Result
0:1
10/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 19
- Referee: Ferreira Y. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 1.10 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (422/493) | 77% (265/342) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 1.10 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 1.40 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (422/493) | 77% (265/342) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (24/39) | 41% (22/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (56/91) | 64% (76/119) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (8/20) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 1.11 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 61% (11/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 44 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.40 | 1.61 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.40 | 1.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 36', Alysson 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 51', 0 - 1, Matheusinho ⚽, Leo Pereira (A),
- 58', Olivera C. ↓, Carlos Vinicius ↑,
- 59', Edenilson ↓, Aravena A. ↑,
- 70', Leo Pereira ↓, Chrystian Barletta ↑,
- 78', Matheusinho ↓, Pedro Augusto ↑,
- 79', Freitas dos Santos R. ↓, Cristaldo F. ↑,
- 84', Dodi ↓, Amuzu F. ↑,
- 84', Camilo Reijers ↓, Villasanti M. ↑,
- 87', Braithwaite M. 🟨,
- 89', Derik Lacerda ↓, Pablo ↑,
- 89', Ze Lucas ↓, Silva J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Grêmio
52.3% | Draw
27.5% | Sport Recife
20.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grêmio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)Sport Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Grêmio - Sport Recife Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↓
(1.93) |
3.43 ↑
(3.33) |
4.68 ↑
(4.21) |
5.7%
(5.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Grêmio - Sport Recife?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Grêmio will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Recife will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grêmio: 35.2% – 84.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Grêmio (votes: 2 - 40%). Recife (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 1.
- Grêmio has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Recife is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recife may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Grêmio is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Grêmio: Andre Henrique
(Muscle Injury)
Cuellar G.
(Thigh Injury)
Gustavo Martins
(Hamstring Injury)
Luan Candido
(Inactive)
Monsalve M.
(Shoulder Injury)
Walter Kannemann
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Recife: Denis
(Knee Injury)
Hereda
(Injury)
Oliveira S.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Grêmio: Carlos Vinicius
(Inactive)
Fabian Balbuena
(Inactive)
Joao Pedro
(Broken ankle)
Rodrigo Ely
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Recife: Ze Roberto
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:25. (average 1.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Grêmio won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:13. (average 2.1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio won against Sport Recife?
Grêmio has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sport Recife won against Grêmio?
Sport Recife has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio - Sport Recife were as follows:
20.09.2022
Grêmio
-
Sport Recife
3:0
Latest results of Sport Recife
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 23 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 48:11 | 37 | 51 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 39:17 | 22 | 50 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 36:18 | 18 | 49 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 41:23 | 18 | 42 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 34:17 | 17 | 39 |
| 6 | Bahia | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 30:25 | 5 | 37 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 27:24 | 3 | 35 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 26:29 | -3 | 31 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 29:35 | -6 | 31 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24:29 | -5 | 29 |
| 11 | Ceara | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 22:23 | -1 | 28 |
| 12 | Gremio | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 23:29 | -6 | 28 |
| 13 | Internacional | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 28:36 | -8 | 27 |
| 14 | Santos | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 22:32 | -10 | 26 |
| 15 | Atletico-MG | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 21:26 | -5 | 25 |
| 16 | Vasco | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 33:34 | -1 | 24 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 24 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 19:35 | -16 | 22 |
| 18 | Juventude | 23 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 19:45 | -26 | 21 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23:38 | -15 | 18 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 22 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 16:34 | -18 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
