Result
1:1
16/02/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 21
- Referee: Malec P. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Strike, Strike |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2, Arena Sport 4 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.14 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 30% | 70% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (164/246) | 86% (508/593) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.14 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 0.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 46 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (164/246) | 86% (508/593) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (24/54) | 54% (33/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (49/86) | 72% (133/184) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 13% (3/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.88 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 38% (5/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.39 | 1.74 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.74 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', 1 - 0, Fassbender M. ⚽,
- 40', 1 - 1, Kasperkiewicz A. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 67', Zapolnik K. ↓, Durdov I. ↑,
- 68', Fassbender M. ↓, Jakubik W. ↑,
- 68', Kurzawa R. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
- 71', Hilbrycht D. 🟨,
- 74', Hilbrycht D. ↓, Wolski M. ↑,
- 83', Liseth S. ↓, Rupanov B. ↑,
- 83', Khlan M. ↓, Massimo R. ↑,
- 83', Strzalek I. ↓, Biniek D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Termalica Nieciecza
27.2% | Draw
27.5% | Górnik Zabrze
45.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Termalica Nieciecza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)Górnik Zabrze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Górnik Zabrze's recent form is better than expected.
Termalica Nieciecza - Górnik Zabrze Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.45 ↑
(2.88) |
3.4 ↑
(3.1) |
2.07 ↓
(2.22) |
6.7%
(12%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Termalica Nieciecza - Górnik Zabrze?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Termalica will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Górnik Zabrze will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Górnik Zabrze: 41.6% – 98.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Górnik Zabrze (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Termalica (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Termalica (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Górnik Zabrze (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Termalica won 2.
- Termalica is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Górnik Zabrze may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Górnik Zabrze will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Termalica: Ambrosiewicz M.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Górnik Zabrze: Janicki R.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Termalica won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Termalica won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Termalica Nieciecza won against Górnik Zabrze?
Termalica Nieciecza has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Górnik Zabrze won against Termalica Nieciecza?
Górnik Zabrze has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Termalica Nieciecza - Górnik Zabrze were as follows:
08.08.2025
Górnik Zabrze
-
Termalica Nieciecza
0:1
Latest results of Termalica Nieciecza
Latest results of Górnik Zabrze
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Zaglebie | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 41 |
| 2 | Jagiellonia | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 42:32 | 10 | 41 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 42:36 | 6 | 41 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 36:32 | 4 | 38 |
| 5 | Rakow | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 34:32 | 2 | 37 |
| 6 | Wisla Plock | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 36 |
| 7 | GKS Katowice | 25 | 11 | 3 | 11 | 35:34 | 1 | 36 |
| 8 | Pogon Szczecin | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 35:38 | -3 | 34 |
| 9 | Motor Lublin | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 34:38 | -4 | 34 |
| 10 | Radomiak Radom | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 41:37 | 4 | 33 |
| 11 | Cracovia | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 30:28 | 2 | 33 |
| 12 | Korona Kielce | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 30:29 | 1 | 33 |
| 13 | Piast Gliwice | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 29:32 | -3 | 32 |
| 14 | Lechia Gdansk | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 49:47 | 2 | 31 |
| 15 | Arka Gdynia | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 25:41 | -16 | 30 |
| 16 | Legia | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 29:30 | -1 | 29 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 31:34 | -3 | 28 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 29:44 | -15 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
