Result
2:1
21/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NIFL Premiership - Round 17
- Referee: Clarke T. (Nir)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 30', Graham S. ↓, Simpson J. ↑,
- 31', 0 - 1, Cartwright L. ⚽,
- 43', Simpson J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 47', 1 - 1, O'Neill P. ⚽,
- 60', Malone J. 🟨,
- 71', O'Connor T. ↓, Lusty M. ↑,
- 71', O'Neill P. ↓, McEneff J. ↑,
- 71', Millar L. ↓, Magee B. ↑,
- 79', 2 - 1, McKendry C. ⚽,
- 82', 🟨,
- 90+1', McKendry C. ↓, Wallace L. ↑,
- 90+5', Randall M. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Larne
74.6% | Draw
16.9% | Glenavon
8.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Larne - Glenavon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.24 ↓
(1.3) |
5.47 ↑
(5.3) |
10.91 ↑
(8.81) |
8.1%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Larne - Glenavon?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Larne will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Larne: 68.4% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Larne won 3.
- Larne is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Glenavon has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Glenavon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Larne is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Larne won 16 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 47:13. (average 2.4:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Larne won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 29:8. (average 2.6:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Larne won against Glenavon?
Larne has won 8 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Glenavon won against Larne?
Glenavon has won 0 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Larne - Glenavon were as follows:
13.09.2025
Larne
-
Glenavon
1:0
22.03.2025
Glenavon
-
Larne
0:1
18.02.2025
Larne
-
Glenavon
1:1
17.09.2024
Glenavon
-
Larne
0:0
16.03.2024
Larne
-
Glenavon
6:1
Latest results of Glenavon
Northern Irish Premiership Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Larne | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 30:8 | 22 | 38 |
| 2 | Coleraine | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 37:15 | 22 | 36 |
| 3 | Linfield | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 23:9 | 14 | 31 |
| 4 | Glentoran | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 22:14 | 8 | 30 |
| 5 | Cliftonville | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 24 |
| 6 | Dungannon | 17 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 18:26 | -8 | 24 |
| 7 | Bangor FC | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22:26 | -4 | 21 |
| 8 | Ballymena | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 22:27 | -5 | 20 |
| 9 | Portadown | 18 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 21:35 | -14 | 19 |
| 10 | Crusaders | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 24:32 | -8 | 17 |
| 11 | Carrick Rangers | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 16:21 | -5 | 16 |
| 12 | Glenavon | 18 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 13:37 | -24 | 9 |
Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: )
NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: )
