Result
0:0
22/04/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 29
- Referee: Musial T. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 5, Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV |
Serbia | Arena Sport 8 |
Ukraine | Kyivstar TV |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.38 | 1.58 |
Ball Possession |
---|
47% | 53% |
Total shots |
---|
7 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
84% (373/442) | 87% (434/497) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 0 |
Red Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.38 | 1.58 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.69 | 0.84 |
Total shots |
---|
7 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
5 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
2 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
14 | 15 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
7 | 16 |
Passes |
---|
84% (373/442) | 87% (434/497) |
Long passes |
---|
57% (31/54) | 52% (33/64) |
Passes in final third |
---|
70% (68/97) | 80% (103/128) |
Crosses |
---|
30% (6/20) | 10% (2/20) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.63 | 0.87 |
Fouls |
---|
16 | 7 |
Tackles |
---|
67% (12/18) | 65% (11/17) |
Duels won |
---|
41 | 49 |
Clearances Total |
---|
11 | 19 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 11 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.84 | 0.69 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.84 | 0.69 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 1', Jaunzems A. 🟨,
- 19', Wlazlo P. 🟨,
- 45+3', Cavaleiro I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Gerbowski F. ↓, Dadok R. ↑,
- 54', Szala D. ↓, Olkowski P. ↑,
- 63', Hannola P. ↓, Knap K. ↑,
- 63', Zahovic L. ↓, Ambros L. ↑,
- 63', Furukawa Y. ↓, Sow O. ↑,
- 69', Wolsztynski L. ↓, Assayag R. ↑,
- 69', Cavaleiro I. ↓, Domanski M. ↑,
- 77', Wlazlo P. 🟨,
- 89', Podolski L. ↓, Liseth S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Stal Mielec 34.5% | Draw 27.7% | Górnik Zabrze 37.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stal Mielec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Górnik Zabrze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Zabrze than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Górnik Zabrze, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Stal Mielec - Górnik Zabrze Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.73 ↑ (2.49) |
3.38 ↑ (3.23) |
2.48 ↓ (2.75) |
6.5% (7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Stal Mielec - Górnik Zabrze?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Stal Mielec will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Górnik Zabrze will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Górnik Zabrze: 25.1% – 83.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Górnik Zabrze will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 9).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Stal Mielec won 2.
- Stal Mielec has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Górnik Zabrze is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- There will not play in Stal Mielec: Ehmann M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Górnik Zabrze: Janza E.
(Suspended)
- There are questionable in Górnik Zabrze: Lukoszek K.
(Inactive)
- Last 11 head-to-head matches Stal Mielec won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 11:17 (average 1:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Stal Mielec won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4:8 (average 0.8:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Stal Mielec won against Górnik Zabrze?
Stal Mielec has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Górnik Zabrze won against Stal Mielec?
Górnik Zabrze has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stal Mielec - Górnik Zabrze were as follows:
20.10.2024
Górnik Zabrze
-
Stal Mielec
3:1
11.05.2024
Górnik Zabrze
-
Stal Mielec
1:1
12.11.2023
Stal Mielec
-
Górnik Zabrze
2:1
26.02.2023
Stal Mielec
-
Górnik Zabrze
0:1
Latest results of Stal Mielec
Latest results of Górnik Zabrze
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Cracovia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
2 | Radomiak Radom | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 4 |
3 | Termalica B-B | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Wisla Plock | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
5 | Gornik Zabrze | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
6 | Motor Lublin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
7 | Widzew Lodz | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
8 | Rakow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
9 | Arka Gdynia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
10 | Piast Gliwice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Legia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | GKS Katowice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
13 | Zaglebie | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
14 | Korona Kielce | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
15 | Lech Poznan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
16 | Pogon Szczecin | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
17 | Jagiellonia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
18 | Lechia Gdansk | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | -5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1