Result
2:1
21/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NIFL Premiership - Round 17
- Referee: Clarke T. (Nir)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 30', Graham S. ↓, Simpson J. ↑,
- 31', 0 - 1, Cartwright L. ⚽,
- 43', Simpson J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 47', 1 - 1, O'Neill P. ⚽,
- 60', Malone J. 🟨,
- 71', O'Connor T. ↓, Lusty M. ↑,
- 71', O'Neill P. ↓, McEneff J. ↑,
- 71', Millar L. ↓, Magee B. ↑,
- 79', 2 - 1, McKendry C. ⚽,
- 82', 🟨,
- 90+1', McKendry C. ↓, Wallace L. ↑,
- 90+5', Randall M. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Larne
74.6% | Draw
16.9% | Glenavon
8.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Larne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Glenavon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Larne than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Glenavon than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Larne - Glenavon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.24 ↓
(1.3) |
5.47 ↑
(5.3) |
10.91 ↑
(8.81) |
8.1%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Larne - Glenavon?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Larne will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Larne: 68.4% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 6.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Larne won 3.
- Larne is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Glenavon has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Glenavon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Larne is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Larne won 16 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 47:13. (average 2.4:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Larne won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 29:8. (average 2.6:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Larne won against Glenavon?
Larne has won 8 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Glenavon won against Larne?
Glenavon has won 0 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Larne - Glenavon were as follows:
13.09.2025
Larne
-
Glenavon
1:0
22.03.2025
Glenavon
-
Larne
0:1
18.02.2025
Larne
-
Glenavon
1:1
17.09.2024
Glenavon
-
Larne
0:0
16.03.2024
Larne
-
Glenavon
6:1
Latest results of Glenavon
Northern Irish Premiership Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Larne ✔ | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 53:21 | 32 | 64 |
| 2 | Coleraine ✔ | 30 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 59:27 | 32 | 61 |
| 3 | Linfield ✔ | 30 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 53:19 | 34 | 59 |
| 4 | Glentoran | 28 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 49:28 | 21 | 56 |
| 5 | Dungannon | 30 | 14 | 1 | 15 | 36:54 | -18 | 43 |
| 6 | Carrick Rangers | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 45:47 | -2 | 39 |
| 7 | Cliftonville | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 42:42 | 0 | 37 |
| 8 | Portadown | 28 | 11 | 1 | 16 | 34:48 | -14 | 34 |
| 9 | Bangor FC | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 36:52 | -16 | 32 |
| 10 | Ballymena | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 34:44 | -10 | 29 |
| 11 | Crusaders ✔ | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 37:63 | -26 | 25 |
| 12 | Glenavon ✔ | 30 | 6 | 1 | 23 | 27:60 | -33 | 19 |
Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: )
NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Larne is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
Coleraine is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
Linfield is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
Crusaders is NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group )
Glenavon is NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group )
