GKS Tychy vs Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
09/11/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 16
  • Referee: Kawalko G. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
76
Corner Kicks
25
Yellow Cards
20
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
76
Shots off target
57
Corner Kicks
25
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
816
Throw-ins
1817
Fouls
146

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Adamski R. , Konstantyn J. (A),
  • 13', Glogowski K. 🟨,
  • 19', 0 - 2, Szczepaniak M. , Adamski R. (A),
  • 24', 1 - 2, Rumin D. , Keiblinger J. (A),
  • 41', Kalemba M. L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 58', Kubik T. , Kadzior D. ,
  • 58', Kalemba M. L. , Stangret M. ,
  • 67', Jedrasik J. , Jaron D. ,
  • 67', Olewinski O. , Kargulewicz K. ,
  • 69', Makowski R. , Szpakowski M. ,
  • 69', Glogowski K. , Stefansson O. ,
  • 78', Konstantyn J. , Barnowski D. ,
  • 78', Szczepaniak M. , Gieroba S. ,
  • 80', Rumin D. , Woudstra Y. ,
  • 90+3', Adkonis J. , Gulczynski G. ,

Chances of winning


GKS Tychy
38.4%
Draw
25.5%
Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.5% 22.4% 28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8% 23% 27.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • GKS Tychy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that GKS Tychy's form might have worsened.
  • Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Tychy than the current prediction. (+12.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for GKS Tychy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • GKS Tychy - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.4
    (1.87)
    3.64
    (4.13)
    2.57
    (3.29)
    8.2%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for GKS Tychy - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. GKS Tychy will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Grodzisk Mazowiecki will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Grodzisk Mazowiecki: 29%96%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. GKS Tychy (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Grodzisk Mazowiecki (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • GKS Tychy is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Grodzisk Mazowiecki is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Grodzisk Mazowiecki may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of GKS Tychy
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla26158358:253353
    2Slask Wroclaw26128650:401044
    3Chrobry Glogow26135838:251344
    4Grodzisk M26119644:38642
    5Polonia Warszawa26118742:37541
    6Ruch Chorzow26118740:36441
    7Wieczysta Krakow25117752:381440
    8Legnica26116944:44039
    9S. Rzeszow26116940:41-139
    10LKS Lodz26108838:38038
    11Polonia Bytom25106939:32736
    12Puszcza26811735:32335
    13Odra Opole26710926:33-731
    14Pogon Siedlce26791027:30-330
    15Stal Mielec26651535:51-1623
    16Leczna263111230:46-1620
    17Pruszkow26551628:52-2420
    18Tychy26361731:59-2815

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2