Result
2:3
03/10/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Veikkausliiga - Championship Group
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 1.91 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (460/540) | 80% (302/379) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 1.91 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 1.96 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (460/540) | 80% (302/379) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (33/66) | 41% (25/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (96/128) | 67% (86/129) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (7/21) | 20% (4/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.68 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 71% (5/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 31 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.96 | 0.84 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.04 | -1.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 9', 1 - 0, Lingman L. ⚽,
- 27', 1 - 1, Hafstad D. ⚽,
- 32', Gnanou R. 🟨,
- 42', 2 - 1, Pukki T. ⚽, Hostikka S. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Michel B. ↓, Moller L. ↑,
- 47', Hafstad D. 🟨,
- 55', 2 - 2, Eremenko R. ⚽, Pettersson O. (A),
- 66', Kallinen J. ↓, Mentu P. ↑,
- 67', Hafstad D. ↓, Latonen J. ↑,
- 76', Heiskanen S. ↓, Hanninen V. ↑,
- 76', Hostikka S. ↓, Besuijen V. ↑,
- 76', Lingman L. ↓, Tahiri A. ↑,
- 83', Olufunwa O. ↓, Raitala J. ↑,
- 85', Lyons-Foster B. ↓, Kouassivi-Benissan K. ↑,
- 90+4', 2 - 3, Vayrynen T. ⚽,
- 90+4', Vayrynen T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
HJK
71.3% | Draw
17.1% | Gnistan
11.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HJK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Gnistan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
HJK - Gnistan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.33 ↑
(1.29) |
5.5 ↓
(5.6) |
8.84 ↑
(7.2) |
4.9%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for HJK - Gnistan?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. HJK will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Gnistan will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for HJK: 57.1% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. HJK (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 4 and 6)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HJK won 3.
- HJK is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Gnistan is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Gnistan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Gnistan has had a series of home games.
- In this match, HJK is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in HJK: Ost J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Gnistan: Marcelo Costa
(Knee Injury)
Oura A. A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in HJK: Ricardo Friedrich
(Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, HJK won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:5. (average 2.9:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, HJK won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has HJK won against Gnistan?
HJK has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gnistan won against HJK?
Gnistan has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between HJK - Gnistan were as follows:
28.07.2025
Gnistan
-
HJK
2:4
22.04.2025
HJK
-
Gnistan
0:1
11.01.2025
HJK
-
Gnistan
0:1
12.06.2024
Gnistan
-
HJK
0:4
22.05.2024
HJK
-
Gnistan
1:0
Latest results of Gnistan
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | KuPS | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 51:29 | 22 | 53 |
| 2 | Ilves | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 57:35 | 22 | 52 |
| 3 | Inter Turku | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 49:25 | 24 | 50 |
| 4 | SJK | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 54:39 | 15 | 48 |
| 5 | HJK | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 66:37 | 29 | 47 |
| 6 | Gnistan | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 39:50 | -11 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
