Result
1:0
29/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 5
- Referee: Culina A. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3, Arena Sport 4 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.44 | 0.86 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (288/362) | 85% (420/493) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.44 | 0.86 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.37 | 0.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 14 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (288/362) | 85% (420/493) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (19/46) | 40% (16/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (44/77) | 72% (83/115) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 17% (4/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.62 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 8 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 61% (11/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.26 | 2.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.26 | 1.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 15', Pavicic D. 🟨,
- 21', Kadusic A. 🟨,
- 31', Heister M. 🟨,
- 35', Filipovic J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Kadusic A. ↓, Jay A. ↑,
- 46', 1 - 0, Loncar S. ⚽,
- 61', Pavicic D. ↓, Vrzic L. ↑,
- 61', Durakovic E. ↓, Fiolic I. ↑,
- 72', Prevljak S. ↓, Bangura S. ↑,
- 74', Prsir J. ↓, Gashi M. ↑,
- 74', Cabraja M. ↓, Peric S. ↑,
- 80', Lawal S. ↓, Taraba F. ↑,
- 80', Mauric A. ↓, Robertsson L. ↑,
- 84', Filipovic J. ↓, Cuic F. ↑,
- 90+3', Loncar S. ↓, Ivanisevic J. ↑,
- 90+5', Kolic F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Istra 1961
51.7% | Draw
27% | Gorica
21.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Istra 1961 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Gorica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Istra 1961 than the current prediction. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gorica than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Istra 1961 - Gorica Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↑
(1.76) |
3.46 ↓
(3.67) |
4.38 ↓
(4.45) |
6.3%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Istra 1961 - Gorica?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Istra 1961 (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Gorica (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Users Predictions:
Istra 1961 will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Istra 1961 won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Recently, Gorica has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Istra 1961 is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Istra 1961: Ayuma I.
(Inactive)
Prevljak S.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Gorica: Peric S.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Istra 1961 won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:24. (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Istra 1961 won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 0.7:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Istra 1961 won against Gorica?
Istra 1961 has won 5 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gorica won against Istra 1961?
Gorica has won 6 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Istra 1961 - Gorica were as follows:
12.04.2025
Gorica
-
Istra 1961
3:2
31.01.2025
Istra 1961
-
Gorica
0:0
27.10.2024
Gorica
-
Istra 1961
1:0
10.08.2024
Istra 1961
-
Gorica
2:1
24.05.2024
Gorica
-
Istra 1961
2:0
Latest results of Istra 1961
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | D. Zagreb | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12:2 | 10 | 13 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 13 |
| 3 | Lok. Zagreb | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 8 |
| 4 | Varazdin | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 5 | Slaven Belupo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 6 | Gorica | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 5 |
| 7 | Rijeka | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 8 | Istra 1961 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 5 |
| 9 | Osijek | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 3 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
