Deportivo Riestra vs Grêmio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/05/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4
  • Referee: de Vivar M. D. (Par)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
boliviaBoliviaESPN 5
brazilBrazilParamount+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 5
ecuadorEcuadorESPN 5
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
israelIsraelSport 4
italyItalyComo TV
mexicoMexicoDisney+
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
paraguayParaguayESPN 5
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN 5
portugalPortugalSport TV2
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 2, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN 5
worldWorldOnefootball

Chances of winning


Deportivo Riestra
33.7%
Draw
32.5%
Grêmio
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.3% 28.9% 40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4% 28% 42.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Riestra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Grêmio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Riestra than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grêmio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Deportivo Riestra - Grêmio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.79
    (3.1)
    2.86
    (3.25)
    2.77
    (2.3)
    7%
    (6.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Deportivo Riestra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Deportivo Riestra won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Riestra - Grêmio were as follows:
    14.04.2026 Grêmio - Deportivo Riestra 1:0
    Latest results of Deportivo Riestra
    Latest results of Grêmio
    29.04.2026 Palestino - Grêmio 0:0
    26.04.2026 Grêmio - Coritiba 1:0
    21.04.2026 Grêmio - Confiança 2:0
    18.04.2026 Cruzeiro - Grêmio 2:0
    Copa Sudamericana Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Macara32104:137
    2Tigre31113:214
    3America De Cali31113:4-14
    4Alianza Atl30122:5-31


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cienciano32104:137
    2Juventud31116:334
    3Puerto Cabello31022:7-53
    4Atletico-MG31023:4-13


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sao Paulo32103:037
    2O'Higgins32014:226
    3Millonarios31111:2-14
    4Boston River30030:4-40


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Lorenzo31204:225
    2Dep. Cuenca31111:2-14
    3Recoleta30302:203
    4Santos30212:3-12


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Botafogo RJ32107:347
    2Caracas31203:215
    3Racing Club31116:514
    4Independiente30031:7-60


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Montevideo City32014:226
    2Gremio31111:104
    3Dep. Riestra31112:204
    4Palestino30210:2-22


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vasco31114:224
    2A. Italiano31113:4-14
    3Olimpia Asuncion31112:3-14
    4Barracas Central30301:103


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate32103:127
    2Carabobo32013:126
    3Bragantino31023:4-13
    4Blooming30123:6-31

          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)