Result
3:1
12/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- EFL Cup - 1/64-finals
- Referee: Stockbridge S. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.76 | 0.50 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (310/392) | 68% (220/322) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.76 | 0.50 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.42 | 0.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (310/392) | 68% (220/322) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (24/54) | 41% (30/74) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (75/114) | 48% (37/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (6/32) | 35% (6/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.76 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 37 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 50% (10/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.73 | 3.42 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.27 | 0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', Benning M. 🟨,
- 15', 1 - 0, Amaluzor J. ⚽, Turi G. D. (A),
- 26', Anderson T. 🟨,
- 27', Walker J. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Lavelle S. ↓, Rodgers H. ↑,
- 47', Clucas S. 🟨,
- 50', 2 - 0, Gardner C. ⚽, Warren T. (A),
- 63', 2 - 1, Sang T. ⚽, Benning M. (A),
- 69', Stewart C. ↓, Marquis J. ↑,
- 69', Clucas S. ↓, Scully A. ↑,
- 78', Walker J. ↓, Green K. ↑,
- 78', Gardner C. ↓, Kabia J. ↑,
- 79', Burns D. ↓, Brown H. ↑,
- 81', Hoole L. 🟨,
- 85', Hoole L. ↓, Gilliead A. ↑,
- 85', Perry T. ↓, McDermott T. ↑,
- 90+2', 3 - 1, Kabia J. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Grimsby Town
57.7% | Draw
28.3% | Shrewsbury Town
14% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Grimsby Town's performance.Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shrewsbury Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-21.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Grimsby Town that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+18.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shrewsbury Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Grimsby Town - Shrewsbury Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↓
(2.55) |
3.82 ↑
(3.07) |
8.21 ↑
(2.9) |
-6.9%
(6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Grimsby Town - Shrewsbury Town?
Users Predictions:
Grimsby Town will win
(21 of 22 users predict this - 95.45%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.74% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Grimsby Town will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Grimsby is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Shrewsbury has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Shrewsbury has had a series of home games.
- Grimsby is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Grimsby won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Grimsby Town won against Shrewsbury Town?
Grimsby Town has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shrewsbury Town won against Grimsby Town?
Shrewsbury Town has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grimsby Town - Shrewsbury Town were as follows:
Latest results of Grimsby Town
Latest results of Shrewsbury Town
Draw
Main1/64-finals| 1 | Birmingham | Sheffield Utd | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Blackpool | Port Vale | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Bye | Arsenal | |
| 5 | Barnsley | Fleetwood | 3 : 2 |
| 6 | Salford | Rotherham | 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Oxford Utd | Colchester | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Brighton | |
| 9 | Bolton | Sheffield Wed | 3 : 4 |
| 10 | Bye | Leeds | |
| 11 | Grimsby | Shrewsbury | 3 : 1 |
| 12 | Bye | Manchester Utd | |
| 13 | Bournemouth | Bye | |
| 14 | Bye | Brentford | |
| 16 | Bye | Aston Villa | |
| 17 | Swansea | Crawley | 3 : 1 |
| 18 | Plymouth | QPR | 3 : 2 |
| 20 | Bye | Nottingham | |
| 21 | Sunderland | Bye | |
| 22 | Huddersfield | Leicester | 3 : 2 |
| 24 | Bye | Manchester City | |
| 25 | Newcastle | Bye | |
| 27 | Stoke | Walsall | 1 : 0 |
| 28 | Blackburn | Bradford City | 1 : 2 |
| 29 | Tottenham | Bye | |
| 31 | Accrington | Peterborough | 2 : 1 |
| 32 | Middlesbrough | Doncaster | 0 : 4 |
| 33 | Barrow | Preston | 0 : 1 |
| 34 | Wrexham | Hull | 4 : 3 |
| 35 | Portsmouth | Reading | 1 : 2 |
| 36 | Gillingham | AFC Wimbledon | 1 : 2 |
| 37 | Burnley | Bye | |
| 38 | West Brom | Derby | 1 : 2 |
| 39 | Cardiff | Swindon | 2 : 1 |
| 40 | Cheltenham | Exeter | 2 : 0 |
| 41 | Liverpool | Bye | |
| 43 | Watford | Norwich | 1 : 2 |
| 44 | Northampton | Southampton | 0 : 1 |
| 45 | Crystal Palace | Bye | |
| 47 | Newport | Millwall | 0 : 1 |
| 48 | Coventry | Luton | 1 : 0 |
| 49 | Wolves | Bye | |
| 50 | Bye | West Ham | |
| 51 | Everton | Bye | |
| 52 | Chesterfield | Mansfield | 0 : 2 |
| 53 | Tranmere | Burton | 1 : 2 |
| 54 | Harrogate | Lincoln | 1 : 3 |
| 56 | Bye | Chelsea | |
| 57 | Wigan | Notts Co | 1 : 0 |
| 58 | Stockport County | Crewe | 3 : 1 |
| 59 | Bromley | Ipswich | 2 : 1 |
| 60 | Leyton Orient | Wycombe | 0 : 1 |
| 61 | Fulham | Bye | |
| 62 | Bristol City | MK Dons | 2 : 0 |
| 63 | Bristol Rovers | Cambridge Utd | 0 : 2 |
| 64 | Charlton | Stevenage | 3 : 1 |
1/32-finals| 1 | Birmingham | Port Vale | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Bye | Arsenal | |
| 3 | Barnsley | Rotherham | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Oxford Utd | Brighton | 0 : 6 |
| 5 | Sheffield Wed | Leeds | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Grimsby | Manchester Utd | 3 : 2 |
| 7 | Bournemouth | Brentford | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Bye | Aston Villa | |
| 9 | Swansea | Plymouth | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Bye | Nottingham | |
| 11 | Sunderland | Huddersfield | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Manchester City | |
| 13 | Newcastle | Bye | |
| 14 | Stoke | Bradford City | 0 : 3 |
| 15 | Tottenham | Bye | |
| 16 | Accrington | Doncaster | 0 : 2 |
| 17 | Preston | Wrexham | 2 : 3 |
| 18 | Reading | AFC Wimbledon | 2 : 1 |
| 19 | Burnley | Derby | 2 : 1 |
| 20 | Cardiff | Cheltenham | 3 : 0 |
| 21 | Liverpool | Bye | |
| 22 | Norwich | Southampton | 0 : 3 |
| 23 | Crystal Palace | Bye | |
| 24 | Millwall | Coventry | 2 : 1 |
| 25 | Wolves | West Ham | 3 : 2 |
| 26 | Everton | Mansfield | 2 : 0 |
| 27 | Burton | Lincoln | 0 : 1 |
| 28 | Bye | Chelsea | |
| 29 | Wigan | Stockport County | 1 : 0 |
| 30 | Bromley | Wycombe | 1 : 2 |
| 31 | Fulham | Bristol City | 2 : 0 |
| 32 | Cambridge Utd | Charlton | 3 : 1 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Port Vale | Arsenal | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Barnsley | Brighton | 0 : 6 |
| 3 | Sheffield Wed | Grimsby | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Brentford | Aston Villa | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Swansea | Nottingham | 3 : 2 |
| 6 | Huddersfield | Manchester City | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Newcastle | Bradford City | 4 : 1 |
| 8 | Tottenham | Doncaster | 3 : 0 |
| 9 | Wrexham | Reading | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Burnley | Cardiff | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Liverpool | Southampton | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | Millwall | 2 : 1 |
| 13 | Wolves | Everton | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Lincoln | Chelsea | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Wigan | Wycombe | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Fulham | Cambridge Utd | 1 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Arsenal | Brighton | |
| 2 | Grimsby | Brentford | |
| 3 | Swansea | Manchester City | |
| 4 | Newcastle | Tottenham | |
| 5 | Wrexham | Cardiff | |
| 6 | Liverpool | Crystal Palace | |
| 7 | Wolves | Chelsea | |
| 8 | Wycombe | Fulham | |
