Result
1:2
21/04/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 25
- Referee: Massey-Ellis R. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 0.71 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (324/429) | 54% (117/217) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 0.71 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 1.59 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (324/429) | 54% (117/217) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (34/80) | 41% (31/75) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (95/154) | 55% (64/117) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (4/30) | 22% (5/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.73 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 37 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 61% (11/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 68 | 71 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 40 | 60 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.59 | 1.72 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.41 | 0.72 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 23', 0 - 1, Green K. ⚽, Staunton R. (A),
- 41', 1 - 1, Knight B. ⚽, Mayor A. (A),
- 42', Turi G. D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 58', Kacurri M. 🟨,
- 59', Knight B. (Penalty Awarded),
- 68', Turi G. D. ↓, Walker J. ↑,
- 69', Green K. ↓, Vernam C. ↑,
- 73', Appere L. ↓, Nevitt E. ↑,
- 73', Mpanzu P. ↓, Smith K. ↑,
- 80', Mayor A. ↓, Brophy J. ↑,
- 89', Oduor C. ↓, Warren T. ↑,
- 90+3', Staunton R. ↓, Sweeney J. ↑,
- 90+4', 1 - 2, McJannet C. ⚽,
- 90+5', Bennett L. ↓, McConnell G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cambridge United
47.9% | Draw
27.5% | Grimsby Town
24.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cambridge United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cambridge United's performance.Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Grimsby Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (-8.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cambridge United that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grimsby Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Cambridge United - Grimsby Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↓
(2.37) |
3.39 ↑
(3.12) |
3.78 ↑
(2.85) |
6.8%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cambridge United - Grimsby Town?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Cambridge will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cambridge: 45% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cambridge (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cambridge won 2.
- Cambridge is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Grimsby's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Cambridge will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Cambridge: Morrison M.
(Inactive)
Smith K.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Grimsby: Gardner C.
(Hamstring Injury)
Pym C.
(Inactive)
Rose D.
(Inactive)
Svanthorsson J.
(Illness)
- There are questionable in Cambridge: Bradshaw Z.
(Inactive)
Kouassi K.
(Hamstring Injury)
Mayor A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Grimsby: Brown H.
(Inactive)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Cambridge won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:12. (average 1.2:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cambridge won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Cambridge United won against Grimsby Town?
Cambridge United has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grimsby Town won against Cambridge United?
Grimsby Town has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cambridge United - Grimsby Town were as follows:
13.09.2025
Grimsby Town
-
Cambridge United
1:1
26.11.2022
Cambridge United
-
Grimsby Town
1:2
Latest results of Cambridge United
Latest results of Grimsby Town
English League Two Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley ✔ | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 25 | 87 |
| 2 | MK Dons ✔ | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 41 | 86 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 82 |
| 4 | Salford | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 10 | 81 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 22 | 80 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 15 | 79 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 24 | 78 |
| 8 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 17 | 76 |
| 9 | Swindon | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 11 | 75 |
| 10 | Oldham | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 16 | 68 |
| 11 | Crewe | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 6 | 67 |
| 12 | Colchester | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 13 | 66 |
| 13 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 0 | 65 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | -9 | 62 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | -1 | 61 |
| 16 | Accrington | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | -11 | 53 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | -19 | 53 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | -26 | 52 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | -27 | 49 |
| 20 | Newport | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | -29 | 43 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | -25 | 41 |
| 22 | Crawley | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | -24 | 40 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | -29 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | -33 | 36 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Bromley is Qualified for League One
MK Dons is Qualified for League One
