Result
1:1
13/12/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.25 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (390/471) | 69% (183/264) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.25 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (390/471) | 69% (183/264) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (30/58) | 45% (28/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (108/153) | 54% (29/54) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (5/37) | 17% (1/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.50 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 50% (12/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 73 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 7 | 70 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.26 | 1.47 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.74 | 0.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 22', 0 - 1, Filipovic J. ⚽, Cabraja M. (A),
- 31', Pavicic D. 🟨,
- 41', Colina D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Jovicic M. ↓, Jurisic R. ↑,
- 54', Mikolcic S. 🟨,
- 57', Peric S. 🟥,
- 57', Mersinaj J. ↓, Mkrtchyan S. ↑,
- 57', Jugovic V. ↓, Jakupovic A. ↑,
- 60', Pavicic D. ↓, Les M. ↑,
- 73', Bakic O. ↓, Prsir J. ↑,
- 74', Babec H. ↓, Vrbancic L. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 1, Matkovic A. ⚽, Hasic E. (A),
- 82', Colina D. ↓, Bukvic D. ↑,
- 85', Cabraja M. ↓, Gurlica J. ↑,
- 85', Cuic F. ↓, Pelko V. ↑,
- 89', Mkrtchyan S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Osijek
37.7% | Draw
29.5% | Gorica
32.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Osijek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Osijek's form might have worsened.Gorica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gorica's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osijek than the current prediction. (+9.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Osijek, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gorica than the current prediction. (-8.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gorica, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Osijek - Gorica Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.49 ↑
(1.88) |
3.19 ↓
(3.33) |
2.85 ↓
(3.88) |
6.6%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Osijek - Gorica?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Osijek will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Gorica will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Osijek: 21.7% – 78.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Osijek (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Prva NL and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Osijek won 2.
- Osijek has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Gorica has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Osijek may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Gorica has had a series of home games.
- Osijek is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Osijek: Farkas N.
(Injury)
Shopov S.
(Knee Injury)
Vrbancic L.
(Pelvis Injury)
Zivkovic F.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Osijek won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:20. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Osijek won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:5. (average 1.6:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Osijek won against Gorica?
Osijek has won 7 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gorica won against Osijek?
Gorica has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Osijek - Gorica were as follows:
28.09.2025
Gorica
-
Osijek
0:1
19.04.2025
Osijek
-
Gorica
0:1
08.02.2025
Gorica
-
Osijek
1:0
02.11.2024
Osijek
-
Gorica
2:0
18.08.2024
Gorica
-
Osijek
2:2
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Din. Zagreb | 24 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 56:19 | 37 | 54 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 36:21 | 15 | 47 |
| 3 | Rijeka | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 36:25 | 11 | 35 |
| 4 | Slaven Belupo | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 33:36 | -3 | 34 |
| 5 | Varazdin | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 30:35 | -5 | 33 |
| 6 | Istra 1961 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:35 | -6 | 30 |
| 7 | Lok. Zagreb | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 29:37 | -8 | 29 |
| 8 | Gorica | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 27:36 | -9 | 26 |
| 9 | Osijek | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 21:36 | -15 | 20 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 26:43 | -17 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
