Result
2:1
26/10/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 13
- Referee: Frankowski B. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go |
 Poland | CANAL+ Premium, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Spain | GolStadium |
 Ukraine | Sport 2 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 World | Sport 2 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.96 | 1.12 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (361/412) | 89% (527/595) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.96 | 1.12 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 0.58 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (361/412) | 89% (527/595) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 64% (29/45) | 45% (15/33) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (90/115) | 72% (100/138) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.87 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (7/15) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.58 | 1.65 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.42 | 0.65 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, Imaz J. ⚽,
- 15', 1 - 1, Hellebrand P. ⚽, Kubicki J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Szczesniak K. ↓, Olkowski P. ↑,
- 58', Pululu A. ↓, Rallis D. ↑,
- 58', Flach L. ↓, Drachal D. ↑,
- 58', Wojtuszek N. ↓, Pietuszewski O. ↑,
- 78', Kubicki J. ↓, Zahovic L. ↑,
- 81', Jozwiak K. ↓, Mazurek B. ↑,
- 86', Liseth S. ↓, Podolski L. ↑,
- 88', 2 - 1, Pozo A. (Own goal),
- 90+1', Pelmard A. ↓, Sylla Y. ↑,
- 90+1', Ambros L. ↓, Pingot M. ↑,
- 90+6', Stojinovic D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Górnik Zabrze
44.7% | Draw
28.5% | Jagiellonia Białystok
26.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Górnik Zabrze - Jagiellonia Białystok Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.09 ↓
(2.3) |
3.29 ↑
(3.2) |
3.46 ↑
(3.15) |
7%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Górnik Zabrze - Jagiellonia Białystok?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Górnik Zabrze will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Jagiellonia will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Górnik Zabrze won 1.
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- Górnik Zabrze may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Górnik Zabrze might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Górnik Zabrze won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 32:31. (average 1.6:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Górnik Zabrze won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 1.9:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Górnik Zabrze won against Jagiellonia Białystok?
Górnik Zabrze has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jagiellonia Białystok won against Górnik Zabrze?
Jagiellonia Białystok has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Górnik Zabrze - Jagiellonia Białystok were as follows:
04.05.2025
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Górnik Zabrze
1:1
03.11.2024
Górnik Zabrze
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
0:2
02.03.2024
Górnik Zabrze
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
2:1
27.08.2023
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Górnik Zabrze
4:1
11.03.2023
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Górnik Zabrze
2:1
Latest results of Górnik Zabrze
Latest results of Jagiellonia Białystok
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gornik Zabrze | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 26:14 | 12 | 29 |
| 2 | Jagiellonia | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27:18 | 9 | 27 |
| 3 | Wisla Plock | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 19:10 | 9 | 26 |
| 4 | Rakow | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 20:18 | 2 | 23 |
| 5 | Radomiak Radom | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 28:24 | 4 | 22 |
| 6 | Cracovia | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 21:17 | 4 | 22 |
| 7 | Zaglebie | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 27:18 | 9 | 21 |
| 8 | Lech Poznan | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 23:23 | 0 | 21 |
| 9 | Korona Kielce | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 17:16 | 1 | 20 |
| 10 | Arka Gdynia | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 13:26 | -13 | 18 |
| 11 | Legia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 17 |
| 12 | Widzew Lodz | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 17 |
| 13 | GKS Katowice | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 21:27 | -6 | 17 |
| 14 | Pogon Szczecin | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 21:27 | -6 | 17 |
| 15 | Motor Lublin | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 19:24 | -5 | 16 |
| 16 | Lechia Gdansk | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 25:32 | -7 | 13 |
| 17 | Termalica B-B | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 19:29 | -10 | 13 |
| 18 | Piast Gliwice | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13:16 | -3 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
