Result
0:0
22/04/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 29
- Referee: Musial T. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5, Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 8 |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 1.58 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (373/442) | 87% (434/497) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 1.58 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.84 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (373/442) | 87% (434/497) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (31/54) | 52% (33/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (68/97) | 80% (103/128) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (6/20) | 10% (2/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.87 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 65% (11/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 49 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.69 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.69 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 1', Jaunzems A. 🟨,
- 19', Wlazlo P. 🟨,
- 45+3', Cavaleiro I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Gerbowski F. ↓, Dadok R. ↑,
- 54', Szala D. ↓, Olkowski P. ↑,
- 63', Hannola P. ↓, Knap K. ↑,
- 63', Zahovic L. ↓, Ambros L. ↑,
- 63', Furukawa Y. ↓, Sow O. ↑,
- 69', Wolsztynski L. ↓, Assayag R. ↑,
- 69', Cavaleiro I. ↓, Domanski M. ↑,
- 77', Wlazlo P. 🟨,
- 89', Podolski L. ↓, Liseth S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Stal Mielec
34.5% | Draw
27.7% | Górnik Zabrze
37.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stal Mielec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Górnik Zabrze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Zabrze than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Górnik Zabrze, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Stal Mielec - Górnik Zabrze Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.73 ↑
(2.49) |
3.38 ↑
(3.23) |
2.48 ↓
(2.75) |
6.5%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Stal Mielec - Górnik Zabrze?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Stal Mielec will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Górnik Zabrze will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Górnik Zabrze: 25.1% – 83.9%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- O/U 5.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- AH +0.25 - Górnik Zabrze (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Górnik Zabrze will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Górnik Zabrze (votes: 5 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 9).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Stal Mielec won 2.
- Stal Mielec has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Górnik Zabrze is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- There will not play in Stal Mielec: Ehmann M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Górnik Zabrze: Janza E.
(Suspended)
- There are questionable in Górnik Zabrze: Lukoszek K.
(Inactive)
- Last 11 head-to-head matches Stal Mielec won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 11:17 (average 1:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Stal Mielec won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4:8 (average 0.8:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Stal Mielec won against Górnik Zabrze?
Stal Mielec has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Górnik Zabrze won against Stal Mielec?
Górnik Zabrze has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stal Mielec - Górnik Zabrze were as follows:
20.10.2024
Górnik Zabrze
-
Stal Mielec
3:1
11.05.2024
Górnik Zabrze
-
Stal Mielec
1:1
12.11.2023
Stal Mielec
-
Górnik Zabrze
2:1
26.02.2023
Stal Mielec
-
Górnik Zabrze
0:1
Latest results of Stal Mielec
Latest results of Górnik Zabrze
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jagiellonia | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 37:24 | 13 | 37 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 35:27 | 8 | 35 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 36:31 | 5 | 35 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 32:28 | 4 | 34 |
| 5 | Rakow | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 28:25 | 3 | 34 |
| 6 | Wisla Plock | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 24:18 | 6 | 33 |
| 7 | Cracovia | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 27:22 | 5 | 33 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 27:24 | 3 | 30 |
| 9 | Radomiak Radom | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 36:33 | 3 | 28 |
| 10 | Pogon Szczecin | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 32:35 | -3 | 28 |
| 11 | Lechia Gdansk | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 44:43 | 1 | 27 |
| 12 | GKS Katowice | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 28:31 | -3 | 27 |
| 13 | Motor Lublin | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 30:37 | -7 | 27 |
| 14 | Piast Gliwice | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 23:26 | -3 | 26 |
| 15 | Arka Gdynia | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 19:36 | -17 | 25 |
| 16 | Legia | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 25:27 | -2 | 24 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 29:32 | -3 | 24 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 26:39 | -13 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
