Result
1:0
23/07/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 0.97 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (255/332) | 75% (272/365) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 0.97 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (255/332) | 75% (272/365) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (31/74) | 41% (31/75) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (40/77) | 59% (76/129) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 42% (5/12) | 21% (5/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 1.21 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 39 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 50% (5/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 42 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.55 | 1.15 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 19', Messias 🟨,
- 21', 1 - 0, Robson (Pen),
- 26', Bruno Jose 🟨,
- 37', Marlon 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Diego Caito ↓, Moraes ↑,
- 46', Marcao Silva ↓, Welliton ↑,
- 51', Robson 🟨,
- 68', Messias ↓, Martin Benitez ↑,
- 78', Mayk ↓, Leo Tocantins ↑,
- 78', Marlon ↓, Luis Oyama ↑,
- 78', Jaja ↓, Garcia E. ↑,
- 82', Airton ↓, Bruno Jose ↑,
- 84', Wellington Rato ↓, Barcelo F. ↑,
- 89', Robson ↓, Jean Irmer ↑,
- 89', Pablo Dyego ↓, Caio Dantas ↑,
- 90+2', Juninho 🟨,
- 90+6', Luis Oyama 🟨,
Chances of winning
Grêmio Novorizontino
42.4% | Draw
33.8% | Goiás
23.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grêmio Novorizontino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)Goiás has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grêmio Novorizontino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Grêmio Novorizontino - Goiás Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↑
(1.96) |
2.79 ↓
(3.05) |
3.91 ↓
(4) |
6.9%
(8.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Grêmio Novorizontino - Goiás?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Novorizontino will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 85.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).
- Novorizontino has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Goiás is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Novorizontino might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Novorizontino: Matheus Frizzo
(Yellow Cards)
Nathan Fogaca
(Inactive)
Renato Palm
(Inactive)
Vitinho
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Goiás: Lucas Ribeiro
(Inactive)
Pedrinho
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Novorizontino: Mayk
(Injury)
Robson
(Injury)
Waguininho
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Goiás: Arthur Caike
(Injury)
Rafael Gava
(Inactive)
Rodrigo Andrade
(Inactive)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Novorizontino won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Novorizontino won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio Novorizontino won against Goiás?
Grêmio Novorizontino has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Goiás won against Grêmio Novorizontino?
Goiás has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio Novorizontino - Goiás were as follows:
24.11.2024
Goiás
-
Grêmio Novorizontino
1:0
04.08.2024
Grêmio Novorizontino
-
Goiás
2:1
Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coritiba | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 22:14 | 8 | 38 |
| 2 | Goias | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 24:15 | 9 | 37 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 23:16 | 7 | 34 |
| 4 | Chapecoense-SC | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 25:18 | 7 | 30 |
| 5 | Remo | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 22:19 | 3 | 30 |
| 6 | Criciuma | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 23:17 | 6 | 29 |
| 7 | Cuiaba | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 22:22 | 0 | 28 |
| 8 | Avai | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:20 | 6 | 28 |
| 9 | Vila Nova FC | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19:20 | -1 | 27 |
| 10 | CRB | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 20:18 | 2 | 25 |
| 11 | Athletico-PR | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 24:26 | -2 | 25 |
| 12 | Athletic Club | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 22:26 | -4 | 23 |
| 13 | Operario-PR | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21:20 | 1 | 23 |
| 14 | Ferroviaria | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 20:22 | -2 | 23 |
| 15 | Atletico GO | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 23 |
| 16 | America MG | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 20:26 | -6 | 21 |
| 17 | Volta Redonda | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14:21 | -7 | 21 |
| 18 | Paysandu PA | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 18:21 | -3 | 20 |
| 19 | Amazonas | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 18:25 | -7 | 19 |
| 20 | Botafogo SP | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 12:27 | -15 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
