Botafogo SP vs Grêmio Novorizontino – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Botafogo SP - Grêmio Novorizontino
Result
0:0
06/07/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 15
  • Referee: Bellote L. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.960.32
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
183
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
82
Passes
86% (375/438)81% (321/396)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.960.32
xG on target (xGOT)
1.690.18
Total shots
183
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
61
Blocked Shots
60
Shots inside the Box
122
Shots outside the Box
61
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
217
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
513
Passes
86% (375/438)81% (321/396)
Long passes
67% (35/52)44% (20/45)
Passes in final third
71% (73/103)56% (40/72)
Crosses
29% (6/21)19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.760.23
Throw-ins
2914
Fouls
135
Tackles
45% (5/11)72% (13/18)
Duels won
3652
Clearances
1429
Interceptions
49
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
26
xGOT faced
0.181.69
Goals prevented
0.181.69

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 5', Abdulai S. 🟨,
  • 11', Luis Oyama 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 50', Patrick 🟨,
  • 62', Leo Natel , Robson ,
  • 62', Bruno Jose , Airton ,
  • 62', Matheus Frizzo , Pablo Dyego ,
  • 63', Jefferson Nem , Robinho ,
  • 68', Alexandre Jesus , Carrillo R. ,
  • 69', Jonathan Cafu , Matheus Regis ,
  • 69', Abdulai S. , Marquinho ,
  • 75', Luis Oyama , Fabio Matheus ,
  • 77', Wallison , Dramisino A. ,
  • 82', Leo Tocantins , Willian Farias ,

Chances of winning


Botafogo SP
26.8%
Draw
34%
Grêmio Novorizontino
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.7% 31.6% 36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4% 31.3% 36.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Botafogo SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • Grêmio Novorizontino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • Botafogo SP - Grêmio Novorizontino Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.46
    (2.93)
    2.77
    (2.94)
    2.38
    (2.54)
    7.1%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Botafogo SP - Grêmio Novorizontino?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Novorizontino will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo SP won 2.
    • Botafogo SP has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Novorizontino is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Novorizontino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Novorizontino is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Botafogo SP won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 1.2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo SP won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.6:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Botafogo SP - Grêmio Novorizontino were as follows:
    23.02.2025 Botafogo SP - Grêmio Novorizontino 1:2
    13.09.2024 Grêmio Novorizontino - Botafogo SP 2:0
    27.05.2024 Botafogo SP - Grêmio Novorizontino 0:1
    21.10.2023 Botafogo SP - Grêmio Novorizontino 2:0
    27.06.2023 Grêmio Novorizontino - Botafogo SP 0:1
    Latest results of Botafogo SP
    30.06.2025 Cuiabá - Botafogo SP 0:1
    20.06.2025 Botafogo SP - Chapecoense 1:0
    13.06.2025 Paysandu - Botafogo SP 1:0
    05.06.2025 Botafogo SP - Coritiba 0:0
    29.05.2025 Ferroviária - Botafogo SP 1:1
    Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coritiba22126424:15942
    2Goias21125428:181041
    3Novorizontino2299425:19636
    4Chapecoense-SC21104728:20834
    5Remo2189423:19433
    6Criciuma2195727:20732
    7Avai2188529:21832
    8Cuiaba2194824:24031
    9Vila Nova FC2193920:20030
    10CRB2184923:21228
    11Atletico GO2169621:21027
    12Operario-PR2175923:22126
    13Athletico-PR2175927:31-426
    14Ferroviaria2168722:23-126
    15Athletic Club21731123:28-524
    16Volta Redonda2157914:23-922
    17America MG21631221:29-821
    18Botafogo SP21561014:30-1621
    19Paysandu PA2149819:23-421
    20Amazonas2148921:29-820

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )