Ayr United vs Greenock Morton – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

18/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Somerset Park (Ayr).

Championship - Round 11
Referee: Snedden I. (Sco)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Ayr United Media

Match Stats


Ball Possession
59%	41%
Total shots
6	6
Shots on target
4	2
Corner Kicks
7	2
Yellow Cards
3	3
Total shots
6	6
Shots on target
4	2
Shots off target
2	4
Corner Kicks
7	2

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Murphy J. 🟨,
18', Wilson I. 🟨,
40', Bannigan S. 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Rus M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', Comrie A. 🟨,
58', Bannigan S. ↓, Ure K. ↑,
58', Murphy J. ↓, Bonnar J. ↑,
58', Comrie A. ↓, Ballantyne C. ↑,
58', Wilson I. ↓, Taylor K. ↑,
58', Moffat O. ↓, Shaw N. ↑,
58', Blues C. ↓, Garrity M. ↑,
61', Rus M. 🟨,
70', Walker E. ↓, Dowds A. ↑,
70', Watret D. ↓, McAllister N. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Ballantyne C. ⚽,
80', MacPherson C. 🟨,
82', Rus M. ↓, Main C. ↑,
87', 2 - 1, Dempsey B. ⚽, Bonnar J. (A),
88', Brophy E. ↓, Lyall A. ↑,

Chances of winning

Ayr United
52%

Draw
27.4%

Greenock Morton
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

26.9%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

25.7%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ayr United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Greenock Morton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayr United than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greenock Morton than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Ayr United - Greenock Morton Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.81)	3.39 ↓ (3.42)	4.61 ↑ (4.18)	6.6% (8.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

Preview Facts

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Quarter~finals) and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ayr won 1.
Ayr is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Greenock has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Ayr is seen as the favorite.
We predict that Ayr will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ayr won 5 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:24. (average 1.1:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Ayr won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 0.7:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Ayr United won against Greenock Morton?

Ayr United has won 4 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Greenock Morton won against Ayr United?

Greenock Morton has won 5 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Ayr United - Greenock Morton were as follows:

23.08.2025 Greenock Morton - Ayr United 2:2

08.03.2025 Greenock Morton - Ayr United 2:1

28.12.2024 Ayr United - Greenock Morton 0:0

30.11.2024 Ayr United - Greenock Morton 2:0

08.11.2024 Greenock Morton - Ayr United 1:1

Latest results of Ayr United

11.10.2025 Raith Rovers - Ayr United 0:2 ✺

04.10.2025 St. Johnstone - Ayr United 0:0 ✺

27.09.2025 Ayr United - Airdrieonians 4:2 ✺

23.09.2025 Dunfermline Athletic - Ayr United 0:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Ayr United - Ross County 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Greenock Morton

11.10.2025 Greenock Morton - Partick Thistle 1:1 ✺

04.10.2025 Airdrieonians - Greenock Morton 1:2 ✺

27.09.2025 Greenock Morton - Ross County 1:1 ✺

20.09.2025 Arbroath - Greenock Morton 1:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Queens Park - Greenock Morton 0:0 ✺

Scottish Football Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	St Johnstone	11	7	3	1	19:8	11	24
2	Partick Thistle	11	7	3	1	18:13	5	24
3	Arbroath	11	5	3	3	16:18	-2	18
4	Ayr	11	4	5	2	15:11	4	17
5	Dunfermline	11	4	3	4	16:9	7	15
6	Raith	11	4	2	5	10:12	-2	14
7	Morton	11	1	8	2	10:11	-1	11
8	Queen's Park	11	1	6	4	8:14	-6	9
9	Ross County	11	1	5	5	11:15	-4	8
10	Airdrieonians	11	0	4	7	8:20	-12	4

      Promotion ~ Premiership
      Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Semi~finals)
      Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Quarter~finals)
      Championship (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ League One