Result
2:2
28/11/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Division 1 - Round 18
- Referee: Krumplewski D. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Poland | sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 33', 0 - 1, Jaroszynski P. ⚽, Bednarczyk J. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Terlecki K. ↓, Michalski K. ↑,
- 46', Calavera J. ↓, Kwiatkowski O. ↑,
- 46', Szymusik G. ↓, Matic M. ↑,
- 51', 1 - 1, Arak J. ⚽, Kwiatkowski O. (A),
- 70', 2 - 1, Arak J. ⚽, Szymanski J. (A),
- 71', Andrzejczak K. ↓, Sarmiento J. ↑,
- 71', Arak J. ↓, Wojtyra K. ↑,
- 79', 2 - 2, Orlik K. ⚽, Kryeziu E. (A),
- 83', Wojtyra K. 🟨,
- 85', Krzyzak O. 🟨,
- 85', Szczytniewski S. ↓, Ogaga D. ↑,
- 86', Tkacz D. ↓, Bojanczyk K. ↑,
- 90+3', Deja A. ↓, Osipiuk O. ↑,
- 90+5', Spacil B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Polonia Bytom
62.2% | Draw
21.1% | Górnik Łęczna
16.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Polonia Bytom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)Górnik Łęczna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Bytom than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Górnik Łęczna than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Polonia Bytom - Górnik Łęczna Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.5 ↓
(1.61) |
4.46 ↑
(3.85) |
5.65 ↑
(4.89) |
6.9%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Polonia Bytom - Górnik Łęczna?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Polonia Bytom will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Polonia Bytom: 57.1% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
- DNB - Polonia Bytom (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Górnik Łęczna (2.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Polonia Bytom will win (2 of 3 users predict this - 66.67%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Polonia Bytom (votes: 3 - 60%). Górnik Łęczna (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).
- Polonia Bytom is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Górnik Łęczna is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Polonia Bytom is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Polonia Bytom will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Polonia Bytom won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Polonia Bytom won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Polonia Bytom won against Górnik Łęczna?
Polonia Bytom has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Górnik Łęczna won against Polonia Bytom?
Górnik Łęczna has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Polonia Bytom - Górnik Łęczna were as follows:
19.07.2025
Górnik Łęczna
-
Polonia Bytom
0:3
Latest results of Polonia Bytom
Latest results of Górnik Łęczna
Polish Division 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Wisla | 31 | 17 | 11 | 3 | 67:32 | 35 | 62 |
| 2 | Slask Wroclaw | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 64:44 | 20 | 57 |
| 3 | Wieczysta Krakow | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 64:44 | 20 | 53 |
| 4 | Chrobry Glogow | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 44:31 | 13 | 51 |
| 5 | LKS Lodz | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 48:42 | 6 | 47 |
| 6 | Ruch Chorzow | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 46:42 | 4 | 47 |
| 7 | Polonia Warszawa | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 48:46 | 2 | 47 |
| 8 | Legnica | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 48:50 | -2 | 46 |
| 9 | Puszcza | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 42:37 | 5 | 45 |
| 10 | Polonia Bytom | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 50:42 | 8 | 44 |
| 11 | Grodzisk M | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 48:48 | 0 | 43 |
| 12 | S. Rzeszow | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 43:51 | -8 | 39 |
| 13 | Odra Opole | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 28:37 | -9 | 38 |
| 14 | Pogon Siedlce | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 31:36 | -5 | 36 |
| 15 | Stal Mielec | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 43:59 | -16 | 29 |
| 16 | Leczna | 31 | 5 | 12 | 14 | 37:55 | -18 | 27 |
| 17 | Pruszkow | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 34:59 | -25 | 25 |
| 18 | Tychy | 31 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 37:67 | -30 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ Division 2
