Result
1:0
07/12/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 18
- Referee: Kwiatkowski T. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ Premium, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV, sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.89 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (262/354) | 76% (304/399) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.89 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (262/354) | 76% (304/399) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (21/62) | 39% (24/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (70/115) | 59% (73/124) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 44% (8/18) | 14% (1/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 0.26 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.79 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 31', Makuch P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Silva J. C. ↓, Ameyaw M. ↑,
- 46', Mircetic B. ↓, Diaby-Fadiga L. ↑,
- 58', Bulat M. ↓, Repka O. ↑,
- 64', Wedrychowski M. ↓, Markovic E. ↑,
- 64', Czerwinski A. ↓, Rogala G. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 0, Brunes J. ⚽, Diaby-Fadiga L. (A),
- 71', Konstantopoulos A. 🟨,
- 72', Zrelak A. ↓, Shkurin I. ↑,
- 73', Pienko T. ↓, Adriano ↑,
- 80', Brunes J. ↓, Rondic I. ↑,
- 82', Milewski S. ↓, Blad A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Raków Częstochowa
59.2% | Draw
23.8% | GKS Katowice
17% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Raków Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)GKS Katowice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for GKS Katowice than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Raków Częstochowa - GKS Katowice Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.58 ↑
(1.53) |
3.97 ↑
(3.47) |
5.52 ↓
(5.6) |
6.8%
(12%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Raków Częstochowa - GKS Katowice?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Raków Częstochowa will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Raków won 4.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Raków may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Raków is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Raków: Arsenic Z.
(Leg Injury)
Kochergin V.
(Knee Injury)
Otieno E.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Silva J. C.
(Injury)
- There will not play in GKS Katowice: Gruszkowski K.
(Inactive)
Marzec M.
(Inactive)
Paluszek A.
(Knee Injury)
Rosolek M.
(Inactive)
Trepka L.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Raków: Mosor A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in GKS Katowice: Kuusk M.
(Injury)
- We predict that Raków will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Raków won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Raków won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Raków Częstochowa won against GKS Katowice?
Raków Częstochowa has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has GKS Katowice won against Raków Częstochowa?
GKS Katowice has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Raków Częstochowa - GKS Katowice were as follows:
19.07.2025
GKS Katowice
-
Raków Częstochowa
0:1
08.02.2025
Raków Częstochowa
-
GKS Katowice
1:2
03.08.2024
GKS Katowice
-
Raków Częstochowa
0:1
Latest results of Raków Częstochowa
Latest results of GKS Katowice
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 46:37 | 9 | 44 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40:30 | 10 | 41 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43:34 | 9 | 41 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 36:32 | 4 | 39 |
| 5 | Wisla Plock | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 28:25 | 3 | 39 |
| 6 | Rakow | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 38 |
| 7 | Motor Lublin | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 35:38 | -3 | 37 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33:29 | 4 | 36 |
| 9 | Cracovia | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 31:28 | 3 | 36 |
| 10 | GKS Katowice | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 35:35 | 0 | 36 |
| 11 | Piast Gliwice | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 32:33 | -1 | 35 |
| 12 | Lechia Gdansk | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 51:48 | 3 | 34 |
| 13 | Pogon Szczecin | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 36:40 | -4 | 34 |
| 14 | Radomiak Radom | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 42:40 | 2 | 33 |
| 15 | Legia | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 30:31 | -1 | 30 |
| 16 | Arka Gdynia | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 25:44 | -19 | 30 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 31:34 | -3 | 29 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 30:48 | -18 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
