Result
3:1
20/07/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Veikkausliiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 1.15 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (376/442) | 76% (244/322) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 1.15 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.79 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (376/442) | 76% (244/322) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (38/67) | 35% (20/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (117/155) | 55% (48/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (7/34) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.78 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 85% (11/13) | 85% (11/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.79 | 1.52 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.21 | -1.48 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 3', Arko-Mensah E. 🟨,
- 11', 0 - 1, Ritari M. ⚽, Heiskanen S. (A),
- 35', Wilson A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Hafstad D. ↓, Latonen J. ↑,
- 46', Wilson A. ↓, Hannola P. ↑,
- 58', Arko-Mensah E. ↓, Raitala J. ↑,
- 58', Kabashi A. ↓, Europaeus G. ↑,
- 59', 1 - 1, Paananen K. ⚽, Yussif S. (A),
- 60', Tessilimi O. ↓, Streng J. ↑,
- 60', Arsalo M. ↓, Gasc V. R. ↑,
- 63', 2 - 1, Karjalainen R. ⚽,
- 73', Obileye A. ↓, Vaisto O. ↑,
- 79', Fati B. ↓, Murilo ↑,
- 83', Heiskanen S. ↓, Atarah A. ↑,
- 85', 3 - 1, Karjalainen R. ⚽, Vargas A. (A),
Chances of winning
SJK
49.8% | Draw
25% | Gnistan
25.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SJK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that SJK's form might have worsened.Gnistan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for SJK than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SJK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gnistan than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
SJK - Gnistan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.98 ↑
(1.7) |
3.91 ↓
(4.03) |
3.84 ↓
(4.42) |
2.2%
(6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for SJK - Gnistan?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. SJK will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Gnistan will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for SJK: 46.4% – 99%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )).
- SJK has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Gnistan has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- SJK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, SJK is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Gnistan: Craninx A.
(Red Card)
Eremenko R.
(Inactive)
Hanninen V.
(Inactive)
Marcelo Costa
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, SJK won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
- Including home match between the teams, SJK won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has SJK won against Gnistan?
SJK has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gnistan won against SJK?
Gnistan has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between SJK - Gnistan were as follows:
16.05.2025
Gnistan
-
SJK
2:2
26.08.2024
SJK
-
Gnistan
0:1
28.04.2024
Gnistan
-
SJK
0:1
Latest results of Gnistan
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ilves | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 37:19 | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Inter Turku | 16 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 32:12 | 20 | 34 |
| 3 | KuPS | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28:18 | 10 | 31 |
| 4 | HJK | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 35:18 | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | SJK | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 31:23 | 8 | 28 |
| 6 | Gnistan | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 21:27 | -6 | 20 |
| 7 | VPS | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 24:25 | -1 | 19 |
| 8 | Mariehamn | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16:31 | -15 | 17 |
| 9 | Haka | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 17:27 | -10 | 16 |
| 10 | Jaro | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 17:25 | -8 | 15 |
| 11 | AC Oulu | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 22:35 | -13 | 12 |
| 12 | KTP | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 18:38 | -20 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )
