Result
0:0
14/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 26
- Referee: Culina A. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.98 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (418/485) | 79% (271/344) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.98 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.23 | 0.93 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (418/485) | 79% (271/344) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (14/40) | 41% (17/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (95/132) | 65% (73/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (6/22) | 23% (6/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 0.45 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 10 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (14/19) | 38% (3/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45', Mejia Moscoso D. M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 64', Pavicic D. ↓, Epailly T. ↑,
- 65', Sule W. ↓, Erceg A. ↑,
- 65', Omerovic N. ↓, Akere S. ↑,
- 77', Prsir J. ↓, Bakic O. ↑,
- 77', Barisic B. ↓, Hasic E. ↑,
- 86', Bogojevic B. ↓, Durakovic E. ↑,
- 89', Karacic F. ↓, Renan Guedes ↑,
- 89', Bukvic D. ↓, Jovicic M. ↑,
- 89', Jelenic L. ↓, Mersinaj J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Osijek
39.8% | Draw
32.4% | Gorica
27.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Osijek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Gorica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osijek than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gorica than the current prediction. (-4%)
Osijek - Gorica Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.36 ↑
(2.23) |
2.92 ↑
(2.82) |
3.38 ↓
(3.69) |
6.2%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Osijek - Gorica?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Osijek will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Osijek: 44.1% – 94.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Osijek (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 9 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Osijek won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Osijek may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Osijek could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Osijek: Bubanja V.
(Yellow Cards)
Mikolcic S.
(Yellow Cards)
Shopov S.
(Knee Injury)
Toure Y.
(Inactive)
Vrbancic L.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Gorica: Fiolic I.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Osijek: Barisic B.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Osijek won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:17. (average 1.2:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Osijek won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:6. (average 1.5:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Osijek won against Gorica?
Osijek has won 7 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gorica won against Osijek?
Gorica has won 4 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Osijek - Gorica were as follows:
13.12.2025
Osijek
-
Gorica
1:1
28.09.2025
Gorica
-
Osijek
0:1
19.04.2025
Osijek
-
Gorica
0:1
08.02.2025
Gorica
-
Osijek
1:0
02.11.2024
Osijek
-
Gorica
2:0
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Din. Zagreb | 27 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 68:22 | 46 | 63 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 45:25 | 20 | 53 |
| 3 | Rijeka | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 37:31 | 6 | 38 |
| 4 | Varazdin | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 34:38 | -4 | 37 |
| 5 | Istra 1961 | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 33:37 | -4 | 36 |
| 6 | Slaven Belupo | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 37:42 | -5 | 36 |
| 7 | Gorica | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 33:38 | -5 | 31 |
| 8 | Lok. Zagreb | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 31:45 | -14 | 30 |
| 9 | Osijek | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 22:36 | -14 | 25 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 26:52 | -26 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
