Groningen vs Heracles Almelo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

23/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Euroborg (Groningen).

Eredivisie - Round 30
Referee: Oostrom I. (Ned)
Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.93	0.38
Ball Possession
43%	57%
Total shots
12	8
Shots on target
6	3
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
3	5
Passes
78% (248/316)	81% (352/432)
Yellow Cards
0	5
Expected Goals (xG)
1.93	0.38
xG on target (xGOT)
1.98	1.07
Total shots
12	8
Shots on target
6	3
Shots off target
4	3
Blocked Shots
2	2
Shots inside the Box
8	5
Shots outside the Box
4	3
Hit the Woodwork
2	0
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
3	5
Touches in opposition box
20	14
Offsides
0	0
Free Kicks
17	9
Passes
78% (248/316)	81% (352/432)
Long passes
52% (26/50)	47% (34/73)
Passes in final third
59% (58/99)	66% (57/86)
Crosses
15% (2/13)	25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.91	0.55
Fouls
9	17
Tackles
61% (11/18)	60% (12/20)
Duels won
56	47
Clearances Total
14	36
Interceptions
8	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
1.07	1.98
Goals prevented
0.06	-1.02

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Rente M. ⚽, Valente L. (A),
16', 2 - 0, Schreuders J. ⚽, de Jonge T. (A),
20', 2 - 1, Bruns T. ⚽, Hornkamp J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 3 - 1, Bacuna L. (Pen),
58', Rots M. ↓, Benita M. ↑,
58', Engels M. ↓, Talvitie J. ↑,
59', 4 - 1, Scheperman S. (Own goal),
64', Hornkamp J. 🟨,
66', Bruns T. 🟨,
68', Bruns T. ↓, Zamburek J. ↑,
68', Hornkamp J. ↓, Kulenovic L. ↑,
77', Mesik I. 🟨,
79', Kwakman D. ↓, Willumsson B. ↑,
81', Wieckhoff J. 🟨,
84', Podgoreanu S. 🟨,
90', Valente L. ↓, Oosting T. ↑,
90', Schreuders J. ↓, Postema R. ↑,

Chances of winning

Groningen
45.1%

Draw
30.1%

Heracles Almelo
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

24.5%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

25.3%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Groningen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Groningen's form might have worsened.

Heracles Almelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Groningen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Groningen - Heracles Almelo Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.81)	3.14 ↓ (3.86)	3.79 ↓ (4.06)	6.1% (5.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Groningen - Heracles Almelo?

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Groningen will win (votes: 8 - 38.1%). Heracles will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 47.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.2% – 69%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Groningen (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Heracles (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 9).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Groningen won 1.
Groningen has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Heracles is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Recently Groningen have a series of guest games.
Groningen will have a mini benefit in this match.
There will not play in Groningen: Mariani M. (Injury) Turay F. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
There will not play in Heracles: Cestic S. (Broken ankle) Laursen N. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Groningen: Prins W. (Injury)
There are questionable in Heracles: Bruns T. (Personal Reasons) De Keersmaecker B. (Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Groningen won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 27:31 (average 1.4:1.6).
Including matches at home between the teams Groningen won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14:9 (average 1.4:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Groningen won against Heracles Almelo?

Groningen has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Heracles Almelo won against Groningen?

Heracles Almelo has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Groningen - Heracles Almelo were as follows:

28.01.2025 Heracles Almelo - Groningen 1:1

02.08.2024 Groningen - Heracles Almelo 2:0

Latest results of Groningen

13.04.2025 Utrecht - Groningen 3:1 ✺

05.04.2025 Groningen - PSV Eindhoven 1:3 ✺

02.04.2025 Feyenoord - Groningen 4:1 ✺

29.03.2025 NAC Breda - Groningen 1:1 ✺

19.03.2025 Schalke 04 - Groningen 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Heracles Almelo

13.04.2025 Heracles Almelo - AZ Alkmaar 1:0 ✺

06.04.2025 Waalwijk - Heracles Almelo 0:0 ✺

30.03.2025 Heracles Almelo - Twente 2:1 ✺

20.03.2025 Heracles Almelo - Fortuna Düsseldorf 0:0 ✺

15.03.2025 Heerenveen - Heracles Almelo 1:1 ✺

Dutch Eredivisie Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sittard	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Telstar	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	FC Volendam	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Zwolle	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	PSV	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	NAC Breda	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Twente	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Heerenveen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Feyenoord	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Nijmegen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Utrecht	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	AZ Alkmaar	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Sparta Rotterdam	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Heracles	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Excelsior	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	G.A. Eagles	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Groningen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

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