Result
0:1
28/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 8
- Referee: Strukan D. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 1.01 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (388/476) | 71% (237/334) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 1.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.11 | 1.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (388/476) | 71% (237/334) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (38/63) | 43% (26/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (108/159) | 58% (62/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (8/26) | 13% (1/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.58 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.09 | 0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 13', Petrusenko O. 🟨,
- 34', Peric S. ↓, Vrzic L. ↑,
- 35', 0 - 1, Jakupovic A. ⚽, Shopov S. (A),
- 45+3', Kavelj A. 🟨,
- 45+5', Shopov S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 59', Cabraja M. 🟨,
- 63', Cuic F. ↓, Erceg A. ↑,
- 63', Cabraja M. ↓, Durakovic E. ↑,
- 63', Bakic O. ↓, Fiolic I. ↑,
- 66', Erceg A. 🟨,
- 68', Shopov S. ↓, Babec H. ↑,
- 68', Omerovic N. ↓, Toure Y. ↑,
- 77', Erceg A. 🟨,
- 80', Kavelj A. ↓, Gashi M. ↑,
- 81', Petrusenko O. ↓, Mikolcic S. ↑,
- 83', Vrbancic L. 🟨,
- 84', Durakovic E. 🟨,
- 90+2', Colina D. ↓, Jurisic R. ↑,
- 90+5', Vrbancic L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Gorica
15.3% | Draw
28.7% | Osijek
56% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gorica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)Osijek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gorica than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osijek than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Gorica - Osijek Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
8.62 ↑
(4.64) |
4.3 ↑
(3.6) |
2.02 ↑
(1.67) |
-15.6%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Gorica - Osijek?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Gorica will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Osijek will win (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 5 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gorica won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Osijek may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Gorica has had a series of away games.
- Osijek might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Gorica: Pozo I.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Osijek: Babec H.
(Inactive)
Hasic E.
(Injury)
Jugovic V.
(Inactive)
Jurisic R.
(Broken Leg)
Matkovic A.
(Knee Injury)
Mersinaj J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gorica won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:25. (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gorica won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.5:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Gorica won against Osijek?
Gorica has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Osijek won against Gorica?
Osijek has won 6 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gorica - Osijek were as follows:
19.04.2025
Osijek
-
Gorica
0:1
08.02.2025
Gorica
-
Osijek
1:0
02.11.2024
Osijek
-
Gorica
2:0
18.08.2024
Gorica
-
Osijek
2:2
28.04.2024
Gorica
-
Osijek
0:3
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hajduk Split | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 20:8 | 12 | 25 |
| 2 | D. Zagreb | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22:8 | 14 | 22 |
| 3 | Lok. Zagreb | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 16 |
| 4 | Varazdin | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13:11 | 2 | 15 |
| 5 | Slaven Belupo | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 13 |
| 6 | Istra 1961 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 12 |
| 7 | Rijeka | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 | Gorica | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13:19 | -6 | 11 |
| 9 | Osijek | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9:19 | -10 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
