Result
3:1
12/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- EFL Cup - 1/64-finals
- Referee: Stockbridge S. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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2.76 | 0.50 |
Ball Possession |
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56% | 44% |
Total shots |
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18 | 6 |
Shots on target |
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6 | 3 |
Big Chances |
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3 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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10 | 3 |
Passes |
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79% (310/392) | 68% (220/322) |
Yellow Cards |
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0 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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2.76 | 0.50 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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3.42 | 0.73 |
Total shots |
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18 | 6 |
Shots on target |
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6 | 3 |
Shots off target |
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3 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
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9 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
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13 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
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5 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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3 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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10 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
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35 | 10 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
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1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
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13 | 9 |
Passes |
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79% (310/392) | 68% (220/322) |
Long passes |
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44% (24/54) | 41% (30/74) |
Passes in final third |
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66% (75/114) | 48% (37/77) |
Crosses |
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19% (6/32) | 35% (6/17) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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1.24 | 0.76 |
Throw-ins |
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21 | 37 |
Fouls |
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9 | 14 |
Tackles |
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75% (12/16) | 50% (10/20) |
Duels won |
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59 | 52 |
Clearances |
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23 | 30 |
Interceptions |
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9 | 11 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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2 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
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0.73 | 3.42 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.27 | 0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', Benning M. 🟨,
- 15', 1 - 0, Amaluzor J. ⚽, Turi G. D. (A),
- 26', Anderson T. 🟨,
- 27', Walker J. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Lavelle S. ↓, Rodgers H. ↑,
- 47', Clucas S. 🟨,
- 50', 2 - 0, Gardner C. ⚽, Warren T. (A),
- 63', 2 - 1, Sang T. ⚽, Benning M. (A),
- 69', Stewart C. ↓, Marquis J. ↑,
- 69', Clucas S. ↓, Scully A. ↑,
- 78', Walker J. ↓, Green K. ↑,
- 78', Gardner C. ↓, Kabia J. ↑,
- 79', Burns D. ↓, Brown H. ↑,
- 81', Hoole L. 🟨,
- 85', Hoole L. ↓, Gilliead A. ↑,
- 85', Perry T. ↓, McDermott T. ↑,
- 90+2', 3 - 1, Kabia J. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Grimsby Town 57.7% | Draw 28.3% | Shrewsbury Town 14% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Grimsby Town's performance.Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shrewsbury Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-21.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Grimsby Town that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+18.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shrewsbury Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Grimsby Town - Shrewsbury Town Odds
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1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.83 ↓ (2.55) |
3.82 ↑ (3.07) |
8.21 ↑ (2.9) |
-6.9% (6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Grimsby Town - Shrewsbury Town?
Users Predictions:
Grimsby Town will win
(21 of 22 users predict this - 95.45%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.74% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Grimsby Town will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Grimsby is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Shrewsbury has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Shrewsbury has had a series of home games.
- Grimsby is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Grimsby won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Grimsby Town won against Shrewsbury Town?
Grimsby Town has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shrewsbury Town won against Grimsby Town?
Shrewsbury Town has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grimsby Town - Shrewsbury Town were as follows:
Latest results of Grimsby Town
Latest results of Shrewsbury Town
Draw
Main1/64-finals1 | Birmingham | Sheffield Utd | 2 : 1 |
2 | Blackpool | Port Vale | 0 : 1 |
4 | Bye | Arsenal | |
5 | Swansea | Crawley | 3 : 1 |
6 | Plymouth | QPR | 3 : 2 |
8 | Bye | Nottingham | |
9 | Tranmere | Burton | 1 : 2 |
10 | Harrogate | Lincoln | 1 : 3 |
12 | Bye | Chelsea | |
13 | Tottenham | Bye | |
15 | Accrington | Peterborough | 2 : 1 |
16 | Middlesbrough | Doncaster | 0 : 4 |
17 | Bournemouth | Bye | |
18 | Bye | Brentford | |
20 | Bye | Aston Villa | |
21 | Sunderland | Bye | |
22 | Huddersfield | Leicester | 3 : 2 |
24 | Bye | Manchester City | |
25 | Liverpool | Bye | |
27 | Watford | Norwich | 1 : 2 |
28 | Northampton | Southampton | 0 : 1 |
29 | Newcastle | Bye | |
31 | Stoke | Walsall | 1 : 0 |
32 | Blackburn | Bradford City | 1 : 2 |
33 | Bolton | Sheffield Wed | 3 : 4 |
34 | Bye | Leeds | |
35 | Grimsby | Shrewsbury | 3 : 1 |
36 | Bye | Manchester Utd | |
37 | Wolves | Bye | |
38 | Bye | West Ham | |
39 | Everton | Bye | |
40 | Chesterfield | Mansfield | 0 : 2 |
41 | Crystal Palace | Bye | |
43 | Newport | Millwall | 0 : 1 |
44 | Coventry | Luton | 1 : 0 |
45 | Burnley | Bye | |
46 | West Brom | Derby | 1 : 2 |
47 | Cardiff | Swindon | 2 : 1 |
48 | Cheltenham | Exeter | 2 : 0 |
49 | Barrow | Preston | 0 : 1 |
50 | Wrexham | Hull | 4 : 3 |
51 | Portsmouth | Reading | 1 : 2 |
52 | Gillingham | AFC Wimbledon | 1 : 2 |
53 | Wigan | Notts Co | 1 : 0 |
54 | Stockport County | Crewe | 3 : 1 |
55 | Bromley | Ipswich | 2 : 1 |
56 | Leyton Orient | Wycombe | 0 : 1 |
57 | Barnsley | Fleetwood | 3 : 2 |
58 | Salford | Rotherham | 0 : 1 |
59 | Oxford Utd | Colchester | 1 : 0 |
60 | Bye | Brighton | |
61 | Fulham | Bye | |
62 | Bristol City | MK Dons | 2 : 0 |
63 | Bristol Rovers | Cambridge Utd | 0 : 2 |
64 | Charlton | Stevenage | 3 : 1 |
1/32-finals1 | Birmingham | Port Vale | 0 : 1 |
2 | Bye | Arsenal | |
3 | Swansea | Plymouth | 2 : 1 |
4 | Bye | Nottingham | |
5 | Burton | Lincoln | 0 : 1 |
6 | Bye | Chelsea | |
7 | Tottenham | Bye | |
8 | Accrington | Doncaster | 0 : 2 |
9 | Bournemouth | Brentford | 0 : 2 |
10 | Bye | Aston Villa | |
11 | Sunderland | Huddersfield | 1 : 2 |
12 | Bye | Manchester City | |
13 | Liverpool | Bye | |
14 | Norwich | Southampton | 0 : 3 |
15 | Newcastle | Bye | |
16 | Stoke | Bradford City | 0 : 3 |
17 | Sheffield Wed | Leeds | 2 : 1 |
18 | Grimsby | Manchester Utd | 3 : 2 |
19 | Wolves | West Ham | 3 : 2 |
20 | Everton | Mansfield | 2 : 0 |
21 | Crystal Palace | Bye | |
22 | Millwall | Coventry | 2 : 1 |
23 | Burnley | Derby | 2 : 1 |
24 | Cardiff | Cheltenham | 3 : 0 |
25 | Preston | Wrexham | 2 : 3 |
26 | Reading | AFC Wimbledon | 2 : 1 |
27 | Wigan | Stockport County | 1 : 0 |
28 | Bromley | Wycombe | 1 : 2 |
29 | Barnsley | Rotherham | 2 : 1 |
30 | Oxford Utd | Brighton | 0 : 6 |
31 | Fulham | Bristol City | 2 : 0 |
32 | Cambridge Utd | Charlton | 3 : 1 |
1/16-finals1 | Port Vale | Arsenal | |
2 | Swansea | Nottingham | |
3 | Lincoln | Chelsea | |
4 | Tottenham | Doncaster | |
5 | Brentford | Aston Villa | |
6 | Huddersfield | Manchester City | |
7 | Liverpool | Southampton | |
8 | Newcastle | Bradford City | |
9 | Sheffield Wed | Grimsby | |
10 | Wolves | Everton | |
11 | Crystal Palace | Millwall | |
12 | Burnley | Cardiff | |
13 | Wrexham | Reading | |
14 | Wigan | Wycombe | |
15 | Barnsley | Brighton | |
16 | Fulham | Cambridge Utd | |