Result
2:2
03/11/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Veikkausliiga - Championship Group
- Referee: Al-Emara M. (Fin)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 3.54 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (333/402) | 81% (400/493) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 3.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.23 | 2.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 53 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (333/402) | 81% (400/493) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 66% (38/58) | 50% (36/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (119/153) | 73% (120/165) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 37% (11/30) | 25% (6/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 1.45 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.02 | 2.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.02 | 1.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 17', 1 - 0, Hanninen V. ⚽, Atarah A. (A),
- 37', 1 - 1, Lingman L. ⚽, Ylitolva M. (A),
- 45', 1 - 2, Hostikka S. ⚽, Pukki T. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Ojala J. ↓, Arko-Mensah E. ↑,
- 46', Vayrynen T. ↓, Latonen J. ↑,
- 61', Atarah A. ↓, Hafstad D. ↑,
- 69', Hanninen V. ↓, Gunes O. ↑,
- 69', Pukki T. ↓, Michel B. ↑,
- 69', Lingman L. ↓, Moller L. ↑,
- 81', Lyons-Foster B. ↓, Simojoki K. ↑,
- 84', Hostikka S. ↓, Kouassivi-Benissan K. ↑,
- 85', Mentu P. 🟨,
- 88', Kabashi A. ↓, Woivalin H. ↑,
- 90', 2 - 2, Bogicevic M. (Own goal),
Chances of winning
Gnistan
23.3% | Draw
21.7% | HJK
55% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Gnistan - HJK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.02 ↓
(4.27) |
4.34 ↓
(4.62) |
1.71 ↑
(1.65) |
6.5%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Gnistan - HJK?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Gnistan will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). HJK will win (votes: 12 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for HJK: 53.8% – 96.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. HJK (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 6 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gnistan won 3.
- Recent form of Gnistan has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- HJK is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, HJK is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Gnistan: Gnanou R.
(Red Card)
Marcelo Costa
(Knee Injury)
Oura A. A.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in HJK: Antzoulas G.
(Inactive)
Ezeh D.
(Inactive)
Kanellopoulos G.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Gnistan: Heiskanen S.
(Inactive)
Olufunwa O.
(Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Gnistan won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:25. (average 0.9:2.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gnistan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:22. (average 0.6:4.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Gnistan won against HJK?
Gnistan has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has HJK won against Gnistan?
HJK has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gnistan - HJK were as follows:
03.10.2025
HJK
-
Gnistan
2:3
28.07.2025
Gnistan
-
HJK
2:4
22.04.2025
HJK
-
Gnistan
0:1
11.01.2025
HJK
-
Gnistan
0:1
12.06.2024
Gnistan
-
HJK
0:4
Latest results of Gnistan
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | KuPS | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 62:34 | 28 | 67 |
| 2 | Inter Turku | 32 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 60:33 | 27 | 61 |
| 3 | Ilves | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 68:45 | 23 | 60 |
| 4 | SJK | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 70:51 | 19 | 59 |
| 5 | HJK | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 74:52 | 22 | 49 |
| 6 | Gnistan | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 47:65 | -18 | 33 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
