Result
6:1
03/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 31
- Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.22 | 1.14 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (285/353) | 85% (384/450) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.22 | 1.14 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.63 | 1.34 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (285/353) | 85% (384/450) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (13/29) | 49% (22/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (69/106) | 70% (47/67) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (5/15) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.82 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (15/23) | 62% (13/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.34 | 4.63 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.34 | -1.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Bacuna L. (Pen),
- 18', Lelieveld J. 🟨,
- 45+2', 2 - 0, Resink S. ⚽, Bacuna L. (A),
- 2nd Half (4 - 1)
- 46', Rente M. ↓, Emeran N. ↑,
- 46', 3 - 0, Emeran N. ⚽, Valente L. (A),
- 50', 4 - 0, Resink S. ⚽,
- 57', Kramer M. ↓, Roemeratoe G. ↑,
- 57', Lokesa C. ↓, Cleonise D. ↑,
- 60', 5 - 0, van Bergen T. ⚽,
- 67', 5 - 1, Roemeratoe G. ⚽,
- 68', Peersman M. ↓, Prins W. ↑,
- 68', Kwakman D. ↓, Postema R. ↑,
- 74', Lelieveld J. ↓, Felida K. ↑,
- 74', Margaret R. ↓, van der Water S. ↑,
- 75', Valente L. ↓, Willumsson B. ↑,
- 82', van de Loo T. ↓, Jakobsen A. ↑,
- 82', van Bergen T. ↓, Seuntjens M. ↑,
- 89', 6 - 1, Seuntjens M. ⚽, Willumsson B. (A),
Chances of winning
Groningen
65.3% | Draw
21.4% | Waalwijk
13.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Groningen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Groningen's performance.Waalwijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Waalwijk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (-21.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Groningen that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (+14.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Waalwijk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Groningen - Waalwijk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.49 ↓
(1.87) |
4.51 ↑
(3.69) |
7.08 ↑
(3.91) |
3.5%
(6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Groningen - Waalwijk?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Groningen (votes: 3 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Groningen will win
(17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.67% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Groningen will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Groningen won 1.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- In this match, Groningen is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Groningen: Mariani M.
(Knock)
Turay F.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Waalwijk: van Osch Y.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Waalwijk: Van den Buijs D.
(Injury)
Weidmann D.
(Injury)
Wouters L.
(Inactive)
Zawada O.
(Inactive)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Groningen won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:20. (average 1.5:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Groningen won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Groningen won against Waalwijk?
Groningen has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Waalwijk won against Groningen?
Waalwijk has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Groningen - Waalwijk were as follows:
17.08.2024
Waalwijk
-
Groningen
1:2
15.04.2023
Waalwijk
-
Groningen
2:1
07.10.2022
Groningen
-
Waalwijk
2:3
Latest results of Groningen
Latest results of Waalwijk
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sittard | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Telstar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | FC Volendam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Zwolle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | PSV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Ajax | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | NAC Breda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Twente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Feyenoord | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Nijmegen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Utrecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | AZ Alkmaar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Sparta Rotterdam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Heracles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Excelsior | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | G.A. Eagles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Groningen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
