Greenock Morton vs Ayr United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

08/03/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Cappielow Park (Greenock).

SCOTLAND: Championship - Round 28

Match Stats


Ball Possession
43%	57%
Goal Attempts
9	13
Shots on Goal
4	3
Shots off Goal
5	10
Corner Kicks
5	6
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
Yellow Cards
2	2
Red Cards
1	0

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Main C. ⚽, Rus M. (A),
45', McAllister N. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', 1 - 1, Blues C. ⚽, Ballantyne C. (A),
60', Rus M. ↓, McKenzie M. ↑,
68', Blues C. ↓, Davies J. ↑,
69', Shaw N. ↓, Gillespie G. ↑,
69', Henderson J. ↓, Hastie J. ↑,
72', Moffat O. ↓, Garrity M. ↑,
77', 2 - 1, Davies J. ⚽, Crawford A. (A),
80', McAllister N. ↓, Walker E. ↑,
80', Crawford A. ↓, Keay C. ↑,
84', Corr D. 🟥,
87', Oakley G. 🟨,
88', Baird J. 🟨,
88', Lyall A. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Greenock Morton
23.3%

Draw
29.3%

Ayr United
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

28.1%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

27.9%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Greenock Morton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Ayr United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greenock Morton than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ayr United than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Greenock Morton - Ayr United Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.01 ↑ (3.42)	3.18 ↓ (3.24)	1.98 ↓ (2.02)	6.9% (9.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Greenock Morton - Ayr United?

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Greenock will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Ayr will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

Last 5 head-to-head matches Greenock won 0.
Greenock is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Ayr is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Ayr could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Ayr is a favorite.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Greenock won 6 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 24:22 (average 1.2:1.1).
Including matches at home between the teams Greenock won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17:15 (average 1.7:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Greenock Morton won against Ayr United?

Greenock Morton has won 4 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Ayr United won against Greenock Morton?

Ayr United has won 4 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Greenock Morton - Ayr United were as follows:

28.12.2024 Ayr United - Greenock Morton 0:0

30.11.2024 Ayr United - Greenock Morton 2:0

08.11.2024 Greenock Morton - Ayr United 1:1

28.09.2024 Ayr United - Greenock Morton 1:0

09.04.2024 Ayr United - Greenock Morton 1:1

Latest results of Greenock Morton

01.03.2025 Dunfermline Athletic - Greenock Morton 2:1 ✺

25.02.2025 Livingston - Greenock Morton 3:2 ✺

21.02.2025 Greenock Morton - Falkirk 0:2 ✺

18.02.2025 Greenock Morton - Hamilton Academical 2:0 ✺

15.02.2025 Greenock Morton - Airdrieonians 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Ayr United

04.03.2025 Queens Park - Ayr United 2:3 ✺

01.03.2025 Ayr United - Airdrieonians 4:1 ✺

22.02.2025 Ayr United - Livingston 1:2 ✺

15.02.2025 Falkirk - Ayr United 2:2 ✺

07.02.2025 Ayr United - Hibernian 0:1 ✺

Draw

Promotion

Quarter-finals

1	Ross County	Bye
3	Livingston	Bye
4	Ayr	Partick Thistle	0 : 2, 1 : 0

Semi-finals

1	Ross County	Bye
2	Livingston	Partick Thistle	2 : 0, 2 : 0

Final

1

Ross County

Livingston

2 : 4, 1 : 1