Result
2:1
25/10/2025 at 02:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Relegation Group - Round 30
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | Migu |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.23 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 28% | 72% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (160/236) | 87% (543/621) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.23 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.15 | 0.62 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (160/236) | 87% (543/621) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (26/60) | 67% (28/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (51/92) | 68% (105/154) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (2/14) | 7% (1/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.39 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 22 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (15/23) | 89% (8/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 30 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.62 | 2.15 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.38 | 0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 22', Yu Jingcheng 🟨,
- 25', Abdusemet E. 🟨,
- 30', Gao S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Xia Z. ↓, Wang D. ↑,
- 46', Abdusemet E. ↓, Tang Wenxuan ↑,
- 56', 1 - 0, Wang D. ⚽,
- 58', Huang W. ↓, Yang Boyue ↑,
- 58', Xin Hongjun ↓, Wen Y. ↑,
- 58', Gao S. ↓, Yu Tianle ↑,
- 60', Memetimin Mewlan 🟨,
- 64', Chen Rijin ↓, Huang W. ↑,
- 64', Zhang Junzhe ↓, Chen L. ↑,
- 74', Huang W. 🟨,
- 79', Jiang L. ↓, Zhang Hao ↑,
- 82', 2 - 0, Memetimin Mewlan ⚽,
- 87', 2 - 1, Wen Y. ⚽, Huang W. (A),
- 88', Huang Yikai ↓, Wu Z. ↑,
- 90+5', Tang Wenxuan 🟨,
Chances of winning
Hubei Istar
41.7% | Draw
29.8% | Guangdong Mingtu
28.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hubei Istar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Guangdong Mingtu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hubei Istar than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangdong Mingtu than the current prediction. (-1%)
Hubei Istar - Guangdong Mingtu Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.19 ↑
(2.13) |
3.06 ↓
(3.23) |
3.2 ↓
(3.28) |
9.7%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Hubei Istar is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Guangdong Mingtu has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Hubei Istar is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hubei Istar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Hubei Istar won against Guangdong Mingtu?
Hubei Istar has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guangdong Mingtu won against Hubei Istar?
Guangdong Mingtu has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hubei Istar - Guangdong Mingtu were as follows:
20.09.2025
Guangdong Mingtu
-
Hubei Istar
0:1
Latest results of Hubei Istar
Latest results of Guangdong Mingtu
Chinese Yi League Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guangxi Hengchen | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 62:17 | 45 | 73 |
| 2 | Wuxi Wugou | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 42:18 | 24 | 64 |
| 3 | Shenzhen | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 36:26 | 10 | 55 |
| 4 | Chengdu Rongcheng B | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 48:27 | 21 | 51 |
| 5 | Guizhou Zhucheng | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 39:34 | 5 | 50 |
| 6 | Nantong Haimen | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 52:34 | 18 | 49 |
| 7 | Shandong Taishan B | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 43:27 | 16 | 48 |
| 8 | Changchun Xidu | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 24:28 | -4 | 41 |
Promotion ~ League One
