Result
0:1
19/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 30
- Referee: Strukan D. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Croatia | HRT 2, HRTi, MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.02 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (386/464) | 78% (277/353) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.02 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.69 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 19 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (386/464) | 78% (277/353) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (23/38) | 39% (22/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (78/119) | 62% (58/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (7/29) | 29% (2/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.68 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 48 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 19 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.39 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.31 | 0.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 27', Jurisic R. 🟨,
- 31', 0 - 1, Pajaziti A. ⚽, Slogar M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Slogar M. ↓, Caic V. ↑,
- 58', Pedro Lima ↓, Hernani ↑,
- 58', Pusic P. ↓, Zivkovic F. ↑,
- 60', Dantas T. 🟨,
- 62', Kolar M. ↓, Cuic F. ↑,
- 72', Babec H. ↓, Jugovic V. ↑,
- 73', Omerovic N. ↓, Bukvic D. ↑,
- 75', Pajaziti A. ↓, Gurlica J. ↑,
- 82', Renan Guedes ↓, Soldo M. ↑,
- 87', Mikanovic D. ↓, Basic M. ↑,
- 87', Ndockyt M. ↓, Bralic S. ↑,
- 87', Bukvic D. 🟨,
- 89', Sikosek G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Osijek
49.3% | Draw
29.5% | Gorica
21.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Osijek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Gorica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osijek than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gorica than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Osijek - Gorica Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↓
(1.92) |
3.2 ↑
(3) |
4.4 ↓
(4.6) |
6.3%
(7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Osijek - Gorica?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Osijek will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Osijek: 45% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 8 and 9).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Osijek won 3.
- Osijek has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Gorica is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Osijek could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently Osijek have a series of guest games.
- In this match Osijek is a favorite.
- There will not play in Osijek: Hasic E.
(Ankle Injury)
Matkovic A.
(Injury)
Mersinaj J.
(Yellow Cards)
Mikolcic S.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Gorica: Fiolic I.
(Injury)
Kresic A.
(Injury)
Maloca M.
(Inactive)
Prsir J.
(Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Osijek won 10 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 27:21 (average 1.4:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Osijek won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 18:6 (average 1.8:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Osijek won against Gorica?
Osijek has won 6 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gorica won against Osijek?
Gorica has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Osijek - Gorica were as follows:
08.02.2025
Gorica
-
Osijek
1:0
02.11.2024
Osijek
-
Gorica
2:0
18.08.2024
Gorica
-
Osijek
2:2
28.04.2024
Gorica
-
Osijek
0:3
18.02.2024
Osijek
-
Gorica
3:0
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | D. Zagreb | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:0 | 10 | 12 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 9 |
| 3 | Lok. Zagreb | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 4 | Gorica | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
| 5 | Rijeka | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | Slaven Belupo | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 |
| 7 | Varazdin | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
| 8 | Osijek | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
| 9 | Istra 1961 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 2 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
