Result
1:1
04/05/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 31
- Referee: Przybyl J. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Premium, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV, TVP Sport |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.84 | 0.52 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (342/431) | 75% (300/401) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.84 | 0.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.37 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 0 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 21 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 57 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (342/431) | 75% (300/401) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (23/44) | 44% (38/86) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (125/182) | 64% (58/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (6/14) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.24 | 0.37 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (10/20) | 65% (15/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.37 | 1.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.63 | 0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 20', 1 - 0, Pietuszewski O. ⚽, Romanczuk T. (A),
- 30', Prebsl F. 🟨,
- 33', Moutinho J. 🟨,
- 34', 1 - 1, Szczesniak K. ⚽, Kmet M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Prebsl F. ↓, Olkowski P. ↑,
- 46', Furukawa Y. ↓, Sow O. ↑,
- 46', Buksa A. ↓, Zahovic L. ↑,
- 57', Diaby-Fadiga L. ↓, Pululu A. ↑,
- 71', Villar Miki ↓, Semedo E. ↑,
- 71', Imaz J. ↓, Hansen K. ↑,
- 72', Liseth S. 🟨,
- 75', Liseth S. ↓, Sarapata D. ↑,
- 82', Podolski L. ↓, Lukoszek K. ↑,
- 86', Wojtuszek N. ↓, Dieguez A. ↑,
- 86', Pietuszewski O. ↓, Mazurek B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Jagiellonia Białystok
57.5% | Draw
23.3% | Górnik Zabrze
19.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jagiellonia Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jagiellonia Białystok's performance.Górnik Zabrze has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Górnik Zabrze might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (-12%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jagiellonia Białystok that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Górnik Zabrze than the current prediction. (+8.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Górnik Zabrze could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Jagiellonia Białystok - Górnik Zabrze Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.65 ↓
(1.86) |
4.04 ↑
(3.86) |
4.85 ↑
(3.73) |
6%
(6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Jagiellonia Białystok - Górnik Zabrze?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Jagiellonia (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Jagiellonia Białystok will win
(15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia won 3.
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- In this match, Jagiellonia is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Jagiellonia: Sacek M.
(Leg Injury)
- There will not play in Górnik Zabrze: Janicki R.
(Yellow Cards)
Janza E.
(Suspended)
Szala D.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 33:32. (average 1.7:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jagiellonia won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 1.8:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Jagiellonia Białystok won against Górnik Zabrze?
Jagiellonia Białystok has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Górnik Zabrze won against Jagiellonia Białystok?
Górnik Zabrze has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jagiellonia Białystok - Górnik Zabrze were as follows:
03.11.2024
Górnik Zabrze
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
0:2
02.03.2024
Górnik Zabrze
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
2:1
27.08.2023
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Górnik Zabrze
4:1
11.03.2023
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Górnik Zabrze
2:1
26.08.2022
Górnik Zabrze
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
1:1
Latest results of Jagiellonia Białystok
Latest results of Górnik Zabrze
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Wisla Plock | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 13 |
| 2 | Cracovia | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | Gornik Zabrze | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:4 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Jagiellonia | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 5 | Radomiak Radom | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Termalica B-B | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 8 |
| 7 | Legia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 7 |
| 8 | Widzew Lodz | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 7 |
| 9 | Lech Poznan | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:9 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Rakow | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 | Zaglebie | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 5 |
| 12 | Korona Kielce | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Motor Lublin | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Arka Gdynia | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | GKS Katowice | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 | Pogon Szczecin | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7:12 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 | Piast Gliwice | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 1 |
| 18 | Lechia Gdansk | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11:17 | -6 | -3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
