Stenhousemuir vs Greenock Morton – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:0
17/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Scottish Cup - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Yellow cards
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 27', Blues C. 🟨,
  • 34', Bilham K. 🟨,
  • 38', Grant L. , Anderson M. ,
  • 39', 1 - 0, Jamieson N. ,
  • 43', Buchanan G. 🟨,
  • 45', 2 - 0, Aitken M. , Bilham K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Moffat O. , Garrity M. ,
  • 46', Taylor R. , O'Reilly E. ,
  • 61', Moore K. , Wilson I. ,
  • 64', Wilson I. 🟨,
  • 65', 3 - 0, Buchanan G. , Jamieson N. (A),
  • 71', Gillespie G. , Crawford A. ,
  • 71', Lyall A. , Shaw N. ,
  • 71', Comrie A. , Delaney Z. ,
  • 80', 4 - 0, Aitken M. ,
  • 82', Aitken M. , Carrick D. ,
  • 82', Meechan R. , Ewen K. ,
  • 85', Bilham K. , Simpson O. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Stenhousemuir
35.5%
Draw
28.2%
Greenock Morton
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.7% 28.6% 39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2% 27.3% 37.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stenhousemuir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Greenock Morton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stenhousemuir than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greenock Morton than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Stenhousemuir - Greenock Morton Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.59
    (2.89)
    3.29
    (3.21)
    2.57
    (2.31)
    7.8%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stenhousemuir won 0.
    • Stenhousemuir has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Greenock is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Greenock may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • We predict that Stenhousemuir will win today's game, with odds of 2.53.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Stenhousemuir won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:18. (average 1:2.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Stenhousemuir won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1.3:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stenhousemuir - Greenock Morton were as follows:
    15.07.2025 Greenock Morton - Stenhousemuir 3:0
    Latest results of Stenhousemuir
    Latest results of Greenock Morton
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/128-finals
    1RangersBye
    5ClydeBye
    6ByeAnnan
    7LossiemouthFormartine Utd1 : 2
    8HuntlyBuckie Thistle1 : 3
    9StranraerBye
    10GlenaftonInvergordon3 : 2
    11Jeanfield SwiftsClydebank FC0 : 4
    12Newtongrange StarEast Stirlingshire1 : 3
    13Bo'ness AthleticKeith2 : 1
    14Linlithgow RoseGala Fairydean2 : 1
    16ByeQueen's Park
    17DumbartonBye
    18ColdstreamTayport2 : 3
    19Auchinleck TalbotCumnock Juniors2 : 1
    20Carluke RoversGretna 20080 : 4
    24ByeCeltic
    25KilmarnockBye
    32ByeDundee FC
    33AirdrieoniansBye
    36ByeHamilton
    37East FifeBye
    40ByeArbroath
    41LivingstonBye
    48ByeSt. Mirren
    49Camelon JuniorsAlbion Rovers2 : 1
    50Johnstone BurghThreave Rovers4 : 0
    51Edinburgh CityBye
    52Stirling UniversityBurntisland Shipyard6 : 2
    53Elgin CityBye
    54DarvelDeveronvale1 : 3
    55Forres MechanicsCaledonian Braves0 : 2
    56ByeStirling
    57MusselburghBonnyton Thistle2 : 0
    58ByeForfar Athletic
    60ByePartick Thistle
    61Wick AcademyRothes5 : 0
    62CowdenbeathBenburb1 : 2
    64ByeMontrose
    65DunfermlineBye
    68ByeQueen of South
    72ByeHibernian
    73Kelty HeartsBye
    75Lochee UnitedBrechin1 : 3
    76Civil Service StrollersDundonald Bluebell2 : 3
    77St JohnstoneBye
    80ByeCove Rangers
    81AberdeenBye
    85RaithBye
    88ByeAlloa
    89MotherwellBye
    93Bo'ness UnitedBanks O' Dee0 : 3
    94Brora RangersFraserburgh0 : 1
    96ByeRoss County
    97StenhousemuirBye
    99ClachnacuddinKilwinning Rangers2 : 1
    100InverurieSauchie0 : 2
    101PeterheadBye
    104ByeMorton
    105HeartsBye
    112ByeFalkirk
    113AyrBye
    115BerwickNairn County0 : 2
    116Turriff UtdHill Of Beath2 : 1
    120ByeDundee Utd
    121Cumbernauld ColtsGlasgow University4 : 0
    122Bonnyrigg RoseBroxburn Athletic2 : 1
    123SpartansBye
    124ByeEast Kilbride
    125TranentPollok3 : 0
    126Strathspey ThistleDundee North End1 : 2
    128ByeInverness

    1/64-finals
    1RangersBye
    3ClydeAnnan2 : 3
    4Formartine UtdBuckie Thistle0 : 2
    5StranraerGlenafton4 : 0
    6Clydebank FCEast Stirlingshire3 : 1
    7Bo'ness AthleticLinlithgow Rose0 : 2
    8ByeQueen's Park
    9DumbartonTayport2 : 0
    10Auchinleck TalbotGretna 20083 : 1
    12ByeCeltic
    13KilmarnockBye
    16ByeDundee FC
    17AirdrieoniansBye
    18ByeHamilton
    19East FifeBye
    20ByeArbroath
    21LivingstonBye
    24ByeSt. Mirren
    25Camelon JuniorsJohnstone Burgh1 : 0
    26Edinburgh CityStirling University1 : 0
    27Elgin CityDeveronvale2 : 1
    28Caledonian BravesStirling3 : 4
    29MusselburghForfar Athletic1 : 2
    30ByePartick Thistle
    31Wick AcademyBenburb1 : 2
    32ByeMontrose
    33DunfermlineBye
    34ByeQueen of South
    36ByeHibernian
    37Kelty HeartsBye
    38BrechinDundonald Bluebell3 : 1
    39St JohnstoneBye
    40ByeCove Rangers
    41AberdeenBye
    43RaithBye
    44ByeAlloa
    45MotherwellBye
    47Banks O' DeeFraserburgh4 : 0
    48ByeRoss County
    49StenhousemuirBye
    50ClachnacuddinSauchie2 : 0
    51PeterheadBye
    52ByeMorton
    53HeartsBye
    56ByeFalkirk
    57AyrBye
    58Nairn CountyTurriff Utd1 : 2
    60ByeDundee Utd
    61Cumbernauld ColtsBonnyrigg Rose0 : 2
    62SpartansEast Kilbride2 : 1
    63TranentDundee North End3 : 0
    64ByeInverness

    1/32-finals
    1RangersBye
    2AnnanBuckie Thistle4 : 0
    3StranraerClydebank FC2 : 1
    4Linlithgow RoseQueen's Park1 : 3
    5DumbartonAuchinleck Talbot0 : 4
    6ByeCeltic
    7KilmarnockBye
    8ByeDundee FC
    9AirdrieoniansHamilton4 : 0
    10East FifeArbroath0 : 2
    11LivingstonBye
    12ByeSt. Mirren
    13Camelon JuniorsEdinburgh City2 : 1
    14Elgin CityStirling4 : 2
    15Forfar AthleticPartick Thistle0 : 2
    16BenburbMontrose0 : 3
    17DunfermlineQueen of South2 : 1
    18ByeHibernian
    19Kelty HeartsBrechin2 : 0
    20St JohnstoneCove Rangers1 : 2
    21AberdeenBye
    22RaithAlloa1 : 0
    23MotherwellBye
    24Banks O' DeeRoss County0 : 2
    25StenhousemuirClachnacuddin4 : 1
    26PeterheadMorton2 : 3
    27HeartsBye
    28ByeFalkirk
    29AyrTurriff Utd3 : 0
    30ByeDundee Utd
    31Bonnyrigg RoseSpartans1 : 2
    32TranentInverness1 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1RangersAnnan5 : 0
    2StranraerQueen's Park2 : 1
    3Auchinleck TalbotCeltic0 : 2
    4KilmarnockDundee FC1 : 2
    5AirdrieoniansArbroath4 : 3
    6LivingstonSt. Mirren1 : 2
    7Camelon JuniorsElgin City1 : 3
    8Partick ThistleMontrose3 : 1
    9DunfermlineHibernian1 : 0
    10Kelty HeartsCove Rangers2 : 1
    11AberdeenRaith1 : 0
    12MotherwellRoss County1 : 0
    13StenhousemuirMorton4 : 0
    14HeartsFalkirk1 : 2
    15AyrDundee Utd0 : 2
    16SpartansInverness1 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1RangersQueen's Park8 : 0
    2CelticDundee FC2 : 1
    3AirdrieoniansSt. Mirren1 : 2
    4Elgin CityPartick Thistle2 : 3
    5DunfermlineKelty Hearts2 : 0
    6AberdeenMotherwell2 : 0
    7StenhousemuirFalkirk0 : 2
    8Dundee UtdSpartans2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1RangersCeltic0 : 1
    2St. MirrenPartick Thistle2 : 1
    3DunfermlineAberdeen3 : 0
    4FalkirkDundee Utd2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1CelticSt. Mirren
    2DunfermlineFalkirk