Górnik Zabrze vs Jagiellonia Białystok – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

26/10/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla (Zabrze).

Ekstraklasa - Round 13
Referee: Frankowski B. (Pol)
Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Canada	beIN Connect
Croatia	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Poland	CANAL+ Premium, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Spain	GolStadium
Ukraine	Sport 2
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
World	Sport 2 Baltic

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.96	1.12
Ball Possession
41%	59%
Total shots
22	15
Shots on target
6	3
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
5	4
Passes
88% (361/412)	89% (527/595)
Yellow Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.96	1.12
xG on target (xGOT)
1.65	0.58
Total shots
22	15
Shots on target
6	3
Shots off target
9	5
Blocked Shots
7	7
Shots inside the Box
14	9
Shots outside the Box
8	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
5	4
Touches in opposition box
35	27
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
6	8
Passes
88% (361/412)	89% (527/595)
Long passes
64% (29/45)	45% (15/33)
Passes in final third
78% (90/115)	72% (100/138)
Crosses
25% (4/16)	25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.29	0.87
Throw-ins
17	12
Fouls
8	6
Tackles
47% (7/15)	71% (12/17)
Duels won
41	33
Clearances
22	24
Interceptions
8	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	5
xGOT faced
0.58	1.65
Goals prevented
-0.42	0.65

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Imaz J. ⚽,
15', 1 - 1, Hellebrand P. ⚽, Kubicki J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Szczesniak K. ↓, Olkowski P. ↑,
58', Pululu A. ↓, Rallis D. ↑,
58', Flach L. ↓, Drachal D. ↑,
58', Wojtuszek N. ↓, Pietuszewski O. ↑,
78', Kubicki J. ↓, Zahovic L. ↑,
81', Jozwiak K. ↓, Mazurek B. ↑,
86', Liseth S. ↓, Podolski L. ↑,
88', 2 - 1, Pozo A. (Own goal),
90+1', Pelmard A. ↓, Sylla Y. ↑,
90+1', Ambros L. ↓, Pingot M. ↑,
90+6', Stojinovic D. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Górnik Zabrze
44.7%

Draw
28.5%

Jagiellonia Białystok
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

29.3%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

27.7%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Górnik Zabrze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Jagiellonia Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Zabrze than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Górnik Zabrze - Jagiellonia Białystok Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.3)	3.29 ↑ (3.2)	3.46 ↑ (3.15)	7% (6.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Górnik Zabrze - Jagiellonia Białystok?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Górnik Zabrze will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Jagiellonia will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Górnik Zabrze won 1.
At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
Górnik Zabrze may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Górnik Zabrze might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Górnik Zabrze won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 32:31. (average 1.6:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Górnik Zabrze won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 1.9:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Górnik Zabrze won against Jagiellonia Białystok?

Górnik Zabrze has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Jagiellonia Białystok won against Górnik Zabrze?

Jagiellonia Białystok has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Górnik Zabrze - Jagiellonia Białystok were as follows:

04.05.2025 Jagiellonia Białystok - Górnik Zabrze 1:1

03.11.2024 Górnik Zabrze - Jagiellonia Białystok 0:2

02.03.2024 Górnik Zabrze - Jagiellonia Białystok 2:1

27.08.2023 Jagiellonia Białystok - Górnik Zabrze 4:1

11.03.2023 Jagiellonia Białystok - Górnik Zabrze 2:1

Latest results of Górnik Zabrze

18.10.2025 Korona Kielce - Górnik Zabrze 1:1 ✺

05.10.2025 Górnik Zabrze - Legia Warsaw 3:1 ✺

27.09.2025 Cracovia - Górnik Zabrze 1:1 ✺

24.09.2025 Legia II - Górnik Zabrze 0:3 ✺

21.09.2025 Górnik Zabrze - Widzew Łódź 3:2 ✺

Latest results of Jagiellonia Białystok

23.10.2025 Strasbourg - Jagiellonia Białystok 1:1 ✺

18.10.2025 Jagiellonia Białystok - Arka Gdynia 4:0 ✺

05.10.2025 Jagiellonia Białystok - Korona Kielce 3:1 ✺

02.10.2025 Jagiellonia Białystok - Hamrun Spartans 1:0 ✺

28.09.2025 Lech Poznań - Jagiellonia Białystok 2:2 ✺

Polish Ekstraklasa Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lech Poznan	26	12	8	6	46:37	9	44
2	Zaglebie	26	11	8	7	40:30	10	41
3	Jagiellonia	26	11	8	7	43:34	9	41
4	Gornik Zabrze	26	11	6	9	36:32	4	39
5	Wisla Plock	26	10	9	7	28:25	3	39
6	Rakow	26	11	5	10	35:33	2	38
7	Motor Lublin	26	9	10	7	35:38	-3	37
8	Korona Kielce	26	10	6	10	33:29	4	36
9	Cracovia	26	9	9	8	31:28	3	36
10	GKS Katowice	26	11	3	12	35:35	0	36
11	Piast Gliwice	26	10	5	11	32:33	-1	35
12	Lechia Gdansk	26	11	6	9	51:48	3	34
13	Pogon Szczecin	26	10	4	12	36:40	-4	34
14	Radomiak Radom	26	8	9	9	42:40	2	33
15	Legia	26	6	12	8	30:31	-1	30
16	Arka Gdynia	26	8	6	12	25:44	-19	30
17	Widzew Lodz	26	8	5	13	31:34	-3	29
18	Termalica B-B	26	5	7	14	30:48	-18	22

      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Division 1