Result
0:0
06/07/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 15
- Referee: Bellote L. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+, ESPN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.32 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (375/438) | 81% (321/396) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 0.18 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (375/438) | 81% (321/396) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 67% (35/52) | 44% (20/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (73/103) | 56% (40/72) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (6/21) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.23 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 72% (13/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.18 | 1.69 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.18 | 1.69 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 5', Abdulai S. 🟨,
- 11', Luis Oyama 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 50', Patrick 🟨,
- 62', Leo Natel ↓, Robson ↑,
- 62', Bruno Jose ↓, Airton ↑,
- 62', Matheus Frizzo ↓, Pablo Dyego ↑,
- 63', Jefferson Nem ↓, Robinho ↑,
- 68', Alexandre Jesus ↓, Carrillo R. ↑,
- 69', Jonathan Cafu ↓, Matheus Regis ↑,
- 69', Abdulai S. ↓, Marquinho ↑,
- 75', Luis Oyama ↓, Fabio Matheus ↑,
- 77', Wallison ↓, Dramisino A. ↑,
- 82', Leo Tocantins ↓, Willian Farias ↑,
Chances of winning
Botafogo SP
26.8% | Draw
34% | Grêmio Novorizontino
39.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Botafogo SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)Grêmio Novorizontino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Botafogo SP - Grêmio Novorizontino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.46 ↑
(2.93) |
2.77 ↓
(2.94) |
2.38 ↓
(2.54) |
7.1%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Botafogo SP - Grêmio Novorizontino?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Novorizontino will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo SP won 2.
- Botafogo SP has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Novorizontino is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Novorizontino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Novorizontino is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Botafogo SP won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo SP won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.6:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo SP won against Grêmio Novorizontino?
Botafogo SP has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio Novorizontino won against Botafogo SP?
Grêmio Novorizontino has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Botafogo SP - Grêmio Novorizontino were as follows:
23.02.2025
Botafogo SP
-
Grêmio Novorizontino
1:2
13.09.2024
Grêmio Novorizontino
-
Botafogo SP
2:0
27.05.2024
Botafogo SP
-
Grêmio Novorizontino
0:1
21.10.2023
Botafogo SP
-
Grêmio Novorizontino
2:0
27.06.2023
Grêmio Novorizontino
-
Botafogo SP
0:1
Latest results of Botafogo SP
Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coritiba | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 34:21 | 13 | 56 |
| 2 | Novorizontino | 33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 36:27 | 9 | 54 |
| 3 | Criciuma | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 42:29 | 13 | 53 |
| 4 | Goias | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 36:29 | 7 | 52 |
| 5 | Chapecoense-SC | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 44:31 | 13 | 51 |
| 6 | Remo | 32 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 39:31 | 8 | 51 |
| 7 | Athletico-PR | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 45:42 | 3 | 49 |
| 8 | Cuiaba | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 38:35 | 3 | 49 |
| 9 | CRB | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 38:33 | 5 | 47 |
| 10 | Atletico GO | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 35:33 | 2 | 45 |
| 11 | Avai | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 40:34 | 6 | 44 |
| 12 | Vila Nova FC | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 32:33 | -1 | 43 |
| 13 | Operario-PR | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 32:36 | -4 | 39 |
| 14 | America MG | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 34:39 | -5 | 37 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 37:44 | -7 | 37 |
| 16 | Ferroviaria | 32 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 36:42 | -6 | 37 |
| 17 | Volta Redonda | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 22:34 | -12 | 34 |
| 18 | Botafogo SP | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 27:47 | -20 | 33 |
| 19 | Amazonas | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33:48 | -15 | 32 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 28:40 | -12 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
