Independiente Petroleros vs Guabirá – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
02/12/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Division Profesional - Round 27
  • Where to Watch on TV:
boliviaBoliviaFutbol Canal

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.721.27
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
2122
Shots on target
65
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
86% (406/473)82% (326/399)
Yellow Cards
53
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
2.721.27
xG on target (xGOT)
2.600.42
Total shots
2122
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
1110
Blocked Shots
47
Shots inside the Box
117
Shots outside the Box
1015
Hit the Woodwork
12
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
2325
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
69
Passes
86% (406/473)82% (326/399)
Long passes
42% (25/59)53% (34/64)
Passes in final third
74% (95/128)70% (95/135)
Crosses
29% (4/14)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.721.49
Throw-ins
1325
Fouls
96
Tackles
67% (8/12)82% (9/11)
Duels won
3030
Clearances
2711
Interceptions
124
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
0.422.60
Goals prevented
-0.58-0.40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 28', 1 - 0, Cristaldo G. , Thomaz (A),
  • 30', Martinez Y. 🟨,
  • 34', Peredo G. 🟨,
  • 39', 1 - 1, Da Silva D. , Peredo G. (A),
  • 45+1', Barco C. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Vargas L. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Thomaz 🟨,
  • 45+4', Martinez Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 56', 2 - 1, Cristaldo G. , Cardozo R. (A),
  • 66', Rivera A. 🟨,
  • 67', Barco C. , Rafinha ,
  • 67', Vargas L. , Thiago Ribeiro ,
  • 68', Cristaldo G. , Mercado A. ,
  • 77', Moreno A. , Villarroel M. ,
  • 77', Neto Acara , Mina K. ,
  • 77', Peredo G. , Sanchez H. ,
  • 79', Thomaz , Medina A. ,
  • 79', Rivera A. , Soleto W. ,
  • 84', 3 - 1, Villalba D. , Mercado A. (A),
  • 90+2', Cardozo R. , Grass P. ,
  • 90+6', Willie 🟨,

Chances of winning


Independiente Petroleros
52.9%
Draw
23.2%
Guabirá
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.4% 26.1% 33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8% 25.2% 32.5%

Independiente Petroleros - Guabirá Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.75
(2.31)
3.97
(3.58)
3.86
(2.78)
8.3%
(7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Independiente Petroleros - Guabirá?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Ind Petroleros will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Guabirá will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ind Petroleros: 46.4%99%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ind Petroleros (votes: 1 - 50%). Guabirá (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: ))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Petroleros won 1.
    • Ind Petroleros has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Guabirá has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Guabirá may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Guabirá has had a series of home games.
    • Ind Petroleros might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Ind Petroleros won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 1.1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ind Petroleros won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Petroleros - Guabirá were as follows:
    13.08.2025 Guabirá - Independiente Petroleros 3:1
    30.06.2025 Guabirá - Independiente Petroleros 1:1
    20.05.2025 Independiente Petroleros - Guabirá 0:1
    27.10.2024 Guabirá - Independiente Petroleros 1:2
    12.07.2024 Independiente Petroleros - Guabirá 0:0
    Latest results of Independiente Petroleros
    Latest results of Guabirá
    Draw
    Relegation

    Final
    1Academia del BalompieSan Juan FC3 : 0, 1 : 3