Result
0:1
08/08/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 4
- Referee: Arys K. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 2 |
 Ukraine | Sport 1, Sport 3 |
 World | Sport 1 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 0.43 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (482/561) | 74% (267/360) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 0.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.79 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 50 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (482/561) | 74% (267/360) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (36/66) | 42% (25/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (148/199) | 63% (64/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (10/30) | 0% (0/2) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.73 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 67% (14/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.79 | 1.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.21 | 1.58 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 25', Hellebrand P. 🟨,
- 26', Kubica K. 🟨,
- 38', 0 - 1, Fassbender M. ⚽, Wolski M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 57', Trubeha A. ↓, Strzalek I. ↑,
- 57', Jimenez J. ↓, Kurzawa R. ↑,
- 63', Massimo R. ↓, Sow O. ↑,
- 63', Olkowski P. ↓, Kmet M. ↑,
- 67', Boboc R. ↓, Hilbrycht D. ↑,
- 67', Kubica K. ↓, Mini ↑,
- 70', Tsirigotis T. ↓, Podolski L. ↑,
- 76', Kasperkiewicz A. ↓, Masoero L. ↑,
- 77', Mini 🟨,
- 80', Hilbrycht D. 🟨,
- 85', Janicki R. ↓, Szczesniak K. ↑,
- 85', Kubicki J. ↓, Dziegielewski N. ↑,
- 88', Podolski L. 🟨,
- 90+2', Janicki R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Górnik Zabrze
48.7% | Draw
26.2% | Termalica Nieciecza
25.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Górnik Zabrze has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Termalica Nieciecza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Górnik Zabrze than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Górnik Zabrze, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Termalica Nieciecza than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Górnik Zabrze - Termalica Nieciecza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.01 ↑
(1.74) |
3.64 ↓
(3.65) |
3.81 ↓
(4.35) |
3.4%
(8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Górnik Zabrze - Termalica Nieciecza?
Users Predictions:
Górnik Zabrze will win
(18 of 20 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.85% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Górnik Zabrze will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Górnik Zabrze won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Recently, Górnik Zabrze has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Górnik Zabrze is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Górnik Zabrze: Sacek M.
(Leg Injury)
Zahovic L.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Termalica: Zapolnik K.
(Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Górnik Zabrze won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Górnik Zabrze won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Górnik Zabrze won against Termalica Nieciecza?
Górnik Zabrze has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Termalica Nieciecza won against Górnik Zabrze?
Termalica Nieciecza has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Górnik Zabrze - Termalica Nieciecza were as follows:
Latest results of Górnik Zabrze
Latest results of Termalica Nieciecza
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Wisla Plock | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 | 16 |
| 2 | Cracovia | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:9 | 4 | 14 |
| 3 | Gornik Zabrze | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10:5 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | Jagiellonia | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12:9 | 3 | 12 |
| 5 | Korona Kielce | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 | Lech Poznan | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:10 | 0 | 10 |
| 7 | Pogon Szczecin | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:13 | -2 | 10 |
| 8 | Radomiak Radom | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | Termalica B-B | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 | Motor Lublin | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 8 |
| 11 | Arka Gdynia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 | Legia | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:4 | 2 | 7 |
| 13 | Widzew Lodz | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:9 | 0 | 7 |
| 14 | GKS Katowice | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:15 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Zaglebie | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 2 | 6 |
| 16 | Rakow | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Piast Gliwice | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 18 | Lechia Gdansk | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 12:19 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
