Result
0:0
06/07/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 15
- Referee: Bellote L. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Brazil | Disney+, ESPN |
Match Stats
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.96 | 0.32 |
Ball Possession |
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53% | 47% |
Total shots |
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18 | 3 |
Shots on target |
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6 | 2 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
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8 | 2 |
Passes |
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86% (375/438) | 81% (321/396) |
Yellow Cards |
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1 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.96 | 0.32 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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1.69 | 0.18 |
Total shots |
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18 | 3 |
Shots on target |
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6 | 2 |
Shots off target |
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6 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
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6 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
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12 | 2 |
Shots outside the Box |
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6 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
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8 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
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21 | 7 |
Accurate through passes |
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1 | 0 |
Offsides |
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1 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
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5 | 13 |
Passes |
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86% (375/438) | 81% (321/396) |
Long passes |
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67% (35/52) | 44% (20/45) |
Passes in final third |
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71% (73/103) | 56% (40/72) |
Crosses |
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29% (6/21) | 19% (3/16) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.76 | 0.23 |
Throw-ins |
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29 | 14 |
Fouls |
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13 | 5 |
Tackles |
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45% (5/11) | 72% (13/18) |
Duels won |
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36 | 52 |
Clearances |
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14 | 29 |
Interceptions |
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4 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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2 | 6 |
xGOT faced |
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0.18 | 1.69 |
Goals prevented |
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0.18 | 1.69 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 5', Abdulai S. 🟨,
- 11', Luis Oyama 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 50', Patrick 🟨,
- 62', Leo Natel ↓, Robson ↑,
- 62', Bruno Jose ↓, Airton ↑,
- 62', Matheus Frizzo ↓, Pablo Dyego ↑,
- 63', Jefferson Nem ↓, Robinho ↑,
- 68', Alexandre Jesus ↓, Carrillo R. ↑,
- 69', Jonathan Cafu ↓, Matheus Regis ↑,
- 69', Abdulai S. ↓, Marquinho ↑,
- 75', Luis Oyama ↓, Fabio Matheus ↑,
- 77', Wallison ↓, Dramisino A. ↑,
- 82', Leo Tocantins ↓, Willian Farias ↑,
Chances of winning
Botafogo SP 26.8% | Draw 34% | Grêmio Novorizontino 39.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Botafogo SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)Grêmio Novorizontino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Botafogo SP - Grêmio Novorizontino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.46 ↑ (2.93) |
2.77 ↓ (2.94) |
2.38 ↓ (2.54) |
7.1% (7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Botafogo SP - Grêmio Novorizontino?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Novorizontino will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo SP won 2.
- Botafogo SP has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Novorizontino is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Novorizontino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Novorizontino is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Botafogo SP won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo SP won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.6:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo SP won against Grêmio Novorizontino?
Botafogo SP has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio Novorizontino won against Botafogo SP?
Grêmio Novorizontino has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Botafogo SP - Grêmio Novorizontino were as follows:
23.02.2025
Botafogo SP
-
Grêmio Novorizontino
1:2
13.09.2024
Grêmio Novorizontino
-
Botafogo SP
2:0
27.05.2024
Botafogo SP
-
Grêmio Novorizontino
0:1
21.10.2023
Botafogo SP
-
Grêmio Novorizontino
2:0
27.06.2023
Grêmio Novorizontino
-
Botafogo SP
0:1
Latest results of Botafogo SP
Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Coritiba | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 24:15 | 9 | 42 |
2 | Goias | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 28:18 | 10 | 41 |
3 | Novorizontino | 22 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 25:19 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Chapecoense-SC | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 28:20 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Remo | 21 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 23:19 | 4 | 33 |
6 | Criciuma | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 27:20 | 7 | 32 |
7 | Avai | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 29:21 | 8 | 32 |
8 | Cuiaba | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 24:24 | 0 | 31 |
9 | Vila Nova FC | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 20:20 | 0 | 30 |
10 | CRB | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 23:21 | 2 | 28 |
11 | Atletico GO | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 21:21 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Operario-PR | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 23:22 | 1 | 26 |
13 | Athletico-PR | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 27:31 | -4 | 26 |
14 | Ferroviaria | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 22:23 | -1 | 26 |
15 | Athletic Club | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 23:28 | -5 | 24 |
16 | Volta Redonda | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 14:23 | -9 | 22 |
17 | America MG | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 21:29 | -8 | 21 |
18 | Botafogo SP | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 14:30 | -16 | 21 |
19 | Paysandu PA | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 19:23 | -4 | 21 |
20 | Amazonas | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 21:29 | -8 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )