Result
2:4
28/07/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Veikkausliiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 2.79 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 28% | 72% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 27 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (137/200) | 88% (477/539) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 2.79 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 3.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 27 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 17 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 53 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (137/200) | 88% (477/539) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (21/52) | 59% (35/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (36/71) | 88% (219/250) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (2/11) | 21% (4/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 1.30 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 1 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.38 | 0.85 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.62 | -1.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 21', Bashkirov E. 🟥,
- 38', 0 - 1, Michel B. ⚽, Kanellopoulos G. (A),
- 41', Kallinen J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 3)
- 54', 0 - 2, Hostikka S. ⚽, Kanellopoulos G. (A),
- 57', 1 - 2, Europaeus G. ⚽,
- 60', Kabashi A. ↓, Hanninen V. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 3, Michel B. ⚽, Hostikka S. (A),
- 67', Europaeus G. 🟨,
- 67', Raitala J. 🟨,
- 69', Pukki T. ↓, Meriluoto K. ↑,
- 69', Kouassivi-Benissan K. ↓, Ylitolva M. ↑,
- 73', Latonen J. 🟨,
- 74', 1 - 4, Meriluoto K. ⚽, Mentu P. (A),
- 75', Latonen J. ↓, Hafstad D. ↑,
- 75', Heiskanen S. ↓, Atarah A. ↑,
- 79', Kanellopoulos G. ↓, Lingman L. ↑,
- 79', Michel B. ↓, Besuijen V. ↑,
- 80', Pettersson O. ↓, Gunes O. ↑,
- 80', Europaeus G. ↓, von Hellens L. ↑,
- 81', 2 - 4, Atarah A. ⚽, Hanninen V. (A),
- 83', Tikkanen V. 🟨,
- 88', Hostikka S. ↓, Lyons-Foster B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Gnistan
20.3% | Draw
23.1% | HJK
56.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gnistan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)HJK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gnistan than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for HJK than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Gnistan - HJK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.6 ↑
(4.15) |
4.05 ↑
(3.87) |
1.68 ↓
(1.77) |
6.1%
(6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Gnistan - HJK?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.5 - Gnistan (votes: 6 - 100%).
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
- BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
HJK will win
(40 of 44 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.42% – 99.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): HJK will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gnistan won 2.
- Gnistan has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- HJK is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- HJK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, HJK is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Gnistan: Arko-Mensah E.
(Yellow Cards)
Craninx A.
(Red Card)
Marcelo Costa
(Knee Injury)
Ritari M.
(Loan agreement)
- There will not play in HJK: Ezeh D.
(Inactive)
Moller L.
(Inactive)
O'Shaughnessy D.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Gnistan: Eremenko R.
(Inactive)
Hanninen V.
(Inactive)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Gnistan won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:19. (average 0.4:2.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gnistan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1:18. (average 0.3:4.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Gnistan won against HJK?
Gnistan has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has HJK won against Gnistan?
HJK has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gnistan - HJK were as follows:
22.04.2025
HJK
-
Gnistan
0:1
11.01.2025
HJK
-
Gnistan
0:1
12.06.2024
Gnistan
-
HJK
0:4
22.05.2024
HJK
-
Gnistan
1:0
03.02.2024
Gnistan
-
HJK
1:2
Latest results of Gnistan
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter Turku ✔ | 19 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 43:16 | 27 | 43 |
| 2 | KuPS ✔ | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 33:20 | 13 | 37 |
| 3 | Ilves ✔ | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 39:21 | 18 | 36 |
| 4 | SJK | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 37:28 | 9 | 34 |
| 5 | HJK ✔ | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 40:24 | 16 | 32 |
| 6 | Gnistan | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 30:35 | -5 | 24 |
| 7 | Jaro | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 22:28 | -6 | 22 |
| 8 | VPS | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 21 |
| 9 | Mariehamn | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 19:38 | -19 | 18 |
| 10 | Haka | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 |
| 11 | AC Oulu | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 25:39 | -14 | 15 |
| 12 | KTP ✔ | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 21:45 | -24 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Inter Turku is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
KuPS is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
Ilves is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
HJK is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
KTP is Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group )
