Result
0:3
30/08/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 5
- Referee: Ciochirca P. (Aut)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1 |
 Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany |
 Serbia | SportKlub 3 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 2.02 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (246/326) | 74% (267/359) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 2.02 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.11 | 2.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (246/326) | 74% (267/359) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (27/71) | 35% (15/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (43/82) | 56% (60/108) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.28 | 0.41 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 57% (17/30) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.04 | 0.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.96 | 0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 20', Graf L. 🟨,
- 30', Karic E. 🟨,
- 39', Gorenc Stankovic J. ↓, Hodl J. ↑,
- 41', 0 - 1, Jatta S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Kiteishvili O. ↓, Hierlander S. ↑,
- 64', 0 - 2, Horvat T. ⚽, Oermann T. (A),
- 70', Frieser D. ↓, Hofleitner A. ↑,
- 70', Maderner D. ↓, Satin M. ↑,
- 70', Cipot T. ↓, Jano Z. ↑,
- 76', Hodl J. 🟨,
- 77', Oermann T. ↓, Haider G. ↑,
- 80', Graf L. ↓, Lichtenberger C. ↑,
- 81', Koch T. 🟥,
- 84', Harakate R. ↓, Kreuzriegler M. ↑,
- 87', Chukwuani T. 🟨,
- 90+3', Grgic L. ↓, Beganovic B. ↑,
- 90+6', 0 - 3, Jatta S. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Grazer AK
19.4% | Draw
23% | Sturm Graz
57.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grazer AK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Sturm Graz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grazer AK than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Grazer AK - Sturm Graz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.83 ↓
(5.23) |
4.11 ↑
(3.95) |
1.64 ↑
(1.61) |
6%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Grazer AK - Sturm Graz?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Grazer will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Sturm will win (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Grazer is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Sturm has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Grazer may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Sturm is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Sturm: Borkovic A.
(Knee Injury)
Kayombo A.
(Ankle Injury)
Khudyakov D.
(Wrist Injury)
- There are questionable in Sturm: Malic A.
(Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Grazer won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 1.3:2.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Grazer won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Grazer AK won against Sturm Graz?
Grazer AK has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sturm Graz won against Grazer AK?
Sturm Graz has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grazer AK - Sturm Graz were as follows:
09.03.2025
Grazer AK
-
Sturm Graz
1:2
19.10.2024
Sturm Graz
-
Grazer AK
5:2
02.11.2023
Grazer AK
-
Sturm Graz
2:3
19.10.2022
Grazer AK
-
Sturm Graz
0:1
Latest results of Grazer AK
Latest results of Sturm Graz
Austrian Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | SK Rapid | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 17 |
| 2 | Sturm Graz | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:4 | 7 | 12 |
| 3 | Altach | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 12 |
| 4 | Wolfsberger AC | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 11 |
| 5 | Salzburg | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 11 |
| 6 | Hartberg | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:10 | 1 | 10 |
| 7 | Austria Vienna | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 10 |
| 8 | Tirol | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11:10 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Ried | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 7 |
| 10 | LASK | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:13 | -7 | 6 |
| 11 | BW Linz | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:11 | -6 | 4 |
| 12 | Grazer AK | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5:16 | -11 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )
Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )
