Grêmio vs Deportivo Riestra – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

14/04/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 2
  • Referee: Vargas Carreno G. A. (Bol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDSports 1
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
brazilBrazilParamount+
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalyComo TV
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
peruPeruDSports 1611
portugalPortugalSport TV1
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Latino, Tubi TV

Chances of winning


Grêmio
51.3%
Draw
32.8%
Deportivo Riestra
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.6% 21.9% 10.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8% 16.1% 14.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Grêmio's form might have worsened.
  • Deportivo Riestra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Riestra's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Riestra than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Grêmio - Deportivo Riestra Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.84
    (1.37)
    2.9
    (4.22)
    5.84
    (8.73)
    5.9%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Grêmio - Deportivo Riestra?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Grêmio will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Deportivo Riestra will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Grêmio: 23.1%88.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -1 - Grêmio (2.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Grêmio (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • Deportivo Riestra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Grêmio has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Grêmio is the undeniable favorite.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Grêmio
    11.04.2026 Internacional RS - Grêmio 0:0
    05.04.2026 Grêmio - Remo 0:0
    02.04.2026 Palmeiras - Grêmio 2:1
    22.03.2026 Vasco da Gama - Grêmio 2:1
    Latest results of Deportivo Riestra
    Copa Sudamericana Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tigre10101:101
    2America De Cali10101:101
    3Alianza Atl10101:101
    4Macara10101:101


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Puerto Cabello11002:113
    2Cienciano10101:101
    3Juventud10101:101
    4Atletico-MG10011:2-10


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1O'Higgins11002:023
    2Sao Paulo11001:013
    3Boston River10010:1-10
    4Millonarios10010:2-20


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Cuenca11001:013
    2San Lorenzo10101:101
    3Recoleta10101:101
    4Santos10010:1-10


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Club11003:123
    2Botafogo RJ10101:101
    3Caracas10101:101
    4Independiente10011:3-20


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Montevideo City11001:013
    2Palestino10100:001
    3Dep. Riestra10100:001
    4Gremio10010:1-10


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpia Asuncion11002:023
    2Vasco10100:001
    3Barracas Central10100:001
    4A. Italiano10010:2-20


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Carabobo11001:013
    2River Plate10101:101
    3Blooming10101:101
    4Bragantino10010:1-10

          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)