Result
2:0
25/01/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Paulista - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | HBO Max |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.26 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (241/311) | 84% (466/557) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (241/311) | 84% (466/557) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (31/62) | 53% (30/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (52/83) | 59% (65/110) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 12% (2/17) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.16 | 0.29 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 34 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 87% (13/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.12 | 0.89 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.12 | -1.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 25', 1 - 0, Romulo (Penalty Awarded),
- 45+2', Leo Naldi 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Matheus Sales ↓, Marquinho ↑,
- 46', Leo Gamalho ↓, Guilherme Queiroz ↑,
- 58', Helio Borges ↓, Vinicius Paiva ↑,
- 59', Mayk ↓, Juninho ↑,
- 63', Marcio Maranhao ↓, Kelvin ↑,
- 71', Ericson 🟨,
- 73', Romulo ↓, Diego Galo ↑,
- 73', Dantas ↓, Gabriel Bahia ↑,
- 83', Maciel L. ↓, Thalles ↑,
- 85', 2 - 0, Robson ⚽, Juninho (A),
- 89', Kelvin 🟨,
- 90', Jefferson Nem ↓, Henrique Teles ↑,
- 90', Mayk ↓, Patrick ↑,
Chances of winning
Grêmio Novorizontino
57.2% | Draw
26.1% | Botafogo SP
16.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grêmio Novorizontino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Botafogo SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
Grêmio Novorizontino - Botafogo SP Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↑
(1.62) |
3.54 ↓
(3.55) |
5.54 ↑
(5.25) |
8.1%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Novorizontino won 3.
- Botafogo SP may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Novorizontino is the team to beat.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Novorizontino won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:18. (average 1.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Novorizontino won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio Novorizontino won against Botafogo SP?
Grêmio Novorizontino has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo SP won against Grêmio Novorizontino?
Botafogo SP has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio Novorizontino - Botafogo SP were as follows:
24.10.2025
Grêmio Novorizontino
-
Botafogo SP
1:1
06.07.2025
Botafogo SP
-
Grêmio Novorizontino
0:0
23.02.2025
Botafogo SP
-
Grêmio Novorizontino
1:2
13.09.2024
Grêmio Novorizontino
-
Botafogo SP
2:0
27.05.2024
Botafogo SP
-
Grêmio Novorizontino
0:1
Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino
Latest results of Botafogo SP
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Santos (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Portuguesa (4) | Corinthians (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Palmeiras (2) | Capivariano (7) | 4 : 0 |
| 4 | Bragantino (3) | Sao Paulo (6) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Corinthians (5) | |
| 2 | Palmeiras (2) | Sao Paulo (6) | |
Final
