Grêmio Novorizontino vs Botafogo SP – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/01/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi (Novo Horizonte).

Paulista - Round 5
Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	HBO Max

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.14	0.26
Ball possession
36%	64%
Total shots
10	8
Shots on target
2	2
Big chances
1	0
Corner kicks
3	3
Passes
77% (241/311)	84% (466/557)
Yellow cards
1	2
Expected goals (xG)
1.14	0.26
xG on target (xGOT)
0.89	0.12
Total shots
10	8
Shots on target
2	2
Shots off target
7	3
Blocked shots
1	3
Shots inside the box
4	4
Shots outside the box
6	4
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
1	0
Corner kicks
3	3
Touches in opposition box
8	12
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	0
Free kicks
8	12
Passes
77% (241/311)	84% (466/557)
Long passes
50% (31/62)	53% (30/57)
Passes in final third
63% (52/83)	59% (65/110)
Crosses
12% (2/17)	20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.16	0.29
Throw ins
25	34
Fouls
12	8
Tackles
70% (7/10)	87% (13/15)
Duels won
39	50
Clearances
19	20
Interceptions
14	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	0
xGOT faced
0.12	0.89
Goals prevented
0.12	-1.11

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Romulo (Penalty Awarded),
45+2', Leo Naldi 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Matheus Sales ↓, Marquinho ↑,
46', Leo Gamalho ↓, Guilherme Queiroz ↑,
58', Helio Borges ↓, Vinicius Paiva ↑,
59', Mayk ↓, Juninho ↑,
63', Marcio Maranhao ↓, Kelvin ↑,
71', Ericson 🟨,
73', Romulo ↓, Diego Galo ↑,
73', Dantas ↓, Gabriel Bahia ↑,
83', Maciel L. ↓, Thalles ↑,
85', 2 - 0, Robson ⚽, Juninho (A),
89', Kelvin 🟨,
90', Jefferson Nem ↓, Henrique Teles ↑,
90', Mayk ↓, Patrick ↑,

Chances of winning

Grêmio Novorizontino
57.2%

Draw
26.1%

Botafogo SP
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

25.8%

17.5%

Grêmio Novorizontino - Botafogo SP Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.62)	3.54 ↓ (3.55)	5.54 ↑ (5.25)	8.1% (9.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

Preview Facts

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Novorizontino won 3.
Botafogo SP may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Novorizontino is the team to beat.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Novorizontino won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:18. (average 1.1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Novorizontino won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio Novorizontino won against Botafogo SP?

Grêmio Novorizontino has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo SP won against Grêmio Novorizontino?

Botafogo SP has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio Novorizontino - Botafogo SP were as follows:

24.10.2025 Grêmio Novorizontino - Botafogo SP 1:1

06.07.2025 Botafogo SP - Grêmio Novorizontino 0:0

23.02.2025 Botafogo SP - Grêmio Novorizontino 1:2

13.09.2024 Grêmio Novorizontino - Botafogo SP 2:0

27.05.2024 Botafogo SP - Grêmio Novorizontino 0:1

Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino

20.01.2026 Grêmio Novorizontino - Palmeiras 4:0 ✺

17.01.2026 EC Primavera - Grêmio Novorizontino 3:4 ✺

13.01.2026 Grêmio Novorizontino - Guarani 2:0 ✺

10.01.2026 Santos - Grêmio Novorizontino 2:1 ✺

22.11.2025 Grêmio Novorizontino - CRB Maceio 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Botafogo SP

22.01.2026 Botafogo SP - EC Primavera 1:0 ✺

18.01.2026 Red Bull Bragantino - Botafogo SP 5:0 ✺

15.01.2026 Botafogo SP - EC Noroeste 1:1 ✺

11.01.2026 Velo Clube - Botafogo SP 0:0 ✺

23.11.2025 Botafogo SP - Avaí 0:0 ✺

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Novorizontino	6	4	1	1	14:6	8	13
2	Palmeiras	6	4	0	2	6:6	0	12
3	Bragantino	6	3	3	0	10:1	9	12
4	Guarani	6	3	2	1	5:4	1	11
5	Portuguesa	6	3	0	3	7:6	1	9
6	Mirassol	6	2	2	2	9:5	4	8
7	Corinthians	5	2	2	1	6:5	1	8
8	Sao Bernardo	6	2	2	2	7:7	0	8
9	Botafogo SP	6	2	2	2	3:8	-5	8
10	Primavera	6	2	1	3	10:10	0	7
11	Capivariano	5	2	1	2	5:7	-2	7
12	Sao Paulo	6	2	1	3	7:10	-3	7
13	Noroeste	6	1	4	1	7:6	1	7
14	Santos	6	1	3	2	4:6	-2	6
15	Velo Clube	6	1	1	4	1:6	-5	4
16	Ponte Preta	6	0	1	5	2:10	-8	1

Promotion ~ Paulista (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation ~ Paulista A2