Result
2:2
30/08/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 4
- Referee: Lindhout A. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 3, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.41 | 1.07 |
Ball Possession |
---|
56% | 44% |
Total shots |
---|
19 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
83% (400/483) | 78% (284/364) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.41 | 1.07 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
3.80 | 1.68 |
Total shots |
---|
19 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
8 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
11 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
8 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 7 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
40 | 24 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 9 |
Passes |
---|
83% (400/483) | 78% (284/364) |
Long passes |
---|
44% (21/48) | 48% (40/84) |
Passes in final third |
---|
74% (128/173) | 66% (68/103) |
Crosses |
---|
12% (2/17) | 18% (4/22) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.86 | 0.47 |
Throw-ins |
---|
21 | 26 |
Fouls |
---|
9 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
79% (11/14) | 67% (8/12) |
Duels won |
---|
55 | 46 |
Clearances |
---|
35 | 33 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.68 | 3.80 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.32 | 1.80 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 1', 0 - 1, Meulensteen M. ⚽, Breum J. (A),
- 45+2', Meulensteen M. 🟨,
- 45+11', 1 - 1, Hopland N. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Meulensteen M. ↓, Twigt C. ↑,
- 46', Margaret R. ↓, Baeten T. ↑,
- 48', 2 - 1, Trenskow J. ⚽, Zagaritis V. (A),
- 52', Zagaritis V. 🟨,
- 61', Hopland N. 🟨,
- 77', Linday M. 🟨,
- 80', Linthorst E. ↓, Smit M. ↑,
- 80', Suray M. ↓, Adelgaard A. ↑,
- 81', Vente D. ↓, Sejk V. ↑,
- 81', James D. ↓, Stokkers F. ↑,
- 83', Hopland N. ↓, Petrov H. ↑,
- 90+3', 2 - 2, Stokkers F. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Heerenveen 39.9% | Draw 26.5% | Go Ahead Eagles 33.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Heerenveen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Heerenveen's form might have worsened.Go Ahead Eagles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Go Ahead Eagles's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heerenveen than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Heerenveen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Go Ahead Eagles than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Go Ahead Eagles, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Heerenveen - Go Ahead Eagles Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.54 ↑ (2.06) |
3.74 ↑ (3.53) |
2.93 ↓ (3.35) |
0.2% (6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Heerenveen - Go Ahead Eagles?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Heerenveen will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Go Ahead will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Heerenveen: 23.1% – 88.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heerenveen won 2.
- Heerenveen is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Go Ahead has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Heerenveen could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Heerenveen: Bochniewicz P.
(Knee Injury)
Brouwers L.
(Red Card)
Smans L.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Go Ahead: Saathof P.
(Knee Injury)
Tengstedt S.
(Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Heerenveen won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:17. (average 1.6:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Heerenveen won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.6:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Heerenveen won against Go Ahead Eagles?
Heerenveen has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Go Ahead Eagles won against Heerenveen?
Go Ahead Eagles has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Heerenveen - Go Ahead Eagles were as follows:
14.05.2025
Go Ahead Eagles
-
Heerenveen
1:0
10.11.2024
Heerenveen
-
Go Ahead Eagles
1:0
17.02.2024
Heerenveen
-
Go Ahead Eagles
0:2
02.09.2023
Go Ahead Eagles
-
Heerenveen
3:2
28.05.2023
Heerenveen
-
Go Ahead Eagles
2:0
Latest results of Heerenveen
Latest results of Go Ahead Eagles
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Feyenoord | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 7 | 9 |
2 | Nijmegen | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14:4 | 10 | 9 |
3 | Utrecht | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:3 | 8 | 9 |
4 | PSV | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12:5 | 7 | 9 |
5 | Ajax | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 8 |
6 | AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 7 |
7 | Zwolle | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
8 | Groningen | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 6 |
9 | Sparta Rotterdam | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:11 | -5 | 6 |
10 | Sittard | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 4 |
11 | FC Volendam | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6:6 | 0 | 4 |
12 | Telstar | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
13 | G.A. Eagles | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6:9 | -3 | 3 |
14 | Twente | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
15 | NAC Breda | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 3 |
16 | Excelsior | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:11 | -8 | 3 |
17 | Heerenveen | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 2 |
18 | Heracles | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:14 | -13 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie