Larne vs Glenavon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
21/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NIFL Premiership - Round 17
  • Referee: Clarke T. (Nir)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
55
Shots on target
21
Corner Kicks
94
Yellow Cards
12
Red Cards
10
Total shots
55
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
34
Corner Kicks
94

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 30', Graham S. , Simpson J. ,
  • 31', 0 - 1, Cartwright L. ,
  • 43', Simpson J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 47', 1 - 1, O'Neill P. ,
  • 60', Malone J. 🟨,
  • 71', O'Connor T. , Lusty M. ,
  • 71', O'Neill P. , McEneff J. ,
  • 71', Millar L. , Magee B. ,
  • 79', 2 - 1, McKendry C. ,
  • 82', 🟨,
  • 90+1', McKendry C. , Wallace L. ,
  • 90+5', Randall M. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Larne
74.6%
Draw
16.9%
Glenavon
8.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
71.8% 17.6% 10.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.2% 16.8% 10.1%

Larne - Glenavon Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.24
(1.3)
5.47
(5.3)
10.91
(8.81)
8.1%
(7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Larne - Glenavon?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Larne will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Larne: 68.4%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Larne won 3.
    • Larne is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Glenavon has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Glenavon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Larne is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Larne won 16 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 47:13. (average 2.4:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Larne won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 29:8. (average 2.6:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Larne - Glenavon were as follows:
    13.09.2025 Larne - Glenavon 1:0
    22.03.2025 Glenavon - Larne 0:1
    18.02.2025 Larne - Glenavon 1:1
    17.09.2024 Glenavon - Larne 0:0
    16.03.2024 Larne - Glenavon 6:1
    Latest results of Larne
    07.11.2025 Larne - Portadown 3:0
    01.11.2025 Ballymena United - Larne 0:2
    25.10.2025 Larne - Bangor 1:1
    18.10.2025 Cliftonville - Larne 0:2
    12.10.2025 Larne - Linfield Postponed
    Latest results of Glenavon
    15.11.2025 Crusaders - Glenavon 4:1
    08.11.2025 Glenavon - Glentoran 3:1
    01.11.2025 Coleraine - Glenavon 5:1
    18.10.2025 Glenavon - Carrick Rangers 1:0
    Northern Irish Premiership Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coleraine21133543:182542
    2Larne18133231:82342
    3Linfield17105227:91835
    4Glentoran18104426:18834
    5Cliftonville1784526:21528
    6Dungannon1991923:30-728
    7Portadown20811126:35-925
    8Bangor FC1973924:29-524
    9Ballymena19621123:30-720
    10Carrick Rangers17521020:27-717
    11Crusaders19521224:40-1617
    12Glenavon20301716:44-289

          Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: )
          NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: )