Grimsby Town vs Shrewsbury Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
29/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 23
  • Referee: Copeland S. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.880.38
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
176
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
73% (394/542)51% (158/310)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.880.38
xG on target (xGOT)
0.770.31
Total shots
176
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
92
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
113
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
3911
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
167
Passes
73% (394/542)51% (158/310)
Long passes
32% (29/91)27% (26/95)
Passes in final third
57% (101/177)42% (42/99)
Crosses
42% (8/19)27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.110.35
Throw-ins
3325
Fouls
716
Tackles
60% (9/15)64% (14/22)
Duels won
7268
Clearances
2616
Interceptions
916
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.310.77
Goals prevented
0.31-0.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 48', Tharme D. 🟨,
  • 55', Scully A. , Lloyd G. ,
  • 62', Walker J. , Green K. ,
  • 68', Khouri E. 🟨,
  • 69', Marquis J. 🟨,
  • 73', Burns D. , Amaluzor J. ,
  • 73', Soonsup-Bell J. , Kabia J. ,
  • 73', Turi G. D. , McEachran G. ,
  • 83', 1 - 0, Amaluzor J. ,
  • 83', Kabia I. , McDermott T. ,
  • 90', Sang T. , Aneke Ch. ,
  • 90+1', Perry T. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Grimsby Town
54%
Draw
25%
Shrewsbury Town
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.5% 26.4% 23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8% 25% 24.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Grimsby Town that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • Grimsby Town - Shrewsbury Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (1.82)
    3.71
    (3.48)
    4.43
    (3.97)
    7.3%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Grimsby Town - Shrewsbury Town?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Grimsby Town will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 62.24%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Grimsby Town will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 21).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, Grimsby is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Grimsby: Brown H. (Inactive) Svanthorsson J. (Illness)
    • There will not play in Shrewsbury: Ihionvien B. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Grimsby: Gardner C. (Hamstring Injury) Pym C. (Inactive)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Grimsby won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Grimsby Town - Shrewsbury Town were as follows:
    09.12.2025 Shrewsbury Town - Grimsby Town 1:1
    12.08.2025 Grimsby Town - Shrewsbury Town 3:1
    Latest results of Grimsby Town
    Latest results of Shrewsbury Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley382113461:362576
    2MK Dons382111675:373874
    3Cambridge Utd371912655:282769
    4Notts Co372071060:372367
    5Salford382141354:47767
    6Swindon382061262:451766
    7Grimsby3716111051:401159
    8Chesterfield381514960:52859
    9Crewe381691354:47757
    10Walsall381691346:40657
    11Oldham361413943:311255
    12Barnet3814121246:42454
    13Colchester3714111250:401053
    14Fleetwood3813121347:46151
    15Accrington371391538:41-348
    16Gillingham3711121443:54-1145
    17Cheltenham371191741:60-1942
    18Shrewsbury381181937:59-2241
    19Bristol Rovers381242238:59-2140
    20Tranmere38992048:68-2036
    21Crawley386131936:59-2331
    22Newport38872338:65-2731
    23Harrogate38792229:57-2830
    24Barrow37782236:58-2229

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League