Stal Mielec vs Górnik Zabrze – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa Stal Mielec - Górnik Zabrze
Result
0:0
22/04/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 29
  • Referee: Musial T. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
polandPolandCANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 8
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.381.58
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
710
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
84% (373/442)87% (434/497)
Yellow Cards
40
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.381.58
xG on target (xGOT)
0.690.84
Total shots
710
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
55
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
1415
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
716
Passes
84% (373/442)87% (434/497)
Long passes
57% (31/54)52% (33/64)
Passes in final third
70% (68/97)80% (103/128)
Crosses
30% (6/20)10% (2/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.630.87
Fouls
167
Tackles
67% (12/18)65% (11/17)
Duels won
4149
Clearances Total
1119
Interceptions
511
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.840.69
Goals prevented
0.840.69

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 1', Jaunzems A. 🟨,
  • 19', Wlazlo P. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Cavaleiro I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Gerbowski F. , Dadok R. ,
  • 54', Szala D. , Olkowski P. ,
  • 63', Hannola P. , Knap K. ,
  • 63', Zahovic L. , Ambros L. ,
  • 63', Furukawa Y. , Sow O. ,
  • 69', Wolsztynski L. , Assayag R. ,
  • 69', Cavaleiro I. , Domanski M. ,
  • 77', Wlazlo P. 🟨,
  • 89', Podolski L. , Liseth S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Stal Mielec
34.5%
Draw
27.7%
Górnik Zabrze
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.3% 28.8% 33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7% 27.8% 32.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stal Mielec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Górnik Zabrze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Zabrze than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Górnik Zabrze, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Stal Mielec - Górnik Zabrze Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.73
    (2.49)
    3.38
    (3.23)
    2.48
    (2.75)
    6.5%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Stal Mielec - Górnik Zabrze?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Stal Mielec will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Górnik Zabrze will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Górnik Zabrze: 25.1%83.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Górnik Zabrze will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 9).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Stal Mielec won 2.
    • Stal Mielec has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Górnik Zabrze is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in Stal Mielec: Ehmann M. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Górnik Zabrze: Janza E. (Suspended)
    • There are questionable in Górnik Zabrze: Lukoszek K. (Inactive)
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Stal Mielec won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 11:17 (average 1:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Stal Mielec won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4:8 (average 0.8:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stal Mielec - Górnik Zabrze were as follows:
    20.10.2024 Górnik Zabrze - Stal Mielec 3:1
    11.05.2024 Górnik Zabrze - Stal Mielec 1:1
    12.11.2023 Stal Mielec - Górnik Zabrze 2:1
    26.02.2023 Stal Mielec - Górnik Zabrze 0:1
    Latest results of Stal Mielec
    Latest results of Górnik Zabrze
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cracovia22006:156
    2Radomiak Radom21106:244
    3Termalica B-B21014:223
    4Wisla Plock11002:023
    5Gornik Zabrze11002:113
    6Motor Lublin11001:013
    7Widzew Lodz11001:013
    8Rakow11001:013
    9Arka Gdynia20111:2-11
    10Piast Gliwice00000:000
    11Legia00000:000
    12GKS Katowice10010:1-10
    13Zaglebie10010:1-10
    14Korona Kielce10010:2-20
    15Lech Poznan10011:4-30
    16Pogon Szczecin10011:5-40
    17Jagiellonia10010:4-40
    18Lechia Gdansk10011:2-1-5

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1