Larne vs Glenavon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Northern Irish Premiership Larne - Glenavon
Result
1:0
13/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NIFL Premiership - Round 7
  • Referee: Gregg S. (Nir)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
52
Shots on target
10
Corner Kicks
83
Yellow Cards
23
Total shots
52
Shots on target
10
Shots off target
42
Corner Kicks
83
Goalkeeper Saves
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 11', 🟨,
  • 31', Randall M. (Pen),
  • 38', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 54', 🟨,
  • 57', McKendry C. , O'Connor T. ,
  • 61', 🟨,
  • 69', 🟨,
  • 72', Magee B. , Simpson J. ,
  • 72', Randall M. , McEneff J. ,
  • 81', 1 - 0, Ridley M. ,
  • 82', Lusty M. , Moore K. ,

Chances of winning


Larne
63.4%
Draw
22.8%
Glenavon
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.4% 25% 19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6% 23.2% 18.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Larne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Larne's performance.
  • Glenavon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Glenavon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Larne than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Glenavon than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • Larne - Glenavon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.48
    (1.66)
    4.1
    (3.68)
    6.82
    (4.68)
    6.8%
    (8.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Larne - Glenavon?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Larne (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Larne will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 77.83%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Larne won 3.
    • Larne is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Glenavon has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Larne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Larne is the undisputed favorite.
    • We predict that Larne will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Larne won 16 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 52:13. (average 2.6:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Larne won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 34:8. (average 3.1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Larne - Glenavon were as follows:
    22.03.2025 Glenavon - Larne 0:1
    18.02.2025 Larne - Glenavon 1:1
    17.09.2024 Glenavon - Larne 0:0
    16.03.2024 Larne - Glenavon 6:1
    03.02.2024 Larne - Glenavon 5:0
    Latest results of Larne
    06.09.2025 Bangor - Larne 0:2
    29.08.2025 Larne - Ballymena United 2:0
    22.08.2025 Larne - Portadown 4:0
    19.08.2025 Cliftonville - Larne 1:1
    14.08.2025 Santa Clara - Larne 0:0
    Latest results of Glenavon
    30.08.2025 Cliftonville - Glenavon 3:1
    23.08.2025 Glenavon - Coleraine 1:2
    19.08.2025 Glentoran - Glenavon 2:0
    16.08.2025 Carrick Rangers - Glenavon 1:0
    Northern Irish Premiership Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Glentoran862012:3920
    2Larne861116:21419
    3Linfield751113:21116
    4Coleraine751114:41016
    5Ballymena841312:8413
    6Cliftonville832311:11011
    7Carrick Rangers63129:8110
    8Bangor FC830510:16-69
    9Crusaders821511:18-77
    10Dungannon82066:17-116
    11Portadown82068:20-126
    12Glenavon80082:15-130

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