Result
3:1
13/08/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Pacena - Round 4
- Referee: Quenta G. (Bol)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.18 | 1.57 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (224/301) | 79% (328/417) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.18 | 1.57 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.47 | 1.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (224/301) | 79% (328/417) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (25/57) | 67% (54/81) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (66/97) | 66% (101/152) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 32% (6/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 1.12 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (14/20) | 65% (11/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.08 | 2.47 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.08 | -0.53 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', Castellon D. 🟨,
- 14', 0 - 1, Villalba D. ⚽, Vedia C. (A),
- 23', 1 - 1, Barco C. ⚽, Mina K. (A),
- 30', Thomaz 🟨,
- 34', Thiago Ribeiro 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Willie ↓, Navarro D. ↑,
- 46', Mina K. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
- 50', Soleto W. 🟨,
- 51', 2 - 1, Rodriguez G. (Pen),
- 58', Navarro D. 🟨,
- 58', Villalba D. 🟨,
- 59', Thiago Ribeiro ↓, Rafinha ↑,
- 66', Robles D. 🟨,
- 67', Barco C. ↓, Peredo G. ↑,
- 74', Vedia C. ↓, Grass P. ↑,
- 78', Sanchez H. 🟨,
- 82', Thomaz ↓, Medina A. ↑,
- 82', Gil S. ↓, Moreno A. ↑,
- 82', Sanchez H. ↓, Villarroel M. ↑,
- 90+3', 3 - 1, Rafinha ⚽,
Chances of winning
Guabirá
62.9% | Draw
21.7% | Independiente Petroleros
15.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guabirá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guabirá's performance.Independiente Petroleros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente Petroleros might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guabirá than the current prediction. (-19.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guabirá that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Petroleros than the current prediction. (+15.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independiente Petroleros could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Guabirá - Independiente Petroleros Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.47 ↓
(1.8) |
4.27 ↑
(3.99) |
6.02 ↑
(3.58) |
7.8%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Guabirá - Independiente Petroleros?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Guabirá (votes: 3 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Guabirá will win
(11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Guabirá will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guabirá won 1.
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- In this match, Guabirá is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Guabirá won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guabirá won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.6:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Guabirá won against Independiente Petroleros?
Guabirá has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Petroleros won against Guabirá?
Independiente Petroleros has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Guabirá - Independiente Petroleros were as follows:
30.06.2025
Guabirá
-
Independiente Petroleros
1:1
20.05.2025
Independiente Petroleros
-
Guabirá
0:1
27.10.2024
Guabirá
-
Independiente Petroleros
1:2
12.07.2024
Independiente Petroleros
-
Guabirá
0:0
08.04.2024
Independiente Petroleros
-
Guabirá
3:2
Latest results of Guabirá
Latest results of Independiente Petroleros
