Pogoń Szczecin vs Termalica Nieciecza – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

08/02/2026 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera (Szczecin).

Ekstraklasa - Round 20
Referee: Piszczelok M. (Pol)
Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	beIN Connect
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ 360, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.66	1.54
Ball possession
57%	43%
Total shots
17	21
Shots on target
6	7
Big chances
4	2
Corner kicks
7	5
Passes
76% (334/437)	70% (233/335)
Yellow cards
3	2
Expected goals (xG)
1.66	1.54
xG on target (xGOT)
1.16	1.32
Total shots
17	21
Shots on target
6	7
Shots off target
6	10
Blocked shots
5	4
Shots inside the box
10	14
Shots outside the box
7	7
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Big chances
4	2
Corner kicks
7	5
Touches in opposition box
25	31
Accurate through passes
2	1
Offsides
2	3
Free kicks
13	11
Passes
76% (334/437)	70% (233/335)
Long passes
33% (18/54)	36% (21/59)
Passes in final third
66% (94/143)	63% (82/131)
Crosses
23% (6/26)	14% (3/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.35	1.12
Throw ins
10	23
Fouls
11	13
Tackles
64% (9/14)	71% (10/14)
Duels won
53	46
Clearances
31	32
Interceptions
14	16
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
7	5
xGOT faced
1.32	1.16
Goals prevented
0.32	0.16

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', Kubica K. 🟨,
34', Ulvestad F. 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Greenwood S. ⚽,
40', Ambrosiewicz M. 🟨,
42', Brosz M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Jakubik W. ↓, Kurzawa R. ↑,
46', Durdov I. ↓, Zapolnik K. ↑,
61', Wolski M. ↓, Boboc R. ↑,
70', Greenwood S. ↓, Smolinski K. ↑,
70', Koutris L. ↓, Loncar D. ↑,
70', Pozo J. ↓, Angielski K. ↑,
76', Cojocaru V. 🟨,
80', Kubica K. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
80', Hilbrycht D. ↓, Guerrero S. ↑,
81', Leo Borges ↓, Ali H. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Kurzawa R. ⚽,
84', Grosicki K. ↓, Juwara M. ↑,
90', Loncar D. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Pogoń Szczecin
61.2%

Draw
21.2%

Termalica Nieciecza
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

27.3%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Szczecin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pogoń Szczecin's performance.

Termalica Nieciecza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Pogoń Szczecin - Termalica Nieciecza Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.68)	4.42 ↑ (3.27)	5.34 ↑ (4.6)	7.2% (11.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Pogoń Szczecin - Termalica Nieciecza?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Termalica will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pogoń Szczecin: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin (votes: 2 - 40%). Termalica (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH -1.5 - Pogoń Szczecin (2.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin (votes: 3 - 50%). Termalica (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 3.
Termalica is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Recently, Termalica has had a series of home games.
In this match, Pogoń Szczecin is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Pogoń Szczecin: Molnar R. (Knee Injury)
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:14. (average 2:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Pogoń Szczecin won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:7. (average 2.2:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Pogoń Szczecin won against Termalica Nieciecza?

Pogoń Szczecin has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Termalica Nieciecza won against Pogoń Szczecin?

Termalica Nieciecza has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Pogoń Szczecin - Termalica Nieciecza were as follows:

02.08.2025 Termalica Nieciecza - Pogoń Szczecin 1:1

Latest results of Pogoń Szczecin

01.02.2026 Motor Lublin - Pogoń Szczecin 2:1 ✺

10.01.2026 Pogoń Szczecin - Swit Skolwin 3:1 ✺

06.12.2025 Pogoń Szczecin - Radomiak Radom 2:2 ✺

02.12.2025 Pogoń Szczecin - Widzew Łódź 0:1 ✺

29.11.2025 GKS Katowice - Pogoń Szczecin 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Termalica Nieciecza

02.02.2026 Termalica Nieciecza - Cracovia 0:1 ✺

24.01.2026 Termalica Nieciecza - Stal Rzeszów 8:1 ✺

16.01.2026 Termalica Nieciecza - Spartak Subotica 1:0 ✺

13.01.2026 IMT Novi Beograd - Termalica Nieciecza 1:3 ✺

07.12.2025 Termalica Nieciecza - Jagiellonia Białystok 2:1 ✺

Polish Ekstraklasa Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lech Poznan	31	15	10	6	56:41	15	55
2	Gornik Zabrze	30	14	7	9	43:34	9	49
3	GKS Katowice	31	14	5	12	48:42	6	47
4	Jagiellonia	30	12	10	8	48:37	11	46
5	Rakow	30	13	7	10	43:37	6	46
6	Zaglebie	31	12	9	10	43:36	7	45
7	Wisla Plock	31	12	9	10	32:31	1	45
8	Pogon Szczecin	31	12	5	14	43:45	-2	41
9	Piast Gliwice	31	11	7	13	40:41	-1	40
10	Legia	31	9	13	9	35:36	-1	40
11	Radomiak Radom	30	10	10	10	46:43	3	40
12	Korona Kielce	31	10	9	12	38:37	1	39
13	Cracovia	31	9	12	10	35:38	-3	39
14	Motor Lublin	31	9	12	10	39:46	-7	39
15	Lechia Gdansk	30	12	7	11	57:54	3	38
16	Widzew Lodz	31	10	6	15	36:38	-2	36
17	Arka Gdynia	30	9	7	14	31:54	-23	34
18	Termalica B-B	31	7	7	17	37:60	-23	28

      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Division 1