Result
0:3
30/08/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 5
- Referee: Ciochirca P. (Aut)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1 |
Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
Germany | Sky Go Germany |
Serbia | SportKlub 3 |
Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.97 | 2.02 |
Ball Possession |
---|
48% | 52% |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 7 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
75% (246/326) | 74% (267/359) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 3 |
Red Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.97 | 2.02 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.11 | 2.04 |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 7 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
5 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
19 | 14 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
10 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
75% (246/326) | 74% (267/359) |
Long passes |
---|
38% (27/71) | 35% (15/43) |
Passes in final third |
---|
52% (43/82) | 56% (60/108) |
Crosses |
---|
22% (4/18) | 20% (2/10) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.28 | 0.41 |
Throw-ins |
---|
23 | 26 |
Fouls |
---|
7 | 10 |
Tackles |
---|
79% (11/14) | 57% (17/30) |
Duels won |
---|
40 | 57 |
Clearances |
---|
29 | 22 |
Interceptions |
---|
11 | 12 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.04 | 0.11 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.96 | 0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 20', Graf L. 🟨,
- 30', Karic E. 🟨,
- 39', Gorenc Stankovic J. ↓, Hodl J. ↑,
- 41', 0 - 1, Jatta S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Kiteishvili O. ↓, Hierlander S. ↑,
- 64', 0 - 2, Horvat T. ⚽, Oermann T. (A),
- 70', Frieser D. ↓, Hofleitner A. ↑,
- 70', Maderner D. ↓, Satin M. ↑,
- 70', Cipot T. ↓, Jano Z. ↑,
- 76', Hodl J. 🟨,
- 77', Oermann T. ↓, Haider G. ↑,
- 80', Graf L. ↓, Lichtenberger C. ↑,
- 81', Koch T. 🟥,
- 84', Harakate R. ↓, Kreuzriegler M. ↑,
- 87', Chukwuani T. 🟨,
- 90+3', Grgic L. ↓, Beganovic B. ↑,
- 90+6', 0 - 3, Jatta S. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Grazer AK 19.4% | Draw 23% | Sturm Graz 57.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grazer AK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Sturm Graz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grazer AK than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Grazer AK - Sturm Graz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.83 ↓ (5.23) |
4.11 ↑ (3.95) |
1.64 ↑ (1.61) |
6% (6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Grazer AK - Sturm Graz?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Grazer will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Sturm will win (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Grazer is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Sturm has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Grazer may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Sturm is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Sturm: Borkovic A.
(Knee Injury)
Kayombo A.
(Ankle Injury)
Khudyakov D.
(Wrist Injury)
- There are questionable in Sturm: Malic A.
(Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Grazer won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 1.3:2.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Grazer won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Grazer AK won against Sturm Graz?
Grazer AK has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sturm Graz won against Grazer AK?
Sturm Graz has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grazer AK - Sturm Graz were as follows:
09.03.2025
Grazer AK
-
Sturm Graz
1:2
19.10.2024
Sturm Graz
-
Grazer AK
5:2
02.11.2023
Grazer AK
-
Sturm Graz
2:3
19.10.2022
Grazer AK
-
Sturm Graz
0:1
Latest results of Grazer AK
Latest results of Sturm Graz
Austrian Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | SK Rapid | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 13 |
2 | Salzburg | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 14:5 | 9 | 11 |
3 | Sturm Graz | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 | 9 |
4 | Tirol | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 8 |
5 | Altach | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 8 |
6 | Wolfsberger AC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 7 |
7 | Ried | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 7 |
8 | Hartberg | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 6 |
9 | Austria Vienna | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
10 | LASK | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:12 | -8 | 3 |
11 | Grazer AK | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4:12 | -8 | 3 |
12 | BW Linz | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:9 | -7 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )
Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )