Greenock Morton vs Ayr United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Scottish Football Championship Greenock Morton - Ayr United
Result
2:2
23/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 3
  • Referee: Robertson D. (Sco)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAyr United Media, Grenock Morton

Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
710
Shots on target
54
Corner Kicks
07
Yellow Cards
31
Total shots
710
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
26
Corner Kicks
07
Goalkeeper Saves
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 23', 1 - 0, Brophy E. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 50', McAllister N. 🟨,
  • 52', Longridge J. 🟨,
  • 55', 1 - 1, Holt K. , Main C. (A),
  • 57', Robertson K. , Garrity M. ,
  • 57', Moffat O. , Wilson I. ,
  • 57', Delaney Z. , Corr D. ,
  • 59', 1 - 2, McAllister N. , Walker E. (A),
  • 65', Brophy E. 🟨,
  • 65', Rus M. , Watret D. ,
  • 73', O'Halloran M. , McKay Z. ,
  • 75', Walker E. , Hastie J. ,
  • 77', Moore K. 🟨,
  • 87', 2 - 2, Brophy E. , Shaw N. (A),

Chances of winning


Greenock Morton
28.6%
Draw
29.6%
Ayr United
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26% 28.4% 45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26% 28.4% 45.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Greenock Morton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • Ayr United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greenock Morton than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayr United than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • Greenock Morton - Ayr United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.24
    (3.53)
    3.14
    (3.23)
    2.21
    (2.01)
    7.9%
    (9.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Greenock won 1.
    • Greenock has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Ayr has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Ayr will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Greenock won 6 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:21. (average 1.2:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Greenock won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.6:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Greenock Morton - Ayr United were as follows:
    08.03.2025 Greenock Morton - Ayr United 2:1
    28.12.2024 Ayr United - Greenock Morton 0:0
    30.11.2024 Ayr United - Greenock Morton 2:0
    08.11.2024 Greenock Morton - Ayr United 1:1
    28.09.2024 Ayr United - Greenock Morton 1:0
    Latest results of Greenock Morton
    Latest results of Ayr United
    09.08.2025 Ayr United - Raith Rovers 0:1
    01.08.2025 Arbroath - Ayr United 1:1
    27.07.2025 St. Mirren - Ayr United 2:1
    Scottish Football Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1St Johnstone431010:2810
    2Raith42116:427
    3Arbroath42115:507
    4Partick Thistle42118:9-17
    5Dunfermline41214:405
    6Morton40404:404
    7Ayr40314:5-13
    8Queen's Park40314:6-23
    9Ross County40225:8-32
    10Airdrieonians40223:6-32

          Promotion ~ Premiership
          Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Quarter~finals)
          Championship (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ League One