Groningen vs Heracles Almelo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

29/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Euroborg (Groningen).

Eredivisie - Round 4
Referee: Dieperink R. (Ned)
Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.59	0.47
Ball Possession
51%	49%
Total shots
17	8
Shots on target
5	0
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
6	3
Passes
78% (278/357)	73% (255/350)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59	0.47
xG on target (xGOT)
2.57	0.00
Total shots
17	8
Shots on target
5	0
Shots off target
4	7
Blocked Shots
8	1
Shots inside the Box
11	4
Shots outside the Box
6	4
Hit the Woodwork
3	0
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
6	3
Touches in opposition box
28	11
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	0
Free Kicks
9	12
Passes
78% (278/357)	73% (255/350)
Long passes
36% (21/59)	43% (35/82)
Passes in final third
69% (65/94)	51% (45/89)
Crosses
17% (3/18)	29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.17	0.55
Throw-ins
17	24
Fouls
13	12
Tackles
65% (11/17)	67% (14/21)
Duels won
48	69
Clearances
26	32
Interceptions
7	5
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	1
xGOT faced
0.00	2.57
Goals prevented
0.00	-1.43

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (3 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Willumsson B. ⚽, Rente M. (A),
30', 2 - 0, Taha Y. ⚽, Rente M. (A),
38', Janse D. 🟨,
40', 3 - 0, Willumsson B. ⚽, Taha Y. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', van der Kust D. 🟨,
65', Schreuders J. 🟨,
65', Hrustic A. ↓, Bruns T. ↑,
65', Limbombe B. ↓, Borges Sanches Y. ↑,
66', Schreuders J. ↓, van der Werff D. ↑,
74', Taha Y. ↓, Land T. ↑,
74', de Jonge T. ↓, Zawada O. ↑,
82', van Bergen T. ↓, Seuntjens M. ↑,
82', Willumsson B. ↓, Hoekstra M. ↑,
90+1', 4 - 0, van der Werff D. ⚽,

Chances of winning

Groningen
60.1%

Draw
23.2%

Heracles Almelo
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

25.6%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Groningen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Groningen's performance.

Heracles Almelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Heracles Almelo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Groningen - Heracles Almelo Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.81)	4.23 ↑ (3.65)	5.97 ↑ (4.13)	2.3% (6.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Groningen - Heracles Almelo?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -0.75 - Groningen (1.80) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH 0, 1st Half - Heracles (3.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Groningen will win (45 of 47 users predict this - 95.74%).
Confidence interval (95%): 89.97% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Groningen will win (17 of 17 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 20 high ROI users predict this event. Groningen (votes: 19 - 95%). Heracles (votes: 1 - 5%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Groningen won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
In this match, Groningen is the team to beat.
There will not play in Groningen: Emeran N. (Muscle Injury) Turay F. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Vaessen E. (Suspended) van der Laan E. (Inactive)
There will not play in Heracles: Cestic S. (Broken ankle) Hornkamp J. (Red Card) Reine-Adelaide J. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Heracles: Engels M. (Hamstring Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Groningen won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 29:30. (average 1.5:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Groningen won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:10. (average 1.6:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Groningen won against Heracles Almelo?

Groningen has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Heracles Almelo won against Groningen?

Heracles Almelo has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Groningen - Heracles Almelo were as follows:

23.04.2025 Groningen - Heracles Almelo 4:1

28.01.2025 Heracles Almelo - Groningen 1:1

02.08.2024 Groningen - Heracles Almelo 2:0

Latest results of Groningen

23.08.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Groningen 4:2 ✺

16.08.2025 Groningen - Heerenveen 2:1 ✺

10.08.2025 AZ Alkmaar - Groningen 4:1 ✺

19.07.2025 Groningen - NEC Nijmegen 1:2 ✺

12.07.2025 Emmen - Groningen 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Heracles Almelo

24.08.2025 Ajax - Heracles Almelo 2:0 ✺

16.08.2025 Heracles Almelo - NEC Nijmegen 1:4 ✺

10.08.2025 Utrecht - Heracles Almelo 4:0 ✺

02.08.2025 Heracles Almelo - Waalwijk 3:1 ✺

18.07.2025 Preußen Münster - Heracles Almelo 1:4 ✺

Dutch Eredivisie Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	PSV	27	22	2	3	77:34	43	68
2	Feyenoord	27	16	4	7	60:39	21	52
3	Nijmegen	27	14	7	6	67:45	22	49
4	Ajax	27	12	11	4	52:34	18	47
5	Twente	27	11	11	5	45:29	16	44
6	AZ Alkmaar	27	12	6	9	47:42	5	42
7	Heerenveen	27	11	7	9	47:44	3	40
8	Utrecht	27	10	8	9	40:31	9	38
9	Sparta Rotterdam	27	11	5	11	33:47	-14	38
10	Groningen	27	10	5	12	37:37	0	35
11	Sittard	27	10	5	12	42:50	-8	35
12	G.A. Eagles	27	7	11	9	45:43	2	32
13	Zwolle	27	7	9	11	36:52	-16	30
14	FC Volendam	27	7	6	14	30:46	-16	27
15	Excelsior	27	7	5	15	28:46	-18	26
16	Telstar	27	5	9	13	35:45	-10	24
17	NAC Breda	27	5	8	14	28:48	-20	23
18	Heracles	27	5	3	19	32:69	-37	18

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