GKS Tychy vs Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
09/11/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 16
  • Referee: Kawalko G. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
76
Corner Kicks
25
Yellow Cards
20
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
76
Shots off target
57
Corner Kicks
25
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
816
Throw-ins
1817
Fouls
146

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Adamski R. , Konstantyn J. (A),
  • 13', Glogowski K. 🟨,
  • 19', 0 - 2, Szczepaniak M. , Adamski R. (A),
  • 24', 1 - 2, Rumin D. , Keiblinger J. (A),
  • 41', Kalemba M. L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 58', Kubik T. , Kadzior D. ,
  • 58', Kalemba M. L. , Stangret M. ,
  • 67', Jedrasik J. , Jaron D. ,
  • 67', Olewinski O. , Kargulewicz K. ,
  • 69', Makowski R. , Szpakowski M. ,
  • 69', Glogowski K. , Stefansson O. ,
  • 78', Konstantyn J. , Barnowski D. ,
  • 78', Szczepaniak M. , Gieroba S. ,
  • 80', Rumin D. , Woudstra Y. ,
  • 90+3', Adkonis J. , Gulczynski G. ,

Chances of winning


GKS Tychy
38.4%
Draw
25.5%
Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.5% 22.4% 28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8% 23% 27.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • GKS Tychy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that GKS Tychy's form might have worsened.
  • Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Tychy than the current prediction. (+12.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for GKS Tychy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • GKS Tychy - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.4
    (1.87)
    3.64
    (4.13)
    2.57
    (3.29)
    8.2%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for GKS Tychy - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. GKS Tychy will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Grodzisk Mazowiecki will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Grodzisk Mazowiecki: 29%96%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. GKS Tychy (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Grodzisk Mazowiecki (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • GKS Tychy is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Grodzisk Mazowiecki is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Grodzisk Mazowiecki may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of GKS Tychy
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla311711367:323562
    2Slask Wroclaw31169664:442057
    3Wieczysta Krakow31158864:442053
    4Chrobry Glogow311561044:311351
    5LKS Lodz30138948:42647
    6Ruch Chorzow311211846:42447
    7Polonia Warszawa311381048:46247
    8Legnica311371148:50-246
    9Puszcza311112842:37545
    10Polonia Bytom311281150:42844
    11Grodzisk M301110948:48043
    12S. Rzeszow311161443:51-839
    13Odra Opole319111128:37-938
    14Pogon Siedlce31991331:36-536
    15Stal Mielec31851843:59-1629
    16Leczna315121437:55-1827
    17Pruszkow31671834:59-2525
    18Tychy31562037:67-3021

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2