GKS Tychy vs Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
09/11/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 16
  • Referee: Kawalko G. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
76
Corner Kicks
25
Yellow Cards
20
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
76
Shots off target
57
Corner Kicks
25
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
816
Throw-ins
1817
Fouls
146

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Adamski R. , Konstantyn J. (A),
  • 13', Glogowski K. 🟨,
  • 19', 0 - 2, Szczepaniak M. , Adamski R. (A),
  • 24', 1 - 2, Rumin D. , Keiblinger J. (A),
  • 41', Kalemba M. L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 58', Kubik T. , Kadzior D. ,
  • 58', Kalemba M. L. , Stangret M. ,
  • 67', Jedrasik J. , Jaron D. ,
  • 67', Olewinski O. , Kargulewicz K. ,
  • 69', Makowski R. , Szpakowski M. ,
  • 69', Glogowski K. , Stefansson O. ,
  • 78', Konstantyn J. , Barnowski D. ,
  • 78', Szczepaniak M. , Gieroba S. ,
  • 80', Rumin D. , Woudstra Y. ,
  • 90+3', Adkonis J. , Gulczynski G. ,

Chances of winning


GKS Tychy
38.4%
Draw
25.5%
Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.5% 22.4% 28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8% 23% 27.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • GKS Tychy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that GKS Tychy's form might have worsened.
  • Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Tychy than the current prediction. (+12.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for GKS Tychy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • GKS Tychy - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.4
    (1.87)
    3.64
    (4.13)
    2.57
    (3.29)
    8.2%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for GKS Tychy - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. GKS Tychy will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Grodzisk Mazowiecki will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Grodzisk Mazowiecki: 29%96%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. GKS Tychy (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Grodzisk Mazowiecki (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • GKS Tychy is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Grodzisk Mazowiecki is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Grodzisk Mazowiecki may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of GKS Tychy
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla28169362:283457
    2Slask Wroclaw28148655:401550
    3Chrobry Glogow28136939:271245
    4Wieczysta Krakow27127854:401443
    5Legnica28127947:46143
    6Grodzisk M27119745:40542
    7Ruch Chorzow28119841:39242
    8LKS Lodz27118840:38241
    9Polonia Warszawa28118943:43041
    10S. Rzeszow281161141:45-439
    11Polonia Bytom27108941:34738
    12Puszcza28911837:34338
    13Odra Opole28910928:33-537
    14Pogon Siedlce28791227:32-530
    15Stal Mielec28851540:53-1329
    16Leczna284111333:49-1623
    17Pruszkow28651730:54-2423
    18Tychy28461832:60-2818

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2