Result
0:1
20/09/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Yi League - Relegation Group - Round 26
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | Migu |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 1.54 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 44% (122/278) | 40% (80/199) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 1.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.29 | 1.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 44% (122/278) | 40% (80/199) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 26% (24/91) | 29% (26/91) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 42% (57/135) | 34% (32/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 4% (1/27) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.68 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 38 | 33 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 62 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.29 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 45+4', 0 - 1, Wen Jialong (Pen),
- 45+6', Zheng Zhiming 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Peng Jiahao ↓, Li Ming ↑,
- 53', Gao S. 🟨,
- 65', Wen Y. ↓, Liu Ziheng ↑,
- 65', Zheng Zhiming ↓, Xin Hongjun ↑,
- 65', Xiong J. ↓, Zhou Y. ↑,
- 65', Gao S. ↓, Wang Z. ↑,
- 65', Huang W. ↓, Zhang Jinliang ↑,
- 68', Abdusemet E. 🟨,
- 71', Abdusemet E. ↓, Luo H. ↑,
- 72', Liu Ruicheng 🟥,
- 77', Zhang Junzhe 🟨,
- 77', Chen J. ↓, Sun W. ↑,
- 79', Tang Tianyi ↓, Pan B. ↑,
- 82', Huang Guangliang ↓, Gu Zhiwei ↑,
- 90+1', Luo H. 🟨,
- 90+12', 🟨,
- 90+12', Luo H. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Guangdong Mingtu
42.9% | Draw
28.1% | Hubei Istar
29% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guangdong Mingtu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guangdong Mingtu's form might have worsened.Hubei Istar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangdong Mingtu than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guangdong Mingtu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hubei Istar than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Guangdong Mingtu - Hubei Istar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.12 ↑
(1.88) |
3.24 ↓
(3.38) |
3.14 ↓
(3.69) |
9.9%
(9.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Guangdong Mingtu is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Hubei Istar's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Guangdong Mingtu will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Guangdong Mingtu won against Hubei Istar?
Guangdong Mingtu has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hubei Istar won against Guangdong Mingtu?
Hubei Istar has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Guangdong Mingtu - Hubei Istar were as follows:
Latest results of Guangdong Mingtu
Latest results of Hubei Istar
Chinese Yi League Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guangxi Hengchen ✔ | 26 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 56:14 | 42 | 66 |
| 2 | Wuxi Wugou | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 36:14 | 22 | 55 |
| 3 | Shenzhen | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 30:18 | 12 | 49 |
| 4 | Guizhou Zhucheng | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 38:29 | 9 | 46 |
| 5 | Chengdu Rongcheng B | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 43:23 | 20 | 46 |
| 6 | Shandong Taishan B | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 38:26 | 12 | 43 |
| 7 | Nantong Haimen | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 45:31 | 14 | 42 |
| 8 | Changchun Xidu | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 22:18 | 4 | 40 |
Promotion ~ Jia League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Guangxi Hengchen is Qualified for Jia League
