Result
2:1
28/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 21
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 67', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 82', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 88', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Gor Mahia
69.4% | Draw
21.1% | Mathare United
9.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gor Mahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gor Mahia's performance.Mathare United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gor Mahia than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathare United than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Gor Mahia - Mathare United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.32 ↓
(1.45) |
4.34 ↑
(3.7) |
9.6 ↑
(7.47) |
9.2%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gor Mahia won 4.
- Gor Mahia has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Mathare United has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Mathare United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Gor Mahia is the undeniable favorite.
- We predict that Gor Mahia will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Gor Mahia won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:16. (average 1.5:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gor Mahia won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 1.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Gor Mahia won against Mathare United?
Gor Mahia has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mathare United won against Gor Mahia?
Mathare United has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gor Mahia - Mathare United were as follows:
30.10.2025
Mathare United
-
Gor Mahia
0:2
08.02.2025
Mathare United
-
Gor Mahia
1:2
28.09.2024
Gor Mahia
-
Mathare United
4:0
03.05.2023
Gor Mahia
-
Mathare United
2:1
01.03.2023
Mathare United
-
Gor Mahia
2:1
Latest results of Gor Mahia
Latest results of Mathare United
Kenyan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gor Mahia | 29 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 45:19 | 26 | 61 |
| 2 | Leopards | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 36:22 | 14 | 55 |
| 3 | Police FC | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 26:17 | 9 | 48 |
| 4 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 43:30 | 13 | 47 |
| 5 | Shabana | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 32:30 | 2 | 47 |
| 6 | Nairobi United | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 40:30 | 10 | 45 |
| 7 | KCB | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 30:31 | -1 | 41 |
| 8 | Tusker | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 24:27 | -3 | 41 |
| 9 | Mara Sugar | 29 | 9 | 13 | 7 | 27:25 | 2 | 40 |
| 10 | Bandari | 29 | 8 | 15 | 6 | 22:20 | 2 | 39 |
| 11 | Muranga | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 35:35 | 0 | 38 |
| 12 | Mathare Utd | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 28:31 | -3 | 35 |
| 13 | Posta Rangers | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 24:36 | -12 | 32 |
| 14 | APS Bomet | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 29:33 | -4 | 31 |
| 15 | Ulinzi Stars | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 29:34 | -5 | 31 |
| 16 | Kariobangi Sharks | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 19:30 | -11 | 29 |
| 17 | Bidco United | 29 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 17:34 | -17 | 23 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 17:39 | -22 | 18 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Super League
