Result
1:0
29/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 23
- Referee: Copeland S. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.38 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (394/542) | 51% (158/310) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.31 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (394/542) | 51% (158/310) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (29/91) | 27% (26/95) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (101/177) | 42% (42/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 42% (8/19) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.35 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 33 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 64% (14/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 72 | 68 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.31 | 0.77 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.31 | -0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 48', Tharme D. 🟨,
- 55', Scully A. ↓, Lloyd G. ↑,
- 62', Walker J. ↓, Green K. ↑,
- 68', Khouri E. 🟨,
- 69', Marquis J. 🟨,
- 73', Burns D. ↓, Amaluzor J. ↑,
- 73', Soonsup-Bell J. ↓, Kabia J. ↑,
- 73', Turi G. D. ↓, McEachran G. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 0, Amaluzor J. ⚽,
- 83', Kabia I. ↓, McDermott T. ↑,
- 90', Sang T. ↓, Aneke Ch. ↑,
- 90+1', Perry T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Grimsby Town
54% | Draw
25% | Shrewsbury Town
21% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Grimsby Town that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Grimsby Town - Shrewsbury Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↓
(1.82) |
3.71 ↑
(3.48) |
4.43 ↑
(3.97) |
7.3%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Grimsby Town - Shrewsbury Town?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Grimsby Town will win
(10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Grimsby Town will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 21).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, Grimsby is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Grimsby: Brown H.
(Inactive)
Svanthorsson J.
(Illness)
- There will not play in Shrewsbury: Ihionvien B.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Grimsby: Gardner C.
(Hamstring Injury)
Pym C.
(Inactive)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Grimsby won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Grimsby Town won against Shrewsbury Town?
Grimsby Town has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shrewsbury Town won against Grimsby Town?
Shrewsbury Town has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grimsby Town - Shrewsbury Town were as follows:
09.12.2025
Shrewsbury Town
-
Grimsby Town
1:1
12.08.2025
Grimsby Town
-
Shrewsbury Town
3:1
Latest results of Grimsby Town
Latest results of Shrewsbury Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 33 | 18 | 11 | 4 | 56:34 | 22 | 65 |
| 2 | Cambridge Utd | 33 | 18 | 9 | 6 | 48:26 | 22 | 63 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 33 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 62:33 | 29 | 61 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 33 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 52:32 | 20 | 61 |
| 5 | Swindon | 34 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 56:40 | 16 | 61 |
| 6 | Crewe | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 50:40 | 10 | 53 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 33 | 13 | 14 | 6 | 52:43 | 9 | 53 |
| 8 | Salford | 32 | 16 | 4 | 12 | 45:43 | 2 | 52 |
| 9 | Barnet | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 43:37 | 6 | 50 |
| 10 | Walsall | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 40:35 | 5 | 50 |
| 11 | Colchester | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 48:34 | 14 | 49 |
| 12 | Grimsby | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 45:37 | 8 | 49 |
| 13 | Accrington | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 36:34 | 2 | 46 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 43:42 | 1 | 44 |
| 15 | Oldham | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 34:30 | 4 | 42 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 40:41 | -1 | 41 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 33:52 | -19 | 38 |
| 18 | Tranmere | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 45:57 | -12 | 35 |
| 19 | Cheltenham | 32 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 33:54 | -21 | 35 |
| 20 | Bristol Rovers | 33 | 9 | 3 | 21 | 32:56 | -24 | 30 |
| 21 | Crawley | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 33:54 | -21 | 28 |
| 22 | Barrow | 32 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 33:50 | -17 | 27 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 24:51 | -27 | 26 |
| 24 | Newport | 33 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 32:60 | -28 | 24 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
