Ayr United vs Greenock Morton – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Somerset Park (Ayr).

Championship - Round 30
Referee: Murdoch S. (Sco)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Ayr United Media

Match Stats


Ball possession
50%	50%
Total shots
9	4
Shots on target
3	4
Corner kicks
9	3
Yellow cards
4	3
Total shots
9	4
Shots on target
3	4
Shots off target
6	0
Corner kicks
9	3

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Comrie A. ⚽, Shaw N. (A),
17', McMann S. 🟨,
30', Garrity M. ↓, Longridge J. ↑,
33', Holt K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Longridge J. 🟨,
50', King L. ↓, McAllister N. ↑,
58', Finney G. 🟨,
60', Turley F. ↓, Summers B. ↑,
70', MacPherson C. 🟨,
71', Shaw N. ↓, Blues C. ↑,
73', McKenzie M. ↓, Bannigan S. ↑,
73', Finney G. ↓, Dick L. ↑,
79', Dempsey B. 🟨,
82', MacPherson C. ↓, Lyall A. ↑,
90+3', Gillespie G. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Ayr United
50.7%

Draw
26.5%

Greenock Morton
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

27.1%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

26.2%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ayr United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Greenock Morton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayr United than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greenock Morton than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Ayr United - Greenock Morton Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.79)	3.52 ↑ (3.4)	4.09 ↓ (4.29)	7.3% (8.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Ayr United - Greenock Morton?

Users Predictions: Ayr United will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ayr won 1.
The current form of both teams is below expectations.
Ayr may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Ayr is seen as the favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ayr won 5 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:26. (average 1.2:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Ayr won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 0.9:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Ayr United won against Greenock Morton?

Ayr United has won 5 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Greenock Morton won against Ayr United?

Greenock Morton has won 5 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Ayr United - Greenock Morton were as follows:

27.12.2025 Greenock Morton - Ayr United 1:1

18.10.2025 Ayr United - Greenock Morton 2:1

23.08.2025 Greenock Morton - Ayr United 2:2

08.03.2025 Greenock Morton - Ayr United 2:1

28.12.2024 Ayr United - Greenock Morton 0:0

Latest results of Ayr United

14.03.2026 Queens Park - Ayr United 1:1 ✺

10.03.2026 Ayr United - Queens Park 1:2 ✺

03.03.2026 Arbroath - Ayr United 1:1 ✺

28.02.2026 St. Johnstone - Ayr United 3:1 ✺

24.02.2026 Ayr United - Inverness 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Greenock Morton

13.03.2026 Greenock Morton - Partick Thistle 1:2 ✺

07.03.2026 Greenock Morton - St. Johnstone 0:2 ✺

28.02.2026 Airdrieonians - Greenock Morton 3:1 ✺

21.02.2026 Queens Park - Greenock Morton 3:2 ✺

17.02.2026 Greenock Morton - Dunfermline Athletic 2:0 ✺

Scottish Football Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	St Johnstone	33	19	11	3	62:25	37	68
2	Partick Thistle	33	17	12	4	50:33	17	63
3	Arbroath	33	12	11	10	41:40	1	47
4	Dunfermline	32	13	7	12	48:37	11	46
5	Raith	32	10	9	13	37:36	1	39
6	Ayr	33	8	15	10	36:42	-6	39
7	Queen's Park	32	9	12	11	34:43	-9	39
8	Morton	33	8	12	13	35:47	-12	36
9	Airdrieonians	32	7	9	16	28:43	-15	30
10	Ross County	33	6	10	17	28:53	-25	28

      Promotion ~ Premiership
      Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Semi~finals)
      Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Quarter~finals)
      Championship (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ League One