Arbroath vs Greenock Morton – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
23/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 23
  • Referee: Lee R. (Sco)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
scotlandScotlandBBC Scotland
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomArbroath FC TV, BBC iPlayer app, BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport, Grenock Morton

Match Stats

Ball possession
53%47%
Total shots
94
Shots on target
32
Corner kicks
96
Yellow cards
10
Total shots
94
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
62
Corner kicks
96

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 58', 1 - 0, Muirhead A. ,
  • 67', Lyall A. , Moffat O. ,
  • 74', 1 - 1, Garrity M. , Moffat O. (A),
  • 76', Muirhead A. 🟨,
  • 82', Marshall F. , MacIntyre J. ,
  • 84', Garrity M. , Shaw N. ,
  • 89', Reilly G. , Robinson S. ,
  • 89', Dow R. , Todorov N. ,
  • 90', Brophy E. , MacPherson C. ,

Chances of winning


Arbroath
49.7%
Draw
27.3%
Greenock Morton
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.5% 28.5% 27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6% 27.8% 26.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arbroath has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arbroath's performance.
  • Greenock Morton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arbroath than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greenock Morton than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • Arbroath - Greenock Morton Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.87
    (2.05)
    3.4
    (3.2)
    4.06
    (3.37)
    7.5%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Arbroath - Greenock Morton?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Arbroath (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Arbroath (1.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Arbroath (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arbroath won 0.
    • Arbroath has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Greenock is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Arbroath may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Arbroath is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Arbroath won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:20. (average 1.1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Arbroath won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arbroath - Greenock Morton were as follows:
    08.11.2025 Greenock Morton - Arbroath 1:0
    20.09.2025 Arbroath - Greenock Morton 1:1
    20.04.2024 Arbroath - Greenock Morton 1:2
    27.01.2024 Greenock Morton - Arbroath 3:0
    09.12.2023 Arbroath - Greenock Morton 1:2
    Latest results of Arbroath
    17.01.2026 Airdrieonians - Arbroath 4:3
    13.01.2026 Arbroath - East Fife 3:0
    10.01.2026 Raith Rovers - Arbroath 2:3
    03.01.2026 St. Johnstone - Arbroath 1:0
    27.12.2025 Arbroath - Airdrieonians 1:1
    Latest results of Greenock Morton
    Scottish Football Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1St Johnstone27159350:222854
    2Partick Thistle271310440:301049
    3Arbroath26118736:32441
    4Dunfermline26961134:32233
    5Ayr25712631:30133
    6Raith27791128:28030
    7Morton27612928:36-830
    8Queen's Park266101028:39-1128
    9Airdrieonians27681323:35-1226
    10Ross County26681225:39-1426

          Promotion ~ Premiership
          Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Quarter~finals)
          Championship (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ League One