Result
0:1
15/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 8
- Referee: Frankowski B. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Usa | beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 1.78 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (524/611) | 73% (214/293) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 1.78 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 1.47 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (524/611) | 73% (214/293) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (19/38) | 41% (24/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (105/145) | 66% (74/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (7/23) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 0.92 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (14/17) | 89% (16/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 14', 0 - 1, Sow O. ⚽, Kubicki J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Silva J. ↓, Ameyaw M. ↑,
- 46', Pienko T. ↓, Adriano ↑,
- 46', Racovitan B. ↓, Rondic I. ↑,
- 55', Szczesniak K. 🟨,
- 67', Arsenic Z. 🟨,
- 68', Ambros L. ↓, Goh Young-Jun ↑,
- 68', Kmet M. ↓, Olkowski P. ↑,
- 71', Josema 🟨,
- 71', Sow O. ↓, Massimo R. ↑,
- 72', Repka O. ↓, Barath P. ↑,
- 79', Bulat M. ↓, Makuch P. ↑,
- 86', Hellebrand P. 🟨,
- 89', Liseth S. 🟨,
- 90+5', Liseth S. ↓, Gabriel Barbosa ↑,
- 90+5', Szczesniak K. ↓, Pingot M. ↑,
- 90+6', Gabriel Barbosa 🟨,
- 90+8', Pingot M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Raków Częstochowa
49.8% | Draw
27.8% | Górnik Zabrze
22.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Raków Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Górnik Zabrze has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Górnik Zabrze than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Raków Częstochowa - Górnik Zabrze Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↑
(1.85) |
3.38 ↓
(3.7) |
4.14 ↑
(3.7) |
6.4%
(8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Raków Częstochowa - Górnik Zabrze?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Raków will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). Górnik Zabrze will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Raków: 53.9% – 93.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Raków (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Raków won 2.
- Raków is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Górnik Zabrze has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Raków has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Raków is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Raków: Kochergin V.
(Knee Injury)
Otieno E.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Górnik Zabrze: Sacek M.
(Leg Injury)
Zahovic L.
(Foot Injury)
- There are questionable in Raków: Svarnas S.
(Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Raków won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Raków won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.4:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Raków Częstochowa won against Górnik Zabrze?
Raków Częstochowa has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Górnik Zabrze won against Raków Częstochowa?
Górnik Zabrze has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Raków Częstochowa - Górnik Zabrze were as follows:
21.02.2025
Raków Częstochowa
-
Górnik Zabrze
1:0
18.08.2024
Górnik Zabrze
-
Raków Częstochowa
0:0
19.04.2024
Raków Częstochowa
-
Górnik Zabrze
0:1
22.10.2023
Górnik Zabrze
-
Raków Częstochowa
2:1
18.02.2023
Raków Częstochowa
-
Górnik Zabrze
2:0
Latest results of Raków Częstochowa
Latest results of Górnik Zabrze
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gornik Zabrze | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15:8 | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | Cracovia | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17:10 | 7 | 18 |
| 3 | Korona Kielce | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 18 |
| 4 | Jagiellonia | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 16:12 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Wisla Plock | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11:6 | 5 | 17 |
| 6 | Legia | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12:6 | 6 | 15 |
| 7 | Lech Poznan | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17:16 | 1 | 15 |
| 8 | Zaglebie | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 20:13 | 7 | 13 |
| 9 | Radomiak Radom | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17:18 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 | Motor Lublin | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11:14 | -3 | 11 |
| 11 | Rakow | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | Widzew Lodz | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13:13 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 | Pogon Szczecin | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 14:19 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | Termalica B-B | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13:17 | -4 | 9 |
| 15 | Arka Gdynia | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5:14 | -9 | 9 |
| 16 | GKS Katowice | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:21 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 | Piast Gliwice | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 |
| 18 | Lechia Gdansk | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 18:25 | -7 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
