Result
1:0
13/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NIFL Premiership - Round 7
- Referee: Gregg S. (Nir)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 11', 🟨,
- 31', Randall M. (Pen),
- 38', 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 54', 🟨,
- 57', McKendry C. ↓, O'Connor T. ↑,
- 61', 🟨,
- 69', 🟨,
- 72', Magee B. ↓, Simpson J. ↑,
- 72', Randall M. ↓, McEneff J. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 0, Ridley M. ⚽,
- 82', Lusty M. ↓, Moore K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Larne
63.4% | Draw
22.8% | Glenavon
13.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Larne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Larne's performance.Glenavon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Glenavon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Larne than the current prediction. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Glenavon than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Larne - Glenavon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.48 ↓
(1.66) |
4.1 ↑
(3.68) |
6.82 ↑
(4.68) |
6.8%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Larne - Glenavon?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Larne (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Larne will win
(12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Larne won 3.
- Larne is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Glenavon has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Larne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Larne is the undisputed favorite.
- We predict that Larne will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Larne won 16 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 52:13. (average 2.6:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Larne won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 34:8. (average 3.1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Larne won against Glenavon?
Larne has won 7 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Glenavon won against Larne?
Glenavon has won 0 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Larne - Glenavon were as follows:
22.03.2025
Glenavon
-
Larne
0:1
18.02.2025
Larne
-
Glenavon
1:1
17.09.2024
Glenavon
-
Larne
0:0
16.03.2024
Larne
-
Glenavon
6:1
03.02.2024
Larne
-
Glenavon
5:0
Latest results of Glenavon
Northern Irish Premiership Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coleraine | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 24:8 | 16 | 25 |
| 2 | Glentoran | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 15:6 | 9 | 23 |
| 3 | Larne | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 18:4 | 14 | 22 |
| 4 | Bangor FC | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 17:18 | -1 | 18 |
| 5 | Linfield | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:4 | 9 | 16 |
| 6 | Ballymena | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15:16 | -1 | 16 |
| 7 | Portadown | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 15:23 | -8 | 15 |
| 8 | Dungannon | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 13:22 | -9 | 15 |
| 9 | Carrick Rangers | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 12:13 | -1 | 13 |
| 10 | Cliftonville | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 11 |
| 11 | Crusaders | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 14:20 | -6 | 10 |
| 12 | Glenavon | 12 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4:23 | -19 | 3 |
Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: )
NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: )
