Result
1:3
15/03/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Azam Sports 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, Morrison E. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 69', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 77', 0 - 3, ⚽,
- 88', 1 - 3, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Ulinzi Stars
21.6% | Draw
29.3% | Gor Mahia
49.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ulinzi Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)Gor Mahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulinzi Stars than the current prediction. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gor Mahia than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gor Mahia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ulinzi Stars - Gor Mahia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.17 ↓
(5.1) |
3.07 ↓
(3.27) |
1.84 ↑
(1.69) |
11%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Ulinzi Stars - Gor Mahia?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gor Mahia (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +1 - Gor Mahia (2.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gor Mahia (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ulinzi Stars won 0.
- Recent form of Ulinzi Stars has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Gor Mahia is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, Gor Mahia is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ulinzi Stars won 2 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 12:21. (average 0.6:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ulinzi Stars won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.6:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Ulinzi Stars won against Gor Mahia?
Ulinzi Stars has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gor Mahia won against Ulinzi Stars?
Gor Mahia has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ulinzi Stars - Gor Mahia were as follows:
02.11.2025
Gor Mahia
-
Ulinzi Stars
1:1
15.06.2025
Ulinzi Stars
-
Gor Mahia
2:3
18.12.2024
Gor Mahia
-
Ulinzi Stars
3:0
10.02.2024
Gor Mahia
-
Ulinzi Stars
0:0
02.09.2023
Ulinzi Stars
-
Gor Mahia
0:1
Latest results of Ulinzi Stars
Latest results of Gor Mahia
Kenyan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gor Mahia | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 44:18 | 26 | 57 |
| 2 | Leopards | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 36:18 | 18 | 55 |
| 3 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 42:28 | 14 | 46 |
| 4 | Police FC | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 23:17 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | Shabana | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 31:30 | 1 | 43 |
| 6 | KCB | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 27:27 | 0 | 40 |
| 7 | Nairobi United | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 34:27 | 7 | 39 |
| 8 | Muranga | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 33:30 | 3 | 38 |
| 9 | Bandari | 27 | 8 | 14 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 38 |
| 10 | Tusker | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 23:26 | -3 | 37 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 25:25 | 0 | 34 |
| 12 | Posta Rangers | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 23:32 | -9 | 31 |
| 13 | Mathare Utd | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 22:27 | -5 | 30 |
| 14 | Kariobangi Sharks | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 18:29 | -11 | 26 |
| 15 | Ulinzi Stars | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 24:31 | -7 | 25 |
| 16 | APS Bomet | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 25:33 | -8 | 25 |
| 17 | Bidco United | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 16:30 | -14 | 22 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 27 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 15:36 | -21 | 16 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Super League
