Greenock Morton vs Ayr United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
27/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 20
  • Referee: Hardie R. (Sco)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAyr United Media, Grenock Morton

Match Stats

Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
43
Corner Kicks
56
Yellow Cards
21
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
68
Corner Kicks
56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 25', 0 - 1, Dowds A. ,
  • 29', Holt K. 🟨,
  • 33', Wilson I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 47', 1 - 1, Lyall A. , Brophy E. (A),
  • 50', Comrie A. 🟨,
  • 67', Blues C. , Moffat O. ,
  • 67', O'Halloran M. , Shaw N. ,
  • 78', Murphy J. , Main C. ,
  • 85', Brophy E. , Adeloye T. ,

Chances of winning


Greenock Morton
31.9%
Draw
30%
Ayr United
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.8% 29.5% 41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8% 28.5% 43.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Greenock Morton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • Ayr United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greenock Morton than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayr United than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ayr United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Greenock Morton - Ayr United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.91
    (3.24)
    3.06
    (3.17)
    2.43
    (2.24)
    8.3%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Greenock Morton - Ayr United?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Greenock will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Greenock (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Greenock won 1.
    • Greenock has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Ayr is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Greenock may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Ayr has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Greenock won 6 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:22. (average 1.3:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Greenock won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 1.8:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Greenock Morton - Ayr United were as follows:
    18.10.2025 Ayr United - Greenock Morton 2:1
    23.08.2025 Greenock Morton - Ayr United 2:2
    08.03.2025 Greenock Morton - Ayr United 2:1
    28.12.2024 Ayr United - Greenock Morton 0:0
    30.11.2024 Ayr United - Greenock Morton 2:0
    Latest results of Greenock Morton
    Latest results of Ayr United
    Scottish Football Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1St Johnstone27159350:222854
    2Partick Thistle271310440:301049
    3Arbroath27119737:33442
    4Dunfermline271061137:32536
    5Ayr26713632:31134
    6Raith27791128:28030
    7Morton27612928:36-830
    8Queen's Park266101028:39-1128
    9Airdrieonians27681323:35-1226
    10Ross County27681325:42-1726

          Promotion ~ Premiership
          Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Quarter~finals)
          Championship (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ League One