szczecin1 : 3
    7OzimekPruszkow1 : 2
    8S. RzeszowKorona Kielce0 : 1
    9LKS LomzaOdra Opole0 : 2
    10Korona Kielce IIPiast Gliwice0 : 1
    11Gryf SlupskPolonia Warszawa1 : 0
    12ByeLech Poznan
    13Stal MielecPuszcza1 : 2
    14Grodzisk M.Lechia Gdansk0 : 1
    15Arka GdyniaMotor Lublin1 : 0
    16Legia IIGornik Zabrze0 : 3
    17Avia SwidnikRuch Chorzow3 : 1
    18SwinoujscieGKS Jastrzebie3 : 2
    19Goczalkowice Zdroj IIS. Wola3 : 1
    20Warta PoznanPolonia Bytom0 : 1
    21SrodaOl. Grudziadz1 : 3
    22T. MazowieckiSlask Wroclaw1 : 2
    23RakowBye
    24LecznaCracovia1 : 5
    25LKS LodzChrobry Glogow5 : 3
    26GKS KatowiceWisla Plock4 : 2
    27LegnicaPogon Siedlce2 : 0
    28ByeJagiellonia
    29LegiaBye
    30Kotwica KolobrzegPogon Szczecin0 : 3
    31Termalica B-B.Widzew Lodz2 : 3
    32Radomiak RadomZaglebie0 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1ZawiszaWikielec3 : 0
    2Hutnik KrakowWisla0 : 1
    3ChojniczankaSwit Szczecin3 : 1
    4PruszkowKorona Kielce0 : 3
    5Odra OpolePiast Gliwice0 : 2
    6Gryf SlupskLech Poznan1 : 2
    7PuszczaLechia Gdansk1 : 3
    8Arka GdyniaGornik Zabrze1 : 2
    9Avia SwidnikSwinoujscie3 : 0
    10Goczalkowice Zdroj IIPolonia Bytom0 : 7
    11Ol. GrudziadzSlask Wroclaw0 : 1
    12RakowCracovia3 : 0
    13LKS LodzGKS Katowice1 : 2
    14LegnicaJagiellonia2 : 3
    15LegiaPogon Szczecin1 : 2
    16Widzew LodzZaglebie1 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1ZawiszaWisla4 : 1
    2ChojniczankaKorona Kielce2 : 1
    3Piast GliwiceLech Poznan0 : 2
    4Lechia GdanskGornik Zabrze1 : 3
    5Avia SwidnikPolonia Bytom4 : 2
    6Slask WroclawRakow1 : 2
    7GKS KatowiceJagiellonia3 : 1
    8Pogon SzczecinWidzew Lodz0 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1ZawiszaChojniczanka2 : 1
    2Lech PoznanGornik Zabrze0 : 1
    3Avia SwidnikRakow1 : 2
    4GKS KatowiceWidzew Lodz2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1ZawiszaGornik Zabrze0 : 1
    2RakowGKS Katowice5 : 4

    Final
    1Gornik ZabrzeRakow