Result
1:0
23/11/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 14
- Referee: Culina A. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.05 | 1.09 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (307/407) | 84% (444/531) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.05 | 1.09 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.78 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (307/407) | 84% (444/531) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (26/64) | 36% (16/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (49/74) | 69% (91/131) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 21% (5/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.01 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 43% (6/14) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.78 | 1.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', Koski V. 🟨,
- 36', 1 - 0, Prsir J. ⚽, Pozo I. (A),
- 40', Trontelj Z. 🟨,
- 45+1', Maresic D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 60', Jay A. ↓, Prevljak S. ↑,
- 64', Vrzic L. ↓, Les M. ↑,
- 72', Prsir J. 🟨,
- 73', Nasraoui M. ↓, Kumar R. ↑,
- 78', Djuric D. ↓, Agada C. ↑,
- 78', Lawal S. ↓, Bangura S. ↑,
- 81', Prsir J. ↓, Pavicic D. ↑,
- 81', Bakic O. ↓, Durakovic E. ↑,
- 90+1', Pozo I. 🟨,
- 90+3', Cuic F. ↓, Pelko V. ↑,
Chances of winning
Gorica
38.8% | Draw
28.5% | Istra 1961
32.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Gorica - Istra 1961 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.4 ↓
(2.52) |
3.3 ↑
(3.1) |
2.85 ↑
(2.78) |
7.2%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Gorica - Istra 1961?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Istra 1961 will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 8 and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gorica won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Istra 1961 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Gorica has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Gorica: Les M.
(Injury)
Pavicic D.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Istra 1961: Heister M.
(Yellow Cards)
Rozic V.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Gorica: Erceg A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Istra 1961: Kadusic A.
(Injury)
Nasraoui M.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gorica won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:22. (average 1.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gorica won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.6:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Gorica won against Istra 1961?
Gorica has won 6 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Istra 1961 won against Gorica?
Istra 1961 has won 6 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gorica - Istra 1961 were as follows:
29.08.2025
Istra 1961
-
Gorica
1:0
12.04.2025
Gorica
-
Istra 1961
3:2
31.01.2025
Istra 1961
-
Gorica
0:0
27.10.2024
Gorica
-
Istra 1961
1:0
10.08.2024
Istra 1961
-
Gorica
2:1
Latest results of Istra 1961
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Din. Zagreb | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 36:16 | 20 | 35 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 27:16 | 11 | 34 |
| 3 | Istra 1961 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 23:21 | 2 | 26 |
| 4 | Slaven Belupo | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 26:28 | -2 | 25 |
| 5 | Varazdin | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 22:25 | -3 | 23 |
| 6 | Rijeka | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 26:19 | 7 | 21 |
| 7 | Gorica | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 21:26 | -5 | 19 |
| 8 | Lok. Zagreb | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 20:28 | -8 | 19 |
| 9 | Vukovar 1991 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 18:30 | -12 | 15 |
| 10 | Osijek | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 16:26 | -10 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
