Result
1:1
05/10/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 11
- Referee: Gariano A. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Argentina | ESPN Premium |
China | K-Ball |
Mexico | Fanatiz |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Venezuela | Inter |
World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 1.25 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (176/271) | 72% (243/339) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 1.25 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 1.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (176/271) | 72% (243/339) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (34/75) | 50% (36/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (75/137) | 63% (59/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (8/26) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.28 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (19/25) | 76% (16/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 75 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.21 | 1.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.21 | 0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 23', 0 - 1, Montiel S. (Pen),
- 29', Paredes F. 🟨,
- 30', Moran J. 🟨,
- 31', Sosa M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Poggi V. ↓, Altamira F. ↑,
- 46', Dupuy L. ↓, Sosa M. ↑,
- 52', 1 - 1, Auzmendi A. ⚽, Fernandez N. (A),
- 59', Valverde A. ↓, Yanez B. ↑,
- 63', Montiel S. ↓, Tarzia D. ↑,
- 63', Zabala F. ↓, Valenzuela M. ↑,
- 70', Fernandez P. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
- 71', Pussetto I. ↓, Avalos G. ↑,
- 71', Loyola F. ↓, Mancuello F. ↑,
- 75', Valenzuela M. 🟨,
- 76', Escobar J. ↓, Rasmussen F. ↑,
- 85', Cabral L. ↓, Taborda E. ↑,
- 90+4', Paredes F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Godoy Cruz 31.2% | Draw 32.5% | Independiente 36.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Godoy Cruz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Godoy Cruz than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Godoy Cruz - Independiente Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.05 ↑ (2.63) |
2.88 ↓ (3.05) |
2.59 ↓ (2.79) |
6.3% (6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Godoy Cruz - Independiente?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Godoy Cruz will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Independiente will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.7% – 80.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Godoy Cruz won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Independiente may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Godoy Cruz won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:25. (average 1.3:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Godoy Cruz won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 1.3:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Godoy Cruz won against Independiente?
Godoy Cruz has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente won against Godoy Cruz?
Independiente has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Godoy Cruz - Independiente were as follows:
29.03.2025
Independiente
-
Godoy Cruz
4:0
26.10.2024
Independiente
-
Godoy Cruz
1:1
28.08.2024
Godoy Cruz
-
Independiente
0:3
04.06.2023
Godoy Cruz
-
Independiente
2:1
Latest results of Godoy Cruz
Latest results of Independiente
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
ClausuraGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Central Cordoba | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 21 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 21 |
| 3 | Union de Santa Fe | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19:13 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Defensa y Justicia | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 19 |
| 5 | Argentinos Jrs | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15:10 | 5 | 18 |
| 6 | Belgrano | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 13:10 | 3 | 18 |
| 7 | Barracas Central | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 15:13 | 2 | 18 |
| 8 | Tigre | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 13:11 | 2 | 18 |
| 9 | Racing Club | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:13 | 1 | 18 |
| 10 | Boca Juniors | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19:10 | 9 | 17 |
| 11 | Banfield | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 17 |
| 12 | Huracan | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 6:11 | -5 | 16 |
| 13 | Ind. Rivadavia | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 12 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11:21 | -10 | 11 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 5:15 | -10 | 9 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dep. Riestra | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 18:9 | 9 | 27 |
| 2 | Rosario Central | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 27 |
| 3 | Lanus | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 15:9 | 6 | 26 |
| 4 | Velez Sarsfield | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 19:9 | 10 | 25 |
| 5 | River Plate | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20:12 | 8 | 21 |
| 6 | San Lorenzo | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 11:10 | 1 | 19 |
| 7 | San Martin S.J | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 17 |
| 8 | Atl. Tucuman | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14:15 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 | Sarmiento Junin | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 9:14 | -5 | 15 |
| 10 | Instituto | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 15 |
| 11 | Talleres Cordoba | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 14 |
| 12 | Gimnasia L.P | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 8:16 | -8 | 13 |
| 13 | Platense | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11:20 | -9 | 11 |
| 14 | Godoy Cruz | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9:16 | -7 | 10 |
| 15 | Independiente | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 9:13 | -4 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)