Result
1:3
11/02/2026 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 20
- Referee: Hensgens R. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.82 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (317/384) | 85% (400/470) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.82 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 4.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 37 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (317/384) | 85% (400/470) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (44/78) | 43% (23/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (70/103) | 72% (95/132) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (6/26) | 50% (5/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.98 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 4.07 | 0.74 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.07 | -0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 42', Dirksen J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 46', van Zwam G. ↓, Tengstedt S. ↑,
- 54', 1 - 0, Dirksen J. ⚽, Breum J. (A),
- 55', Dirksen J. ↓, Sivertsen O. ↑,
- 58', 1 - 1, Nordas L. ⚽,
- 64', Slory J. ↓, Sigurdarson S. I. ↑,
- 68', 1 - 2, Nordas L. ⚽, Rivera M. (A),
- 73', Linday M. ↓, Hopland N. ↑,
- 77', Sampsted A. ↓, Waayers E. ↑,
- 77', Linthorst E. ↓, Salah Rahmouni Y. ↑,
- 77', Zagaritis V. ↓, Petrov H. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 3, Trenskow J. ⚽, Rivera M. (A),
- 89', Trenskow J. ↓, Oyen L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Go Ahead Eagles
36.7% | Draw
25.8% | Heerenveen
37.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Go Ahead Eagles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)Heerenveen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Go Ahead Eagles than the current prediction. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heerenveen than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Go Ahead Eagles - Heerenveen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.58 ↓
(2.82) |
3.67 ↑
(3.52) |
2.54 ↑
(2.29) |
5.4%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Go Ahead Eagles - Heerenveen?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Go Ahead will win (votes: 8 - 40%). Heerenveen will win (votes: 5 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 35%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Go Ahead: 18.5% – 61.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Go Ahead (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Heerenveen (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH 0 - Heerenveen (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Go Ahead (votes: 1 - 25%). Heerenveen (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 14 and 12)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Go Ahead won 3.
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- Heerenveen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Go Ahead: Nauber G.
(Broken Leg)
Saathof P.
(Knee Injury)
Weijenberg R.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Heerenveen: Smans L.
(Knee Injury)
Willemsen M.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Go Ahead won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:27. (average 1.1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Go Ahead won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Go Ahead Eagles won against Heerenveen?
Go Ahead Eagles has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Heerenveen won against Go Ahead Eagles?
Heerenveen has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Go Ahead Eagles - Heerenveen were as follows:
30.08.2025
Heerenveen
-
Go Ahead Eagles
2:2
14.05.2025
Go Ahead Eagles
-
Heerenveen
1:0
10.11.2024
Heerenveen
-
Go Ahead Eagles
1:0
17.02.2024
Heerenveen
-
Go Ahead Eagles
0:2
02.09.2023
Go Ahead Eagles
-
Heerenveen
3:2
Latest results of Go Ahead Eagles
Latest results of Heerenveen
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 24 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 70:29 | 41 | 62 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 24 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 55:33 | 22 | 48 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 59:40 | 19 | 43 |
| 4 | Ajax | 24 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 47:31 | 16 | 43 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 42:38 | 4 | 39 |
| 6 | Twente | 24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 39:26 | 13 | 38 |
| 7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:40 | -9 | 37 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 36:31 | 5 | 31 |
| 9 | Groningen | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 31:32 | -1 | 31 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 40:42 | -2 | 31 |
| 11 | Sittard | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 36:43 | -7 | 29 |
| 12 | Zwolle | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 34:50 | -16 | 27 |
| 13 | G.A. Eagles | 24 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 37:39 | -2 | 26 |
| 14 | Excelsior | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 |
| 15 | FC Volendam | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 26:39 | -13 | 24 |
| 16 | NAC Breda | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 25:36 | -11 | 22 |
| 17 | Telstar | 24 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 28:41 | -13 | 18 |
| 18 | Heracles | 24 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 31:62 | -31 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
