Greenock Morton vs Ayr United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

27/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Cappielow Park (Greenock).

Championship - Round 20
Referee: Hardie R. (Sco)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Ayr United Media, Grenock Morton

Match Stats


Ball Possession
46%	54%
Total shots
10	11
Shots on target
4	3
Corner Kicks
5	6
Yellow Cards
2	1
Total shots
10	11
Shots on target
4	3
Shots off target
6	8
Corner Kicks
5	6

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Dowds A. ⚽,
29', Holt K. 🟨,
33', Wilson I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 1 - 1, Lyall A. ⚽, Brophy E. (A),
50', Comrie A. 🟨,
67', Blues C. ↓, Moffat O. ↑,
67', O'Halloran M. ↓, Shaw N. ↑,
78', Murphy J. ↓, Main C. ↑,
85', Brophy E. ↓, Adeloye T. ↑,

Chances of winning

Greenock Morton
31.9%

Draw
30%

Ayr United
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

29.5%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

28.5%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Greenock Morton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Ayr United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greenock Morton than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayr United than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ayr United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Greenock Morton - Ayr United Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↓ (3.24)	3.06 ↓ (3.17)	2.43 ↑ (2.24)	8.3% (7.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Greenock Morton - Ayr United?

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Greenock will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Greenock (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Greenock won 1.
Greenock has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Ayr is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Greenock may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Ayr has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Greenock won 6 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:22. (average 1.3:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Greenock won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 1.8:1.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Greenock Morton won against Ayr United?

Greenock Morton has won 5 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Ayr United won against Greenock Morton?

Ayr United has won 5 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Greenock Morton - Ayr United were as follows:

18.10.2025 Ayr United - Greenock Morton 2:1

23.08.2025 Greenock Morton - Ayr United 2:2

08.03.2025 Greenock Morton - Ayr United 2:1

28.12.2024 Ayr United - Greenock Morton 0:0

30.11.2024 Ayr United - Greenock Morton 2:0

Latest results of Greenock Morton

20.12.2025 St. Johnstone - Greenock Morton 5:0 ✺

13.12.2025 Greenock Morton - Airdrieonians 0:1 ✺

09.12.2025 Stirling Albion - Greenock Morton 3:2 ✺

05.12.2025 Greenock Morton - Queens Park 2:1 ✺

29.11.2025 Peterhead - Greenock Morton 2:3 ✺

Latest results of Ayr United

20.12.2025 Dunfermline Athletic - Ayr United 2:3 ✺

12.12.2025 Ayr United - St. Johnstone 2:4 ✺

09.12.2025 Ayr United - Peterhead 2:1 ✺

06.12.2025 Ayr United - Partick Thistle 0:0 ✺

29.11.2025 Ayr United - Turriff United 3:0 ✺

Scottish Football Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	St Johnstone	27	15	9	3	50:22	28	54
2	Partick Thistle	27	13	10	4	40:30	10	49
3	Arbroath	26	11	8	7	36:32	4	41
4	Dunfermline	26	9	6	11	34:32	2	33
5	Ayr	25	7	12	6	31:30	1	33
6	Raith	27	7	9	11	28:28	0	30
7	Morton	27	6	12	9	28:36	-8	30
8	Queen's Park	26	6	10	10	28:39	-11	28
9	Airdrieonians	27	6	8	13	23:35	-12	26
10	Ross County	26	6	8	12	25:39	-14	26

      Promotion ~ Premiership
      Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Semi~finals)
      Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Quarter~finals)
      Championship (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ League One