Result
3:2
12/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 29
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 1.17 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (224/282) | 85% (367/433) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 1.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 1.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Through passes |
|---|
| 100% (1/1) | 0% (0/1) |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (224/282) | 85% (367/433) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (20/52) | 40% (19/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (51/73) | 69% (81/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (2/14) | 33% (6/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.47 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 38% (3/8) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 29 | 44 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 17 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.29 | 1.64 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.71 | -1.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 13', 0 - 1, Loncar S. ⚽, Valincic M. (A),
- 17', 0 - 2, Valincic M. ⚽, Radosevic J. (A),
- 19', 1 - 2, Slogar M. ⚽, Les M. (A),
- 26', Sikosek G. 🟨,
- 31', 2 - 2, Cuic F. ⚽, Ndockyt M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Halilovic T. 🟨,
- 53', Heister M. 🟨,
- 82', 3 - 2, Kolar M. ⚽,
- 86', Heister M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Gorica
29.9% | Draw
32.2% | Istra 1961
37.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gorica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Istra 1961 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gorica than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Istra 1961 than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Gorica - Istra 1961 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.11 ↑
(2.8) |
2.91 ↑
(2.75) |
2.47 ↓
(2.6) |
7%
(10.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Gorica - Istra 1961?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Gorica will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Istra 1961 will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 46.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19.1% – 73.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Gorica (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 9 and 6).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Gorica won 2.
- Gorica is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Istra 1961 is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Gorica could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Gorica have a series of guest games.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- There will not play in Gorica: Bralic S.
(Yellow Cards)
Caic V.
(Yellow Cards)
Fiolic I.
(Injury)
Krizmanic K.
(Yellow Cards)
Mikanovic D.
(Inactive)
Prsir J.
(Injury)
Radosevic B.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Istra 1961: Bogdan L.
(Injury)
Kadusic A.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Istra 1961: Gagua G.
(Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Gorica won 9 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 23:20 (average 1.2:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Gorica won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:13 (average 1.5:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Gorica won against Istra 1961?
Gorica has won 5 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Istra 1961 won against Gorica?
Istra 1961 has won 5 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gorica - Istra 1961 were as follows:
31.01.2025
Istra 1961
-
Gorica
0:0
27.10.2024
Gorica
-
Istra 1961
1:0
10.08.2024
Istra 1961
-
Gorica
2:1
24.05.2024
Gorica
-
Istra 1961
2:0
17.03.2024
Istra 1961
-
Gorica
0:0
Latest results of Istra 1961
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | D. Zagreb | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Osijek | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Rijeka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Slaven Belupo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Varazdin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Istra 1961 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Vukovar 1991 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Lok. Zagreb | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Gorica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
