Heraclea vs Gravina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
25/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group H - Round 21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 35', 1 - 0, Musy Hernandez M. ,
  • 45', 1 - 1, Basanisi A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 69', 2 - 1, ,
  • 90+13', 2 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Heraclea
41.4%
Draw
28.5%
Gravina
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.7% 28.6% 29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1% 27.7% 28.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Heraclea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Gravina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heraclea than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gravina than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Heraclea - Gravina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.19
    (2.18)
    3.19
    (3.18)
    3.01
    (3.05)
    10.3%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: )).
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • Heraclea could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Heraclea won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Heraclea - Gravina were as follows:
    24.09.2025 Gravina - Heraclea 1:1
    Latest results of Heraclea
    11.01.2026 Heraclea - Paganese 1:2
    04.01.2026 Real Normanna - Heraclea 0:2
    21.12.2025 Ferrandina - Heraclea 2:1
    14.12.2025 Heraclea - Martina Calcio 0:1
    Latest results of Gravina
    18.01.2026 Gravina - Nardo 2:2
    11.01.2026 Città di Fasano - Gravina 4:0
    04.01.2026 Gravina - Nola 0:2
    21.12.2025 Real Normanna - Gravina 3:2
    14.12.2025 Gravina - Afragolese 1:0
    Italian Serie D - Group H Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barletta281510343:162755
    2Paganese28165729:22753
    3Martina Calcio28157640:261452
    4Citta di Fasano28157639:291052
    5Afragolese28137842:33946
    6A.C.D. Nardo281112535:251045
    7Virtus Francavilla281110739:271243
    8Gravina281161133:37-439
    9Fidelis Andria281071129:25437
    10SS Nola 1925281071140:41-137
    11Real Normanna28812822:20236
    12Manfredonia28981129:33-435
    13Heraclea28961323:28-533
    14Sarnese287111040:41-132
    15Francavilla28871326:33-731
    16Ferrandina28671518:33-1525
    17Pompei28561714:31-1721
    18Acerrana28352015:56-4114

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: )
          Relegation