Independiente Petroleros vs Guabirá – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

02/12/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadio Olímpico Patria (Sucre).

Division Profesional - Round 27
Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Futbol Canal

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.72	1.27
Ball Possession
54%	46%
Total shots
21	22
Shots on target
6	5
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
3	2
Passes
86% (406/473)	82% (326/399)
Yellow Cards
5	3
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
2.72	1.27
xG on target (xGOT)
2.60	0.42
Total shots
21	22
Shots on target
6	5
Shots off target
11	10
Blocked Shots
4	7
Shots inside the Box
11	7
Shots outside the Box
10	15
Hit the Woodwork
1	2
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
3	2
Touches in opposition box
23	25
Accurate through passes
2	0
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
6	9
Passes
86% (406/473)	82% (326/399)
Long passes
42% (25/59)	53% (34/64)
Passes in final third
74% (95/128)	70% (95/135)
Crosses
29% (4/14)	20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.72	1.49
Throw-ins
13	25
Fouls
9	6
Tackles
67% (8/12)	82% (9/11)
Duels won
30	30
Clearances
27	11
Interceptions
12	4
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	3
xGOT faced
0.42	2.60
Goals prevented
-0.58	-0.40

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
28', 1 - 0, Cristaldo G. ⚽, Thomaz (A),
30', Martinez Y. 🟨,
34', Peredo G. 🟨,
39', 1 - 1, Da Silva D. ⚽, Peredo G. (A),
45+1', Barco C. 🟨,
45+1', Vargas L. 🟨,
45+3', Thomaz 🟨,
45+4', Martinez Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', 2 - 1, Cristaldo G. ⚽, Cardozo R. (A),
66', Rivera A. 🟨,
67', Barco C. ↓, Rafinha ↑,
67', Vargas L. ↓, Thiago Ribeiro ↑,
68', Cristaldo G. ↓, Mercado A. ↑,
77', Moreno A. ↓, Villarroel M. ↑,
77', Neto Acara ↓, Mina K. ↑,
77', Peredo G. ↓, Sanchez H. ↑,
79', Thomaz ↓, Medina A. ↑,
79', Rivera A. ↓, Soleto W. ↑,
84', 3 - 1, Villalba D. ⚽, Mercado A. (A),
90+2', Cardozo R. ↓, Grass P. ↑,
90+6', Willie 🟨,

Chances of winning

Independiente Petroleros
52.9%

Draw
23.2%

Guabirá
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

26.1%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

25.2%

32.5%

Independiente Petroleros - Guabirá Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (2.31)	3.97 ↑ (3.58)	3.86 ↑ (2.78)	8.3% (7.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Independiente Petroleros - Guabirá?

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Ind Petroleros will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Guabirá will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ind Petroleros: 46.4% – 99%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ind Petroleros (votes: 1 - 50%). Guabirá (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: ))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Petroleros won 1.
Ind Petroleros has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Guabirá has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Guabirá may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Guabirá has had a series of home games.
Ind Petroleros might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Ind Petroleros won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 1.1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Ind Petroleros won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Petroleros won against Guabirá?

Independiente Petroleros has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Guabirá won against Independiente Petroleros?

Guabirá has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Petroleros - Guabirá were as follows:

13.08.2025 Guabirá - Independiente Petroleros 3:1

30.06.2025 Guabirá - Independiente Petroleros 1:1

20.05.2025 Independiente Petroleros - Guabirá 0:1

27.10.2024 Guabirá - Independiente Petroleros 1:2

12.07.2024 Independiente Petroleros - Guabirá 0:0

Latest results of Independiente Petroleros

29.11.2025 Nacional Potosí - Independiente Petroleros 2:1 ✺

21.11.2025 Independiente Petroleros - ABB 2:0 ✺

08.11.2025 Independiente Petroleros - Nacional Potosí 1:2 ✺

03.11.2025 Aurora - Independiente Petroleros 2:3 ✺

30.10.2025 Real Tomayapo - Independiente Petroleros 3:6 ✺

Latest results of Guabirá

29.11.2025 Guabirá - GVCD San José 2:1 ✺

26.11.2025 Guabirá - The Strongest 3:3 ✺

23.11.2025 Guabirá - San Antonio Bulo Bulo 1:2 ✺

18.11.2025 The Strongest - Guabirá 2:1 ✺

07.11.2025 Guabirá - Real Tomayapo 2:2 ✺

Bolivian Division Profesional Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Always Ready ✔	28	21	5	2	83:29	54	68
2	Bolivar	28	19	5	4	74:31	43	62
3	The Strongest	28	20	1	7	71:46	25	61
4	SA Bulo Bulo	28	12	7	9	57:46	11	43
5	Blooming	28	13	4	11	51:54	-3	43
6	Guabira	28	12	4	12	57:57	0	40
7	Independiente	28	11	6	11	48:53	-5	39
8	GV San Jose	29	11	5	13	41:50	-9	38
9	Nacional Potosi	28	10	7	11	48:40	8	37
10	Oriente Petrolero	28	9	6	13	42:50	-8	33
11	Tomayapo	28	8	8	12	39:52	-13	32
12	Real Oruro	28	8	7	13	56:59	-3	31
13	Universitario de Vinto	28	6	8	14	30:52	-22	26
14	Academia del Balompie	28	5	8	15	26:59	-33	23
15	Wilstermann	29	4	7	18	30:65	-35	19
16	Aurora ✔	28	10	4	14	49:59	-10	1

      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
      Division Profesional (Relegation)
      Relegation

Clinched Spots for Teams

Always Ready is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
Aurora is Relegated to