Result
3:0
31/01/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 19
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 13', 1 - 0, Odhiambo F. ⚽,
- 18', 2 - 0, Owino S. ⚽,
- 31', 3 - 0, Assifuah E. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Gor Mahia
58% | Draw
28.1% | Sofapaka
13.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gor Mahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Sofapaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gor Mahia than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gor Mahia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sofapaka than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Gor Mahia - Sofapaka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.58 ↑
(1.48) |
3.26 ↓
(3.53) |
6.6 ↓
(7.5) |
9.2%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Gor Mahia - Sofapaka?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gor Mahia won 3.
- Gor Mahia is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Sofapaka is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Gor Mahia is the clear favorite.
- We predict that Gor Mahia will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gor Mahia won 11 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 26:14. (average 1.3:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gor Mahia won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:6. (average 1.6:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Gor Mahia won against Sofapaka?
Gor Mahia has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sofapaka won against Gor Mahia?
Sofapaka has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gor Mahia - Sofapaka were as follows:
27.09.2025
Sofapaka
-
Gor Mahia
0:2
19.04.2025
Sofapaka
-
Gor Mahia
1:1
22.01.2025
Gor Mahia
-
Sofapaka
2:0
16.06.2024
Sofapaka
-
Gor Mahia
0:1
26.08.2023
Gor Mahia
-
Sofapaka
1:1
Latest results of Gor Mahia
Latest results of Sofapaka
Kenyan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gor Mahia | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 44:18 | 26 | 57 |
| 2 | Leopards | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 36:18 | 18 | 55 |
| 3 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 42:28 | 14 | 46 |
| 4 | Police FC | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 23:17 | 6 | 44 |
| 5 | Shabana | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 31:30 | 1 | 43 |
| 6 | KCB | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 27:27 | 0 | 40 |
| 7 | Nairobi United | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 34:27 | 7 | 39 |
| 8 | Muranga | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 33:30 | 3 | 38 |
| 9 | Bandari | 27 | 8 | 14 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 38 |
| 10 | Tusker | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 23:26 | -3 | 37 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 25:25 | 0 | 34 |
| 12 | Mathare Utd | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 22:27 | -5 | 31 |
| 13 | Posta Rangers | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 23:32 | -9 | 31 |
| 14 | Kariobangi Sharks | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 18:29 | -11 | 26 |
| 15 | Ulinzi Stars | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 24:31 | -7 | 25 |
| 16 | APS Bomet | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 25:33 | -8 | 25 |
| 17 | Bidco United | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 16:30 | -14 | 22 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 27 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 15:36 | -21 | 16 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Super League
