Groningen vs Waalwijk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Euroborg (Groningen).

Eredivisie - Round 31
Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)
Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
3.22	1.14
Ball Possession
44%	56%
Total shots
22	9
Shots on target
12	4
Big Chances
5	3
Corner Kicks
5	3
Passes
81% (285/353)	85% (384/450)
Yellow Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
3.22	1.14
xG on target (xGOT)
4.63	1.34
Total shots
22	9
Shots on target
12	4
Shots off target
5	3
Blocked Shots
5	2
Shots inside the Box
12	6
Shots outside the Box
10	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
5	3
Corner Kicks
5	3
Touches in opposition box
37	12
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
8	10
Passes
81% (285/353)	85% (384/450)
Long passes
45% (13/29)	49% (22/45)
Passes in final third
65% (69/106)	70% (47/67)
Crosses
33% (5/15)	17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.28	0.82
Throw-ins
29	18
Fouls
10	8
Tackles
65% (15/23)	62% (13/21)
Duels won
49	44
Clearances
18	34
Interceptions
12	13
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
1	1
Goalkeeper Saves
3	6
xGOT faced
1.34	4.63
Goals prevented
0.34	-1.37

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Bacuna L. (Pen),
18', Lelieveld J. 🟨,
45+2', 2 - 0, Resink S. ⚽, Bacuna L. (A),
2nd Half (4 - 1)
46', Rente M. ↓, Emeran N. ↑,
46', 3 - 0, Emeran N. ⚽, Valente L. (A),
50', 4 - 0, Resink S. ⚽,
57', Kramer M. ↓, Roemeratoe G. ↑,
57', Lokesa C. ↓, Cleonise D. ↑,
60', 5 - 0, van Bergen T. ⚽,
67', 5 - 1, Roemeratoe G. ⚽,
68', Peersman M. ↓, Prins W. ↑,
68', Kwakman D. ↓, Postema R. ↑,
74', Lelieveld J. ↓, Felida K. ↑,
74', Margaret R. ↓, van der Water S. ↑,
75', Valente L. ↓, Willumsson B. ↑,
82', van de Loo T. ↓, Jakobsen A. ↑,
82', van Bergen T. ↓, Seuntjens M. ↑,
89', 6 - 1, Seuntjens M. ⚽, Willumsson B. (A),

Chances of winning

Groningen
65.3%

Draw
21.4%

Waalwijk
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

25.6%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

22.3%

27.7%

Groningen - Waalwijk Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.87)	4.51 ↑ (3.69)	7.08 ↑ (3.91)	3.5% (6.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Groningen - Waalwijk?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Groningen (1.57) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Groningen (1.75) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH 0 - Groningen (1.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Groningen (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Groningen (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Groningen will win (17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.67% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Groningen will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 17 high ROI users predict this event. Groningen (votes: 17 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Groningen won 1.
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
In this match, Groningen is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Groningen: Mariani M. (Knock) Turay F. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
There will not play in Waalwijk: van Osch Y. (Injury)
There are questionable in Waalwijk: Van den Buijs D. (Injury) Weidmann D. (Injury) Wouters L. (Inactive) Zawada O. (Inactive)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Groningen won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:20. (average 1.5:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Groningen won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 2:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Groningen won against Waalwijk?

Groningen has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Waalwijk won against Groningen?

Waalwijk has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Groningen - Waalwijk were as follows:

17.08.2024 Waalwijk - Groningen 1:2

15.04.2023 Waalwijk - Groningen 2:1

07.10.2022 Groningen - Waalwijk 2:3

Latest results of Groningen

23.04.2025 Groningen - Heracles Almelo 4:1 ✺

13.04.2025 Utrecht - Groningen 3:1 ✺

05.04.2025 Groningen - PSV Eindhoven 1:3 ✺

02.04.2025 Feyenoord - Groningen 4:1 ✺

29.03.2025 NAC Breda - Groningen 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Waalwijk

25.04.2025 Waalwijk - Utrecht 0:4 ✺

11.04.2025 NEC Nijmegen - Waalwijk 2:1 ✺

06.04.2025 Waalwijk - Heracles Almelo 0:0 ✺

01.04.2025 AZ Alkmaar - Waalwijk 2:2 ✺

29.03.2025 Zwolle - Waalwijk 2:0 ✺

Dutch Eredivisie Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	PSV	21	18	2	1	64:25	39	56
2	Feyenoord	21	12	3	6	51:32	19	39
3	Nijmegen	20	11	5	4	52:34	18	38
4	Ajax	21	10	8	3	41:28	13	38
5	Sparta Rotterdam	21	11	2	8	27:34	-7	35
6	AZ Alkmaar	21	9	5	7	36:35	1	32
7	Twente	21	7	10	4	31:24	7	31
8	Groningen	21	9	4	8	28:26	2	31
9	Zwolle	21	7	5	9	30:43	-13	26
10	Heerenveen	20	6	7	7	32:31	1	25
11	Sittard	21	7	4	10	31:36	-5	25
12	Utrecht	20	6	6	8	30:27	3	24
13	Excelsior	21	6	5	10	22:37	-15	23
14	G.A. Eagles	20	4	10	6	31:34	-3	22
15	FC Volendam	21	4	6	11	22:36	-14	18
16	Heracles	21	5	2	14	30:53	-23	17
17	NAC Breda	21	3	7	11	23:34	-11	16
18	Telstar	21	3	7	11	25:37	-12	16

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      Eredivisie (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie