Ruch Chorzów vs Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
27/04/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 30
  • Referee: Myc W. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport

Match Stats

Ball possession
54%46%
Total shots
199
Shots on target
97
Corner kicks
812
Yellow cards
01
Total shots
199
Shots on target
97
Shots off target
102
Corner kicks
812
Offsides
11
Free kicks
1113
Throw ins
2719
Fouls
129

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Gajgier A. , Olewinski O. (A),
  • 12', 1 - 1, Szymanski S. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Niewiadomski J. , Konstantyn J. ,
  • 46', Nagamatsu S. , Ceglarz P. ,
  • 59', Adkonis J. , Adamczyk H. ,
  • 66', Dias M. , Glogowski K. ,
  • 71', 2 - 1, Ventura D. ,
  • 75', Szczepaniak M. , Jaron D. ,
  • 75', Gieroba S. , Lis J. ,
  • 80', Szczepan D. , Kolar M. ,
  • 83', Noiszewski K. 🟨,
  • 87', 2 - 2, Lis J. , Los K. (A),
  • 90+1', Szwedzik P. , Rosol M. ,
  • 90+1', Jendryka J. , Mezghrani M. ,
  • 90+1', Ventura D. , Szwoch M. ,

Chances of winning


Ruch Chorzów
58.8%
Draw
22.4%
Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.9% 23.2% 23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1% 22.7% 23.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ruch Chorzów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ruch Chorzów's performance.
  • Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ruch Chorzów than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • Ruch Chorzów - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.59
    (1.75)
    4.16
    (3.98)
    4.9
    (3.87)
    7.6%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Ruch Chorzów - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ruch Chorzów (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Ruch Chorzów will win (14 of 14 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent performances by Ruch Chorzów have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Grodzisk Mazowiecki is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Ruch Chorzów is the team to beat.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ruch Chorzów won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Ruch Chorzów won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ruch Chorzów - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki were as follows:
    17.10.2025 Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Ruch Chorzów 2:2
    Latest results of Ruch Chorzów
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla301611365:313459
    2Slask Wroclaw30159660:441654
    3Wieczysta Krakow30148860:431750
    4Chrobry Glogow301461041:291248
    5Polonia Warszawa30138946:43347
    6Ruch Chorzow301111844:42244
    7LKS Lodz29128944:42244
    8Grodzisk M291110847:44343
    9Legnica301271147:50-343
    10Puszcza301012841:37442
    11Polonia Bytom301181147:40741
    12S. Rzeszow301161342:49-739
    13Odra Opole309111028:35-738
    14Pogon Siedlce30991231:32-136
    15Stal Mielec30851743:58-1529
    16Leczna305121337:51-1427
    17Pruszkow30671734:58-2425
    18Tychy30561935:64-2921

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2