Grazer AK vs Sturm Graz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Austrian Bundesliga Grazer AK - Sturm Graz
Result
0:3
30/08/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 5
  • Referee: Ciochirca P. (Aut)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 3
germanyGermanySky Go Germany
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 3
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 1
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.972.02
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1114
Shots on target
27
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
75% (246/326)74% (267/359)
Yellow Cards
13
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.972.02
xG on target (xGOT)
0.112.04
Total shots
1114
Shots on target
27
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
58
Shots outside the Box
66
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
1914
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
107
Passes
75% (246/326)74% (267/359)
Long passes
38% (27/71)35% (15/43)
Passes in final third
52% (43/82)56% (60/108)
Crosses
22% (4/18)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.280.41
Throw-ins
2326
Fouls
710
Tackles
79% (11/14)57% (17/30)
Duels won
4057
Clearances
2922
Interceptions
1112
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
2.040.11
Goals prevented
-0.960.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 20', Graf L. 🟨,
  • 30', Karic E. 🟨,
  • 39', Gorenc Stankovic J. , Hodl J. ,
  • 41', 0 - 1, Jatta S. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Kiteishvili O. , Hierlander S. ,
  • 64', 0 - 2, Horvat T. , Oermann T. (A),
  • 70', Frieser D. , Hofleitner A. ,
  • 70', Maderner D. , Satin M. ,
  • 70', Cipot T. , Jano Z. ,
  • 76', Hodl J. 🟨,
  • 77', Oermann T. , Haider G. ,
  • 80', Graf L. , Lichtenberger C. ,
  • 81', Koch T. 🟥,
  • 84', Harakate R. , Kreuzriegler M. ,
  • 87', Chukwuani T. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Grgic L. , Beganovic B. ,
  • 90+6', 0 - 3, Jatta S. ,

Chances of winning


Grazer AK
19.4%
Draw
23%
Sturm Graz
57.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18% 23.8% 58.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.6% 21.9% 53.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Grazer AK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Sturm Graz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grazer AK than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • Grazer AK - Sturm Graz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.83
    (5.23)
    4.11
    (3.95)
    1.64
    (1.61)
    6%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Grazer AK - Sturm Graz?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Grazer will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Sturm will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Grazer is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Sturm has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Grazer may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Sturm is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Sturm: Borkovic A. (Knee Injury) Kayombo A. (Ankle Injury) Khudyakov D. (Wrist Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sturm: Malic A. (Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Grazer won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 1.3:2.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Grazer won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Grazer AK - Sturm Graz were as follows:
    09.03.2025 Grazer AK - Sturm Graz 1:2
    19.10.2024 Sturm Graz - Grazer AK 5:2
    02.11.2023 Grazer AK - Sturm Graz 2:3
    19.10.2022 Grazer AK - Sturm Graz 0:1
    Latest results of Grazer AK
    Latest results of Sturm Graz
    26.08.2025 Sturm Graz - Bodø Glimt 2:1
    23.08.2025 Sturm Graz - Swarovski Tirol Postponed
    20.08.2025 Bodø Glimt - Sturm Graz 5:0
    16.08.2025 Ried - Sturm Graz 1:3
    10.08.2025 Sturm Graz - Rapid Wien 1:2
    Austrian Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1SK Rapid54106:2413
    2Salzburg532014:5911
    3Sturm Graz43019:369
    4Tirol42209:548
    5Altach52214:228
    6Wolfsberger AC52127:527
    7Ried52128:717
    8Hartberg52037:8-16
    9Austria Vienna51135:9-44
    10LASK51044:12-83
    11Grazer AK50324:12-83
    12BW Linz50142:9-71

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