Grimsby Town vs Doncaster Rovers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

07/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Blundell Park (Cleethorpes).

EFL Trophy
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.55	1.89
Ball Possession
47%	53%
Total shots
11	15
Shots on target
2	9
Big Chances
2	4
Corner Kicks
8	7
Passes
81% (336/416)	82% (385/472)
Yellow Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.55	1.89
xG on target (xGOT)
0.37	1.79
Total shots
11	15
Shots on target
2	9
Shots off target
4	4
Blocked Shots
5	2
Shots inside the Box
7	9
Shots outside the Box
4	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
2	4
Corner Kicks
8	7
Touches in opposition box
20	19
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
9	9
Passes
81% (336/416)	82% (385/472)
Long passes
43% (20/46)	41% (22/54)
Passes in final third
69% (66/95)	64% (70/110)
Crosses
33% (3/9)	32% (6/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.92	1.70
Throw-ins
21	28
Fouls
9	9
Tackles
65% (11/17)	52% (11/21)
Duels won
48	42
Clearances
23	15
Interceptions
7	5
Errors leading to shot
1	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
6	2
xGOT faced
1.79	0.37
Goals prevented
-0.21	0.37

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Gotts R. ⚽, Middleton G. (A),
14', 0 - 2, Gotts R. ⚽, Middleton G. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Walker J. ↓, Khouri E. ↑,
65', Olusanya T. ↓, Hanlan B. ↑,
65', Sbarra J. ↓, Brown S. ↑,
72', Rose D. ↓, Burns D. ↑,
72', Lavelle S. ↓, McJannet C. ↑,
78', Gotts R. ↓, Close B. ↑,
79', Ajayi D. ↓, Molyneux L. ↑,
80', Oduor C. ↓, Gilsenan Z. ↑,
85', Middleton G. ↓, Gibson J. ↑,
90', 0 - 3, McJannet C. (Own goal),
90+3', Flint W. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Grimsby Town
34.5%

Draw
25.6%

Doncaster Rovers
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

26.6%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

25.6%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Doncaster Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Grimsby Town - Doncaster Rovers Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↓ (2.85)	3.64 ↑ (3.46)	2.34 ↑ (2.25)	7.9% (8.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Grimsby Town - Doncaster Rovers?

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Doncaster will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Doncaster: 47.7% – 95.1%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Doncaster (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 2.
Grimsby is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Doncaster is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Doncaster may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 11:28. (average 0.8:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Grimsby won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:22. (average 0.8:2.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Grimsby Town won against Doncaster Rovers?

Grimsby Town has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Doncaster Rovers won against Grimsby Town?

Doncaster Rovers has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Grimsby Town - Doncaster Rovers were as follows:

15.02.2025 Doncaster Rovers - Grimsby Town 1:2

05.10.2024 Grimsby Town - Doncaster Rovers 0:3

17.02.2024 Grimsby Town - Doncaster Rovers 1:5

28.10.2023 Doncaster Rovers - Grimsby Town 1:0

10.04.2023 Doncaster Rovers - Grimsby Town 1:2

Latest results of Grimsby Town

04.10.2025 Salford City - Grimsby Town 0:2 ✺

27.09.2025 Grimsby Town - Cheltenham Town 7:1 ✺

20.09.2025 Barnet - Grimsby Town 3:0 ✺

16.09.2025 Sheffield Wednesday - Grimsby Town 0:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Grimsby Town - Cambridge United 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Doncaster Rovers

04.10.2025 Doncaster Rovers - Burton Albion 1:1 ✺

27.09.2025 Luton Town - Doncaster Rovers 1:0 ✺

24.09.2025 Tottenham Hotspur - Doncaster Rovers 3:0 ✺

20.09.2025 Doncaster Rovers - AFC Wimbledon 1:2 ✺

13.09.2025 Wigan Athletic - Doncaster Rovers 3:0 ✺

English EFL Trophy Table

2025/26

Group 1

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Salford	2	2	0	0	0	5:1	6
2	Stockport County	2	1	0	0	1	6:6	3
3	Wolves U21	2	1	0	0	1	5:6	3
4	Wigan	2	0	0	0	2	1:4	0

Group 2

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Blackpool	2	2	0	0	0	7:1	6
2	Tranmere	2	1	1	0	0	4:3	5
3	Nottingham U21	2	0	0	1	1	3:4	1
4	Barrow	2	0	0	0	2	1:7	0

Group 3

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Bradford City	2	2	0	0	0	7:2	6
2	Doncaster	2	2	0	0	0	5:1	6
3	Grimsby	2	0	0	0	2	1:5	0
4	Everton U21	2	0	0	0	2	2:7	0

Group 4

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Lincoln	2	2	0	0	0	6:0	6
2	Barnsley	2	1	0	0	1	6:4	3
3	Notts Co	2	1	0	0	1	2:4	3
4	Manchester Utd U21	2	0	0	0	2	2:8	0

Group 5

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Bolton	2	2	0	0	0	4:0	6
2	Manchester City U21	2	1	0	0	1	5:4	3
3	Rotherham	2	1	0	0	1	3:3	3
4	Oldham	2	0	0	0	2	3:8	0

Group 6

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Harrogate	2	2	0	0	0	2:0	6
2	Huddersfield	2	1	0	0	1	6:3	3
3	Newcastle Utd U21	2	0	1	0	1	4:8	2
4	Mansfield	2	0	0	1	1	2:3	1

Group 7

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Port Vale	2	2	0	0	0	6:1	6
2	Fleetwood	2	1	1	0	0	6:2	5
3	Accrington	2	0	0	1	1	2:4	1
4	Leeds U21	2	0	0	0	2	1:8	0

Group 8

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Crewe	2	2	0	0	0	9:1	6
2	Burton	2	1	0	0	1	2:1	3
3	Chesterfield	2	1	0	0	1	2:7	3
4	Liverpool U21	2	0	0	0	2	0:4	0

Group 9

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Arsenal U21	1	1	0	0	0	2:1	3
2	Newport	2	1	0	0	1	2:2	3
3	Cardiff	2	1	0	0	1	1:1	3
4	Exeter	1	0	0	0	1	0:1	0

Group 10

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Plymouth	2	2	0	0	0	8:2	6
2	Bristol Rovers	2	1	1	0	0	5:4	5
3	Tottenham U21	2	0	0	1	1	6:10	1
4	Cheltenham	2	0	0	0	2	0:3	0

Group 11

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Northampton	2	2	0	0	0	4:0	6
2	Walsall	2	1	0	0	1	3:2	3
3	Shrewsbury	2	1	0	0	1	4:4	3
4	Chelsea U21	2	0	0	0	2	1:6	0

Group 12

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Reading	3	2	0	0	1	6:4	6
2	West Ham U21	2	1	0	0	1	6:4	3
3	Swindon	1	1	0	0	0	3:2	3
4	MK Dons	2	0	0	0	2	1:6	0

Group 13

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Stevenage	3	3	0	0	0	12:4	9
2	AFC Wimbledon	2	1	0	0	1	4:6	3
3	Bromley	2	0	1	0	1	4:5	2
4	Crystal Palace U21	3	0	0	1	2	6:11	1

Group 14

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Leyton Orient	2	2	0	0	0	5:2	6
2	Crawley	2	1	0	0	1	5:4	3
3	Peterborough	2	1	0	0	1	5:5	3
4	Aston Villa U21	2	0	0	0	2	4:8	0

Group 15

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Colchester	2	2	0	0	0	4:2	6
2	Gillingham	2	1	0	0	1	5:3	3
3	Wycombe	2	1	0	0	1	4:3	3
4	Fulham U21	2	0	0	0	2	2:7	0

Group 16

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Barnet	3	1	1	0	1	5:7	5
2	Luton	2	1	0	0	1	5:4	3
3	Cambridge Utd	2	1	0	0	1	5:4	3
4	Brighton U21	1	0	0	1	0	1:1	1