Greenock Morton vs Arbroath – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Cappielow Park (Greenock).

Championship - Round 31
Referee: Scott C. (Sco)

Match Stats


Ball possession
48%	52%
Total shots
8	10
Shots on target
2	5
Corner kicks
1	4
Yellow cards
2	1
Total shots
8	10
Shots on target
2	5
Shots off target
6	5
Corner kicks
1	4

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, Moffat O. ⚽, Shaw N. (A),
18', Muirhead A. ↓, MacIntyre J. ↑,
32', 2 - 0, Main C. ⚽, Wilson I. (A),
37', 2 - 1, Marshall F. ⚽, Robinson S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Beadling T. ↓, Cochrane H. ↑,
56', Dow R. ↓, Reilly G. ↑,
58', MacPherson C. ↓, O'Halloran M. ↑,
63', Owens F. ↓, Longridge J. ↑,
70', Robinson S. 🟨,
78', Moffat O. ↓, Ballantyne C. ↑,
82', Blues C. 🟨,
84', Flynn R. ↓, Mebude D. ↑,
90+2', Delaney Z. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Greenock Morton
36.2%

Draw
31.2%

Arbroath
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

28.6%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

27.5%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Greenock Morton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Greenock Morton's performance.

Arbroath has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arbroath might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greenock Morton than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Greenock Morton that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arbroath than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arbroath could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Greenock Morton - Arbroath Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↓ (3.13)	3 ↓ (3.26)	2.88 ↑ (2.25)	6.5% (7.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Greenock Morton - Arbroath?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Greenock will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Arbroath will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Greenock won 3.
Greenock is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Arbroath's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Arbroath may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Greenock won 5 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:23. (average 1:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Greenock won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Greenock Morton won against Arbroath?

Greenock Morton has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Arbroath won against Greenock Morton?

Arbroath has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Greenock Morton - Arbroath were as follows:

23.01.2026 Arbroath - Greenock Morton 1:1

08.11.2025 Greenock Morton - Arbroath 1:0

20.09.2025 Arbroath - Greenock Morton 1:1

20.04.2024 Arbroath - Greenock Morton 1:2

27.01.2024 Greenock Morton - Arbroath 3:0

Latest results of Greenock Morton

21.03.2026 Ayr United - Greenock Morton 0:1 ✺

13.03.2026 Greenock Morton - Partick Thistle 1:2 ✺

07.03.2026 Greenock Morton - St. Johnstone 0:2 ✺

28.02.2026 Airdrieonians - Greenock Morton 3:1 ✺

21.02.2026 Queens Park - Greenock Morton 3:2 ✺

Latest results of Arbroath

21.03.2026 Arbroath - Queens Park 1:0 ✺

14.03.2026 Airdrieonians - Arbroath 0:0 ✺

07.03.2026 Arbroath - Ross County 0:0 ✺

03.03.2026 Arbroath - Ayr United 1:1 ✺

28.02.2026 Partick Thistle - Arbroath 0:0 ✺

Scottish Football Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	St Johnstone	33	19	11	3	62:25	37	68
2	Partick Thistle	33	17	12	4	50:33	17	63
3	Arbroath	33	12	11	10	41:40	1	47
4	Dunfermline	32	13	7	12	48:37	11	46
5	Raith	32	10	9	13	37:36	1	39
6	Ayr	33	8	15	10	36:42	-6	39
7	Queen's Park	32	9	12	11	34:43	-9	39
8	Morton	33	8	12	13	35:47	-12	36
9	Airdrieonians	32	7	9	16	28:43	-15	30
10	Ross County	33	6	10	17	28:53	-25	28

      Promotion ~ Premiership
      Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Semi~finals)
      Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Quarter~finals)
      Championship (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ League One