Gorica vs Osijek – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Croatian HNL Gorica - Osijek
Result
0:1
28/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • HNL - Round 8
  • Referee: Strukan D. (Cro)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3
croatiaCroatiaMAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.521.01
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
811
Shots on target
13
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
51
Passes
82% (388/476)71% (237/334)
Yellow Cards
54
Red Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.521.01
xG on target (xGOT)
0.111.09
Total shots
811
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
58
Blocked Shots
20
Shots inside the Box
74
Shots outside the Box
27
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
51
Touches in opposition box
1912
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1513
Passes
82% (388/476)71% (237/334)
Long passes
60% (38/63)43% (26/61)
Passes in final third
68% (108/159)58% (62/107)
Crosses
31% (8/26)13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.600.58
Throw-ins
2932
Fouls
1315
Tackles
65% (11/17)75% (12/16)
Duels won
4842
Clearances
2225
Interceptions
1110
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.090.11
Goals prevented
0.090.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 13', Petrusenko O. 🟨,
  • 34', Peric S. , Vrzic L. ,
  • 35', 0 - 1, Jakupovic A. , Shopov S. (A),
  • 45+3', Kavelj A. 🟨,
  • 45+5', Shopov S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 59', Cabraja M. 🟨,
  • 63', Cuic F. , Erceg A. ,
  • 63', Cabraja M. , Durakovic E. ,
  • 63', Bakic O. , Fiolic I. ,
  • 66', Erceg A. 🟨,
  • 68', Shopov S. , Babec H. ,
  • 68', Omerovic N. , Toure Y. ,
  • 77', Erceg A. 🟨,
  • 80', Kavelj A. , Gashi M. ,
  • 81', Petrusenko O. , Mikolcic S. ,
  • 83', Vrbancic L. 🟨,
  • 84', Durakovic E. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Colina D. , Jurisic R. ,
  • 90+5', Vrbancic L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gorica
15.3%
Draw
28.7%
Osijek
56%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19.7% 25.4% 54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8% 25.3% 54.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gorica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • Osijek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gorica than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osijek than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Gorica - Osijek Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    8.62
    (4.64)
    4.3
    (3.6)
    2.02
    (1.67)
    -15.6%
    (9.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Gorica - Osijek?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gorica will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Osijek will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 5 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gorica won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Osijek may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Gorica has had a series of away games.
    • Osijek might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Gorica: Pozo I. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Osijek: Babec H. (Inactive) Hasic E. (Injury) Jugovic V. (Inactive) Jurisic R. (Broken Leg) Matkovic A. (Knee Injury) Mersinaj J. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gorica won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:25. (average 1.1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gorica won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.5:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gorica - Osijek were as follows:
    19.04.2025 Osijek - Gorica 0:1
    08.02.2025 Gorica - Osijek 1:0
    02.11.2024 Osijek - Gorica 2:0
    18.08.2024 Gorica - Osijek 2:2
    28.04.2024 Gorica - Osijek 0:3
    Latest results of Gorica
    21.09.2025 Gorica - Slaven Belupo 2:1
    14.09.2025 Dinamo Zagreb - Gorica 1:2
    10.09.2025 Libertas Novska - Gorica 1:3
    05.09.2025 Maribor - Gorica 4:2
    29.08.2025 Istra 1961 - Gorica 1:0
    Latest results of Osijek
    24.09.2025 Uljanik Pula - Osijek 0:4
    21.09.2025 Istra 1961 - Osijek 2:1
    14.09.2025 Osijek - Vukovar 91 4:0
    31.08.2025 Lokomotiva Zagreb - Osijek 1:1
    24.08.2025 Osijek - Hajduk Split 0:2
    Croatian HNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1D. Zagreb861119:51419
    2Hajduk Split851213:7616
    3Varazdin933310:10012
    4Lok. Zagreb83329:10-112
    5Istra 196193339:11-212
    6Gorica832310:10011
    7Osijek82337:709
    8Slaven Belupo830510:16-69
    9Rijeka81438:10-27
    10Vukovar 199181258:17-95

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